U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Pennsylvania > Philadelphia
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 11-29-2019, 11:10 AM
 
Location: Germantown, Philadelphia
5,659 posts, read 2,755,177 times
Reputation: 3563

Advertisements

FWIW, net domestic migration remains outward from all of the major cities of the Northeast and Midwest save maybe DC.

I don't wish this on the residents of either, but a time may come in some of our lifetimes when continuing to live in Houston and Phoenix as they are now becomes untenable due to climate change.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 11-29-2019, 09:50 PM
 
10,005 posts, read 5,677,583 times
Reputation: 3526
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarketStEl View Post
FWIW, net domestic migration remains outward from all of the major cities of the Northeast and Midwest save maybe DC.

I don't wish this on the residents of either, but a time may come in some of our lifetimes when continuing to live in Houston and Phoenix as they are now becomes untenable due to climate change.
Didn't I say above that we might benefit from climate change refugees? We don't have fires. We rarely get direct hits from hurricanes. Not, impossible, of course, but we rarely have triple digit temps.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 10:54 AM
 
10,005 posts, read 5,677,583 times
Reputation: 3526
A little OT. The city curbed sites( philly curbed included) are shutting down.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 12:54 PM
 
Location: New York City
5,963 posts, read 5,363,943 times
Reputation: 3065
Quote:
Originally Posted by kyb01 View Post
A little OT. The city curbed sites( philly curbed included) are shutting down.
Not all, Philadelphia, DC and New Orleans (for now).
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 01:16 PM
 
Location: Philly
9,963 posts, read 14,286,091 times
Reputation: 2734
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarketStEl View Post
FWIW, net domestic migration remains outward from all of the major cities of the Northeast and Midwest save maybe DC.

I don't wish this on the residents of either, but a time may come in some of our lifetimes when continuing to live in Houston and Phoenix as they are now becomes untenable due to climate change.
DC's net migration turned negative a few years ago apparrently
https://www.bizjournals.com/washingt...continues.html
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 01:23 PM
 
1,266 posts, read 411,847 times
Reputation: 904
Quote:
Originally Posted by rowhomecity View Post
I think the pace of migration is only going to intensify in 2020s.

I see the city between 1.7 Million - 1.72 Million by 2030.

We are nearly at 1.6 Million for 2020 (if not past). And grew by about 70k residents the last decade. I see the city increasing its growth to 100k residents in the 2020s.
I've been thinking that it would take a miracle for Philly to reach 1.7 million by 2030. Do you really think the city could already be at 1.6 million? The 2018 estimate was 1,584,000 and about 4,000 per year is the current estimated increase.

Someone said recently that the official estimates almost always underestimate growth and overestimate decline. I wonder what everyone's take on this is.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 03:46 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia
1,142 posts, read 664,933 times
Reputation: 1209
Quote:
Originally Posted by KoNgFooCj View Post
I've been thinking that it would take a miracle for Philly to reach 1.7 million by 2030. Do you really think the city could already be at 1.6 million? The 2018 estimate was 1,584,000 and about 4,000 per year is the current estimated increase.

Someone said recently that the official estimates almost always underestimate growth and overestimate decline. I wonder what everyone's take on this is.
From estimates on average we have actually been growing closer to 7,300 a year, from 2010 - 2018 (approximately 3.8% year over year growth)

The current estimate for 2018 is 1,584,138. That puts us at 1.59/1.6 Million for 2020.

I see the 2020's growth to be closer to 10,000 a year. Which should get us right close to or slightly over 1.7 Million by 2030.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Yesterday, 04:13 PM
 
Location: Germantown, Philadelphia
5,659 posts, read 2,755,177 times
Reputation: 3563
Quote:
Originally Posted by pman View Post
DC's net migration turned negative a few years ago apparrently
https://www.bizjournals.com/washingt...continues.html
For the District of Columbia itself, very recently. From the article:

Quote:
The District normally has seen small increases, but actually lost a net 940 residents to out-migration in the year ending July 1, 2018.
The longer-term loss described in the article is for the Greater Washington region as a whole. I note that it's been negative for the Maryland suburbs of DC for the entire time period covered in the article.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Today, 10:24 AM
 
10,005 posts, read 5,677,583 times
Reputation: 3526
Quote:
Originally Posted by KoNgFooCj View Post
I've been thinking that it would take a miracle for Philly to reach 1.7 million by 2030. Do you really think the city could already be at 1.6 million? The 2018 estimate was 1,584,000 and about 4,000 per year is the current estimated increase.

Someone said recently that the official estimates almost always underestimate growth and overestimate decline. I wonder what everyone's take on this is.
Additionally count on next year's census probably being the most inaccurate in a long time because of the political climate we're in.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old Today, 10:28 AM
 
10,005 posts, read 5,677,583 times
Reputation: 3526
Quote:
Originally Posted by rowhomecity View Post
From estimates on average we have actually been growing closer to 7,300 a year, from 2010 - 2018 (approximately 3.8% year over year growth)

The current estimate for 2018 is 1,584,138. That puts us at 1.59/1.6 Million for 2020.

I see the 2020's growth to be closer to 10,000 a year. Which should get us right close to or slightly over 1.7 Million by 2030.
Only if we see climate change refugees coming here. Personally, I think you are pulling that 10K number out of your "bottom".
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply

Quick Reply
Message:


Options
X
Data:
Loading data...
Based on 2000-2016 data
Loading data...

123
Hide US histogram


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > Pennsylvania > Philadelphia
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2019, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 - Top