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Old 12-21-2014, 09:16 AM
 
Location: western East Roman Empire
5,581 posts, read 9,335,556 times
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I think a lot of you folks are jumping the gun. This could be a lot of hot air that dissipates in two years or less.

A more interesting question is how this will affect Venezuela over the next two years.

Lots of interesting stuff globally behind the relatively sudden and fast drop in oil prices. Miami has little to do with it.
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Old 12-21-2014, 10:00 AM
 
525 posts, read 494,917 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bale002 View Post
I think a lot of you folks are jumping the gun. This could be a lot of hot air that dissipates in two years or less.

A more interesting question is how this will affect Venezuela over the next two years.

Lots of interesting stuff globally behind the relatively sudden and fast drop in oil prices. Miami has little to do with it.
This won't affect Venezuela much. Venezuela is affected much more by the price of oil, as you can see with all the civil unrest there, than by anything that happens in Cuba.

It will, however, affect the U.S. more than Venezuela especially if this is a sign of things to come as most of us hope it is.
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Old 12-22-2014, 09:08 AM
 
Location: Heartland Florida
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Oil prices will go right back up next year. You can count on that. The lower prices will shut down shale oil, leading to a decrease in supply.
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Old 12-22-2014, 09:45 AM
 
Location: western East Roman Empire
5,581 posts, read 9,335,556 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tallrick View Post
Oil prices will go right back up next year. You can count on that. The lower prices will shut down shale oil, leading to a decrease in supply.
It will slow but not shut down. US big oil corporates have deep pockets, they can buy out the weaker shale wildcats and even produce at a subsidy (like Saudi Arabia and a few other Arab peninsula producers), at least for a while.

The question is whether prices will be low enough, long enough to disrupt or overturn regimes like in Venezuela, Iran, maybe even Russia.

And whether Cuba will play any constructive role, from the US point of view, in Caribbean oil politics: why shouldn't the Castros stab Maduro in the back? What's it to them? Where can they make a better deal right now?

Anyway, chances are that it will all blow over into nothing. In the meantime, there is little risk in talking about diplomatic relations - because that's all they've done so far - and exchanging a few hostages.

We'll see which way the game turns over the next two years or so.

As for Miami, it's a bit more diverse than, say, 20 years ago, and chances are that it will continue to diversify over the next 20, and it could take Cuba more than 20 years to build casinos and cruise ports.
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Old 12-27-2014, 02:02 PM
 
433 posts, read 780,967 times
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Probably the sooner the Cubans send their two senators and congressmen to Capitol Hill the Better.
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Old 12-27-2014, 11:21 PM
 
Location: South FL
5,379 posts, read 5,898,140 times
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Originally Posted by tankhead View Post
China is a dictatorship as well. Yet, Chinese people get to leave their country.
China is Socialism. Cuba is Fidelism.

big difference.
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Old 12-30-2014, 07:06 AM
 
1,471 posts, read 1,364,839 times
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Originally Posted by tallrick View Post
Nothing will come of Obama's empty words. The puppet is nothing but a bad joke, expect the opposite of what he says.

Right, he's just a populist.
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Old 12-30-2014, 07:17 AM
 
1,471 posts, read 1,364,839 times
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Originally Posted by Travelassie View Post
I don't know, IMO it's been too long since the Cuban Adjustment Act (1966) was put in place and they began immigrating en masse to the US, two generations of Cuban Americans born in the US who know only what their parents/grandparents tell them about Cuba, and who consider themselves Cuban-Americans and the USA their home. There may be older Cubans who would love to fulfill their dreams of returning to Cuba, and some may do so, but they won't find it anything like they left it, and IMO they wouldn't get back what the Castro government seized from them. I'd ask some of those Cubans what they think about it.

I'd imagine a lot of Cuban-Americans would visit Cuba as often as they could, especially if they still have family there, and to satisfy their curiosity to see it first hand.

As to my recollection of US Laws, there are no Cuban immigrants since 1 January 1959.

Nobody will return as Miami has been their home during 50 years, half of the history of that former swampfest. If anything, Miami will become more Cuban, but more popular Cuban and many areas of NW will be resettled.

All those whiners here complaining against Cubans do not live in Miami, they probably returned to their country is Arschlochville, Pascoe, Schwultown, etc. two generations ago, and you still find them whining all the time.
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Old 12-30-2014, 12:36 PM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,071 posts, read 4,436,201 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Miserere View Post
As to my recollection of US Laws, there are no Cuban immigrants since 1 January 1959.

Nobody will return as Miami has been their home during 50 years, half of the history of that former swampfest. If anything, Miami will become more Cuban, but more popular Cuban and many areas of NW will be resettled.

All those whiners here complaining against Cubans do not live in Miami, they probably returned to their country is Arschlochville, Pascoe, Schwultown, etc. two generations ago, and you still find them whining all the time.
I'm not so sure about that.

I have heard several Cubans say they would rather live in Cuba, even with today's communist regime. Things in the US have changed a lot since you lived here in the 70's.
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Old 12-30-2014, 03:53 PM
 
499 posts, read 305,974 times
Reputation: 392
yes, some would live in Cuba, while cashing their US social security checks.
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