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Old 12-02-2011, 09:35 AM
 
Location: Montgomery Village
4,112 posts, read 4,472,568 times
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um u6 unemployment rates have fallen. That includes those who have "fallen off the radar".
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:36 AM
 
16,545 posts, read 13,446,267 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MTAtech View Post
Ahem:

From CNN Money:

Yeah, those pesky number.
CNN money is spinning in their seats. Just watch what happens in Jan. You will see an "UNEXPECTED" rise in people collecting UE again. You know what that's from right? Yep, you guessed it, all the holiday hirings being laid off again. It happens EVERY YEAR and some here fall for it every time.
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:38 AM
 
16,545 posts, read 13,446,267 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btsilver View Post
um u6 unemployment rates have fallen. That includes those who have "fallen off the radar".
No it doesn't. They don't count those people anymore. Actually, they count them as going back to work. So much for the workforce actually growing at the rate they said it was, many of those SUPPOSED hirings are just people who exhausted their UE benefits and are sitting home.
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:44 AM
 
Location: Montgomery Village
4,112 posts, read 4,472,568 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SourD View Post
No it doesn't. They don't count those people anymore. Actually, they count them as going back to work. So much for the workforce actually growing at the rate they said it was, many of those SUPPOSED hirings are just people who exhausted their UE benefits and are sitting home.
Actually no, they are counted in u6. Where did you read that they didn't?
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:44 AM
 
Location: Dallas, TX
31,767 posts, read 28,804,560 times
Reputation: 12341
Quote:
Originally Posted by theunbrainwashed View Post
First of all, it's the Christmas season. Hiring ALWAYS goes up before and during the Christmas period. This is as concrete as the sun rising in the east and setting in the west
That ain't as set in stone as you make it to be. Let us see the numbers for job growth in private sector, in October and in November through the years (years when November did better than October in green, otherwise red):

2001: -358K, -343K
2002: +113K, -14K
2003: +149K, +41K
2004: +320K, +28K

2005: +100K, +304K
2006: +6K, +190K
2007: +74K, +98K

2008: -491K, -787K
2009: -250K, -34K
2010: +143K, +128K
2011: +117K, +140K

So, in six out of eleven years, job growth in November was better than it was in October. In five years, it was the opposite. In other words, November doesn't guarantee a better hiring season than the previous month. It is however generally true that when job growth was in fashion, November brought better results, the exceptions being 2001 and 2010. Worry less about those libbies, and worry more about what you present as facts.

Quote:
Second, each administration defines unemployment differently, if they want to. The way Obama defines unemployment, if I was the president, I can get the UE down to 4%! All I would have to do is convince the states to close down their unemployment offices and end unemployment benefits. When people stop receiving unemployment, they fall off the radar and, tada! the unemployment rate goes down

Just ignore those pesky numbers that tell you what the labor participation rate is in comparison to the civilian workforce. Those numbers don't matter. Only UE does!
Would you mind highlighting the difference in UE calculation between Bush administration and Obama administration, and how it has helped lower numbers under Obama? Thanks in advance.
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:50 AM
 
16,545 posts, read 13,446,267 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by btsilver View Post
Actually no, they are counted in u6. Where did you read that they didn't?
They aren't counted because it is impossible to. I know this because I work for a State Labor Dept. They have NO IDEA what happened to a person after they exhaust their benefits. How does anyone know they actually went back to work or are sitting home? There is absolutely no way to track this, so they just consider them back to work because it looks better that way.
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Old 12-02-2011, 09:52 AM
 
656 posts, read 648,093 times
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Thank you for creating the new jobs, President Obama.
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Old 12-02-2011, 10:08 AM
 
Location: Montgomery Village
4,112 posts, read 4,472,568 times
Reputation: 1712
Quote:
Originally Posted by SourD View Post
They aren't counted because it is impossible to. I know this because I work for a State Labor Dept. They have NO IDEA what happened to a person after they exhaust their benefits. How does anyone know they actually went back to work or are sitting home? There is absolutely no way to track this, so they just consider them back to work because it looks better that way.
What state was that?

So am I to assume that "discouraged workers" are collecting unemployment benefits? Do "marginally attached workers" collect benefits as well?
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Old 12-02-2011, 10:09 AM
 
Location: Tampa (by way of Omaha)
14,561 posts, read 23,054,326 times
Reputation: 10356
Quote:
Originally Posted by MTAtech View Post
I don't know what 'experts' you were reading but ADP was predicting +120K a few days ago.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics doesn't fudge employment numbers at the request of the White House.

What this shows is that the economy is slowly improving. It still isn't anything near the Clinton employment numbers of an average gain of 250,000 per month but it's sure better than the last year of the Bush years.
Gotta love facts.
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Old 12-02-2011, 10:13 AM
 
8,091 posts, read 5,908,227 times
Reputation: 1578
Unemployment in the last quarter of 2007 under Bush was under 4.5... he didn't HAVE to make up 120,000k jobs... His footprint was MUCH smaller than Obama's.... And that being said 120,000k is garbage. 8.6 is not good.

Bush sucked too by the way... thanks
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