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Old 09-27-2009, 08:30 PM
 
3,164 posts, read 6,951,679 times
Reputation: 1279

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ChristineVA View Post
Yep, my DD was the recipient of this population boom. Didn't go too well.
As was every kid in FCPS for at least the last 10-15 years. I have no doubt that both of my kids would have gotten into Harvard AND Yale, were it not for this never ending population peak. Every child is part of the echo generation, the boomer's kids, or so they say. When were there fewer students in FCPS? I missed that population drop in FC.
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Old 09-27-2009, 08:52 PM
 
Location: Fairfax County
1,534 posts, read 3,725,126 times
Reputation: 509
Quote:
Originally Posted by Denton56 View Post
I've heard that ''this years's class was the worst" for at least 10 years. The ''good years'' are always 8 to 12 years in the future. Since FCPS has not lost population recently, I have to wonder about the wave reversing.
Newsweek: Getting In Gets Harder
The children of the baby boomers are flooding colleges with applications, making the process more competitive than ever
College Admission Gets Tougher | Newsweek Education | Newsweek.com

Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022
Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022 | Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

Economist: University admissions in America
Apr 17th 2008
(subscription required)
University admissions | Accepted | Economist.com

College Confidential: Is This Year the Peak Year?
College Confidential - View Single Post - Admissions: Is This Year the Peak Year (http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1060365663-post2.html - broken link)




ETA:
http://wiche.edu/info/knocking/1992-2022/Virginia.pdf

...
Along with much of the rest of the nation, Virginia is poised to enter a new period characterized by much more stagnant growth or declines in the production of high school graduates. After peaking at over 81,000 in 2008-09, the state will begin a brief period of diminishing production in the number of public high school graduates through 2014-15, assuming a continuation of existing patterns of enrollment, progression, and completion. During that timeframe, the number of public high school graduates is forecast to dip by 4.1 percent. Thereafter, it is projected to begin a strong recovery that boosts the number of high school graduates to just above 88,000 by 2021-22.
...
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Old 09-27-2009, 09:04 PM
 
715 posts, read 2,086,559 times
Reputation: 106
Quote:
Originally Posted by Denton56 View Post
As was every kid in FCPS for at least the last 10-15 years. I have no doubt that both of my kids would have gotten into Harvard AND Yale, were it not for this never ending population peak. Every child is part of the echo generation, the boomer's kids, or so they say. When were there fewer students in FCPS? I missed that population drop in FC.
And would your kids have had a better chance if they attended Annandale HS vice a Vienna HS?
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Old 09-28-2009, 12:39 AM
 
3,164 posts, read 6,951,679 times
Reputation: 1279
Quote:
Originally Posted by OrangeFish View Post
Newsweek: Getting In Gets Harder
The children of the baby boomers are flooding colleges with applications, making the process more competitive than ever
College Admission Gets Tougher | Newsweek Education | Newsweek.com

Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022
Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by State and Race/Ethnicity, 1992 to 2022 | Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education

Economist: University admissions in America
Apr 17th 2008
(subscription required)
University admissions | Accepted | Economist.com

College Confidential: Is This Year the Peak Year?
College Confidential - View Single Post - Admissions: Is This Year the Peak Year (http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/1060365663-post2.html - broken link)




ETA:
http://wiche.edu/info/knocking/1992-2022/Virginia.pdf

...
Along with much of the rest of the nation, Virginia is poised to enter a new period characterized by much more stagnant growth or declines in the production of high school graduates. After peaking at over 81,000 in 2008-09, the state will begin a brief period of diminishing production in the number of public high school graduates through 2014-15, assuming a continuation of existing patterns of enrollment, progression, and completion. During that timeframe, the number of public high school graduates is forecast to dip by 4.1 percent. Thereafter, it is projected to begin a strong recovery that boosts the number of high school graduates to just above 88,000 by 2021-22.
...
OOHHHH............sorry, I thought you meant hs graduates in NOVA. I didn't realize that you meant the entire state, and nation. But then FCPS demographic projections have NEVER been accurate.

When I said that our school population never went down, always up, I meant in FCPS. I thought that was most pertinent to the discussion since our kids must compete with each other for spots in Virginia colleges. It doesn't much matter to FCPS graduates what happens to the school populations of Wise and Mathews counties. That won't give FCPS grads more spots at UVA or William and Mary. sorry.
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Old 09-28-2009, 12:41 AM
 
3,164 posts, read 6,951,679 times
Reputation: 1279
Quote:
Originally Posted by live_strong28 View Post
And would your kids have had a better chance if they attended Annandale HS vice a Vienna HS?
Probably not, not enough to matter. But don't tell graduates of IB programs. They hang on to that myth that they have a better chance of getting into UVA. (They don't, but TJ graduates do because of higher grades and higher SATs.)
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