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When trying to avoid it I'd leave Fredericksburg around 9:30a or 10:00a and would have no problem. In the evening going out of DC, I'd aim for 7:30 or 8. You still might hit some traffic, but nowhere near what is going on around 5pm.
On holidays or Friday nights, however, forget trying to avoid it.
I've found traffic to be worse as you get further away from DC. In Alexandria my friends told me that rush hour lasts about 30 minutes for them, and then it's over. Whereas my other friend in Vienna complains that she can't go to the grocery store before 7:30, or it'll take her 45 minutes to get there. And I have fond memories of rt. 3 in F'burg around 6:00 or rt. 1 in Woodbridge.
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