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Looking over results from yesterday's elections it seems in many areas democrats were fired up with a strong "anti-Trump" feeling that propelled their candidates, even if flawed to victory.
Just look across the river to New York to see how this played out. Heck even on Staten Island so called "heart" of Trump country they voted out Dan Donovan. Don't get me started on that Cortez girl.
Other parts of the country dems were slaughtered or nearly so. Claire McCaskil, Ben Nelson, and others, gone!
Am shocked as everyone else that the oily git Menendez won, but so did other equally repulsive democrats such as Andrew Cuomo.
Personally think *any* democrat would have won last night. For whatever reasons NJ seems to have moved solidly into democratic territory, and don't see that as changing anytime soon.
This is why it's even more disgraceful that this POS Menendez had the gall to run again after what he's been through/done to himself. Like a Republican would win a Senate seat in NJ, especially now - ANY DEMOCRAT could have run and won. Hell, Menendez won by 10 percentage points and look at his history. That discrepancy could have been even greater, a bigger landslide, if anyone else who sucks less than him and had little to no shady history ran.
The corruption in NJ is just unreal, and so many people are too stupid to even question it. People were dancing, partying last night that he won. A potential juror for his trial who was dismissed partied with him. It's unreal.
As for the bolded line, I do think some districts could and probably will go red again in the future (7, 11 to name two). People are just trying to stick it to Trump, it'll probably pass in a few years when he's gone and they've forgotten why they turned on the party they usually vote for in the first place. Then again, a lot of New Yorkers/people from other areas are moving into my area (I'm in District 7, we lost Leonard Lance last night, he's actually a pretty moderate Republican and he lost to Malinowski, a guy who owns a home in DC where he's lived for 20 years and only began renting in NJ in September 2017 though he is initially from Princeton - which is not in our district; Lance called him a carpetbagger and tbh he kinda seems like one but whatever). Anyway, they're moving in with their more liberal views so maybe as more people flee NY for NJ's affluent suburbs, and older NJ residents flee for the cheaper South, NJ will stay more blue.
On another note, I really wish more average (would be nice to see younger) people new to politics had a better chance of making it into office. Anyone should be able to run for office, but between the strong two party machines who have their picks and supporters and the fact that you basically need millions of dollars to win, the average citizen is at a disadvantage most of the time. It sucks it's come to this.
I'm actually kind of pleased to see that Mikie Sherrill won in District 11. I don't know much about her opinions on issues as she's not my district, but Frelinghuysen has been in office for over 20 years and is another old white guy. Not that there's an issue with that in itself, I just think some more diversity and fresh, young faces in these positions would be nice. Kick some long-term incumbents out (I'm pleased Frelinghuysen decided to kick himself out, it's been a while, he's had his time). Women (and minorities) are still underrepresented in Congress relative to the population.
Yeah, articles posted over a half hour ago were calling Menendez the winner. The NYT live update named him the winner with like 11% of the votes in.
Well, this is quite literally how modern polling works. Let's say you have county A, who have voted Republican with a 60% rate over the past hundred years and they have 50,000 people, county B, who have consistently voted Democratic in the 70% rate over the past seventy years and they have 40,000 people, and county C, which has been going back and forth over the past twenty years and has about 30,000 people.
So even before things start (maybe you do some early polling to make sure numbers are stacking up similarly this year) you're likely looking at A with 30K R and 20K D, B with 12K R and 28K D, or 42K and 48K total.
What you really need to hear from is county C and which direction it's going. If you hear back from 15K that have gone D, it's over. If you hear 20K went R, it's over. But out of the 130,000 people you're only really needing to hear from 10-15% of the voters, maybe even fewer.
It's why Ohio and Florida get watched so closely in Presidential elections, we can predict pretty closely where California and Texas and Montana and Massachusetts are going to go but those are two high-electorate count states that aren't as reliable in one direction or the other. Neither of them are the only states that are watched but most of the other ones are pretty consistent.
NJ a one party state, lacks political diversity and thus an absence of innovation, change and novel solutions that don;t require tax payer strangulation.
Status quo above all, no matter how uncomfortable because predictability is security and security is a primary need.
NJ a one party state, lacks political diversity and thus an absence of innovation, change and novel solutions that don;t require tax payer strangulation.
Status quo above all, no matter how uncomfortable because predictability is security and security is a primary need.
In addition to those hilariously-wrong references to Gerrymandering, let's not forget that he thinks that Puerto Rico is a foreign nation. Surely I can't be the only forum member who recalls him criticizing "US aid to the nation of Puerto Rico", in the wake of Hurricane Maria, back in 2017.
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