Looks like St. Paul is almost minority-majority

[xandrex]

It's likely that the Twin Cities (and the state) will eventually become minority majority, although it's incredibly difficult to actually predict. Nobody can say with certainty what the immigration or even economic situation will be in the next few years, let alone 30-50 years in the future.

[Tomoki]

Minority-majority is a silly term, and a paradox. If the minority were the majority then they wouldn't be called the minority. Plus sticking all ethnics together and calling them one group is offensive, what do vietnamese and blacks have in common other then not being white?
So, st. Paul will always be majority white (even if they end up constituting only 40% of the population) because each other group would make up a smaller portion of the population than whites. So ethnically st paul might become 40% white, 10% blacks, 15% asians, ect...( none surpassing the % of whites).

I say IF, since urbanites have a tendency to move into suburbs through the years, changing the population makeup of cities.

[xandrex]

Originally Posted by Tomoki

Minority-majority is a silly term, and a paradox. If the minority were the majority then they wouldn't be called the minority. Plus sticking all ethnics together and calling them one group is offensive, what do vietnamese and blacks have in common other then not being white?
So, st. Paul will always be majority white (even if they end up constituting only 40% of the population) because each other group would make up a smaller portion of the population than whites. So ethnically st paul might become 40% white, 10% blacks, 15% asians, ect...( none surpassing the % of whites).

I say IF, since urbanites have a tendency to move into suburbs through the years, changing the population makeup of cities.

Race relations have been fairly black and white (sometimes literally) in US history, with the general idea that if you're not white, you're a minority. If semantics are your game, then Majority-Minorities would probably fix that for ya.

However, we don't typically call make-ups of less than 50% a majority. Whites, even if they lose majority status, will likely maintain a plurality for the foreseeable future.



The interesting pattern to watch will be to see if American urban spaces begin to model more closely to the European model (a la Paris), where the cities tend to be incredibly wealthy and the poor are pushed further out to the suburbs. I'm not predicting a total inverse, of course. But if it tracks at all like that, there would perhaps be a change of cities becoming increasingly white rather than minority. Minneapolis did actually see a slight increase in the percentage of residents who identify as non-Hispanic white population in recent years due to increased popularity of areas like downtown and Southwest Minneapolis (as well as black flight from North Minneapolis).

[Tomoki]

Originally Posted by xandrex

Race relations have been fairly black and white (sometimes literally) in US history, with the general idea that if you're not white, you're a minority. If semantics are your game, then Majority-Minorities would probably fix that for ya.

However, we don't typically call make-ups of less than 50% a majority. Whites, even if they lose majority status, will likely maintain a plurality for the foreseeable future.



The interesting pattern to watch will be to see if American urban spaces begin to model more closely to the European model (a la Paris), where the cities tend to be incredibly wealthy and the poor are pushed further out to the suburbs. I'm not predicting a total inverse, of course. But if it tracks at all like that, there would perhaps be a change of cities becoming increasingly white rather than minority. Minneapolis did actually see a slight increase in the percentage of residents who identify as non-Hispanic white population in recent years due to increased popularity of areas like downtown and Southwest Minneapolis (as well as black flight from North Minneapolis).

Don't know about that, usually majorities don't have to be greater than 50%, just a greater quantity then a set number of variables. Indeed, I guess I forgot about gentrification also.

[City Data Guy]

Originally Posted by Tomoki

Minority-majority is a silly term, and a paradox. If the minority were the majority then they wouldn't be called the minority. Plus sticking all ethnics together and calling them one group is offensive, what do vietnamese and blacks have in common other then not being white?
So, st. Paul will always be majority white (even if they end up constituting only 40% of the population) because each other group would make up a smaller portion of the population than whites. So ethnically st paul might become 40% white, 10% blacks, 15% asians, ect...( none surpassing the % of whites).

I say IF, since urbanites have a tendency to move into suburbs through the years, changing the population makeup of cities.

The term minority majority refers to a group that is a minority in a country but a majority in a city, state, province, or other entity. There's nothing "offensive" about it.

You're also confusing the terms "majority" and "plurality". If whites were 40% of St. Paul, they would be a plurality of the population, but not the majority. A majority is defined as being over 50% of the population.