UPDATE: October 2008 Fairfax County Real Estate Bubble ** Prices Down 19% in Past 12 Months ** 32% Below 2005 Peak (Arlington: sales)

[mojo_1979]

October 2008 home sales data is now available. The median price of all homes sold in October 2008 was $344,500. Prices are 32% below their peak price of $503,000 in July 2005.

Fairfax County Historical Real Estate Prices

Year-over-year median price comparison of all homes sold.

*** 2008 *** 2007 *** Change
Oct / 344,500 / 425,000 / -18.94%
Sep / 326,000 / 435,000 / -25.06%
Aug / 375,000 / 478,750 / -21.67%
Jul / 379,950 / 480,000 / -20.84%
Jun / 412,500 / 490,000 / -15.82%
May / 399,000 / 460,000 / -13.26%
Apr / 400,000 / 474,200 / -15.65%
Mar / 395,000 / 456,000 / -13.38%
Feb / 405,000 / 448,000 / -9.78%
Jan / 395,000 / 456,000 / -13.20%

*** 2007 *** 2006 *** Change
Dec / 430,000 / 450,000 / -4.44%
Nov / 420,000 / 462,000 / -9.24%
Oct / 425,000 / 460,000 / -7.61%
Sep / 435,000 / 445,000 / -2.25%
Aug / 478,750 / 469,000 / +2.08%
Jul / 480,000 / 485,000 / -1.03%
Jun / 490,000 / 500,000 / -2.00%
May / 460,000 / 487,000 / -5.59%
Apr / 474,000 / 480,000 / -1.21%
Mar / 456,000 / 477,000 / -4.40%
Feb / 448,000 / 469,000 / -4.47%
Jan / 456,000 / 450,000 / +1.39%

*** 2006 *** 2005 *** Change
Dec / 450,000 / 484,000 / -7.05%
Nov / 462,000 / 482,000 / -3.99%
Oct / 460,000 / 489,000 / -6.02%
Sep / 445,000 / 485,000 / -8.25%
Aug / 469,000 / 500,000 / -6.20%
Jul / 485,000 / 503,000 / -3.58%
Jun / 500,000 / 500,000 / 0.00%
May / 487,000 / 489,000 / -0.50%
Apr / 480,000 / 458,000 / +4.80%
Mar / 477,000 / 441,000 / +8.14%
Feb / 469,000 / 416,000 / +12.69%
Jan / 450,000 / 408,000 / +10.60%

*** 2005 *** 2004 *** Change
Dec / 484,000 / 410,000 / +18.80%
Nov / 482,000 / 395,000 / +22.03%
Oct / 489,000 / 348,000 / +33.45%
Sep / 485,000 / 349,000 / +22.89%
Aug / 500,000 / 380,000 / +18.60%
Jul / 503,000 / 351,000 / +21.30%
Jun / 500,000 / 380,000 / +16.58%
May / 489,000 / 359,000 / +29.8%
Apr / 458,000 / 365,000 / +25.48%
Mar / 441,000 / 360,000 / +22.53%
Feb / 416,000 / 327,000 / +27.40%
Jan / 408,000 / 325,000 / +25.69%

*** 2004 *** 2003 *** Change
Dec / 410,000 / 339,000 / +20.94%
Nov / 395,000 / 315,575 / +25.17%
Oct / 395,000 / 312,000 / +26.60%
Sep / 395,000 / 315,000 / +25.40%
Aug / 395,000 / 332,000 / +18.98%
Jul / 397,000 / 325,000 / +22.15%
Jun / 400,000 / 325,000 / +23.08%
May / 385,750 / 315,000 / +22.46%
Apr / 365,000 / 299,900 / +21.71%
Mar / 360,000 / 289,900 / +24.18%
Feb / 326,000 / 274,900 / +18.59%
Jan / 325,000 / 274,950 / +18.20%

*** 2003 *** 2002 *** Change
Dec / 339,000 / 280,000 / +21.07%
Nov / 315,575 / 265,000 / +19.08%
Oct / 312,000 / 265,900 / +17.34%
Sep / 315,000 / 274,999 / +25.40%
Aug / 332,000 / 289,900 / +14.52%
Jul / 325,000 / 282,700 / +14.96%
Jun / 325,000 / 286,600 / +13.40%
May / 315,000 / 272,300 / +15.68%
Apr / 299,900 / 260,000 / +15.35%
Mar / 289,900 / 269,990 / +7.37%
Feb / 274,900 / 245,000 / +12.20%
Jan / 274,950 / 250,000 / +9.98%

*** 2002 *** 2001 *** Change
Dec / 280,000 / 255,000 / +9.80%
Nov / 265,000 / 236,900 / +11.86%
Oct / 265,900 / 235,950 / +12.69%
Sep / 274,999 / 240,000 / +14.58%
Aug / 289,900 / 250,000 / +15.96%
Jul / 282,700 / 244,900 / +15.43%
Jun / 286,600 / 245,000 / +16.98%
May / 272,300 / 234,450 / +16.14%
Apr / 260,000 / 226,000 / +15.04%
Mar / 269,990 / 230,000 / +17.39%
Feb / 245,000 / 220,000 / +11.36%
Jan / 250,000 / 218,875 / +14.22%

*** 2001 *** 2000 *** Change
Dec / 255,000 / 230,000 / +9.18%
Nov / 236,900 / 210,000 / +11.90%
Oct / 235,950 / 203,850 / +15.28%
Sep / 240,000 / 202,000 / +16.34%
Aug / 250,000 / 214,997 / +16.23%
Jul / 244,900 / 213,000 / +12.63%
Jun / 245,000 / 218,000 / +10.05%
May / 234,450 / 212,700 / +10.48%
Apr / 226,000 / 197,000 / +13.71%
Mar / 230,000 / 195,000 / +17.95%
Feb / 220,000 / 198,000 / +11.11%
Jan / 218,875 / 190,000 / +13.16%

*** 2000 *** 1999 *** Change
Dec / 230,000 / 197,500 / +14.94%
Nov / 210,000 / 191,000 / +9.95%
Oct / 203,850 / 189,890 / +7.96%
Sep / 202,000 / 194,000 / +3.09%
Aug / 214,997 / 207,750 / +3.49%
Jul / 213,000 / 209,000 / +1.87%
Jun / 218,000 / 209,000 / +3.83%
May / 212,700 / 193,700 / +9.68%
Apr / 197,000 / 192,000 / +1.56%
Mar / 195,000 / 189,000 / +5.24%
Feb / 198,000 / 184,900 / +8.17%
Jan / 190,000 / 190,000 / +0.00%

MRIS Statistics

[mojo_1979]

More Northern VA areas...

Year-Over-Year Median Price Comparison of All Homes Sold

Loudoun County................ -25.2%
Prince William County......... -43.0%
Manassas City................. -56.1%
Manassas Park City............ -52.6%
Arlington County.............. -3.4%
Alexandria City............... -7.0%
Faquier County................ -23.5%
Stafford County............... -24.5%

MRIS Statistics

[joand2girls]

Wow very interesting. So if DH takes the job in NOVA we may actually afford to buy a house Then again I may not be able to sell mine in S FL for enough to buy there

[EuroExpat]

Hopefully they continue coming down.. Thanks again for the update!!

[mojo_1979]

Originally Posted by joand2girls

Wow very interesting. So if DH takes the job in NOVA we may actually afford to buy a house Then again I may not be able to sell mine in S FL for enough to buy there

Absolutely. I can't stress enough that house prices coming down is a GOOD thing for families and for the economy as a whole. Sure, there will be some short term pain for those who overextended themselves, but in the long term, the economy is much more viable if people spend less money on housing and have more 'disposable income' to spend on other things.

If you're willing to consider Loudoun County, and if you're brave enough to buy a new Ryan home (I've heard some bad stories), there are some communities where new single family detached homes start in the $370's. If you want to be in Fairfax County, the prices have come down considerably, but they're still around $500k for a new single family home in the western part of the county.

Good luck!