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Obama won by over 4 million votes; the projected non white share in 2016 will be 2-3 points higher (it was over 2 this year, and has seen higher increases in the past few cycles). 2.5% more would add 3 million votes, a 2.5 million minimum additional edge to the Dems, even if Rubio ran as the platform drove the exodus from the GOP. That would give the Dems a 7 million edge.
Romney won white males by the same margin as RR 1984; he won evangelicals as well as either RR or the Bushes. The problem is moderates and independents abhor the platform of today's GOP.
Realistically they must be given a reason to change their minds-3.5 million times. If the GOP loses in 2016, future races will be even worse, as within 3 elections, the Latino voting block is 20 million larger.
lols. Since when did we elect presidents by poular vote? lols.
Assuming red states stay red and blue states stay blue, all Republicans have to do is pick up a few swing states. Romney lost by less than 400,000 votes in swing states. And it would have been closer had he not made Libertarians mad by refusing to acknowledge Ron Paul at the convention. He might have even won.
To suggest that Republicans can't win in the future is complete nonsense.
I think their goal at this point is to pass laws to prevent 7 million lawful Democratic voters from exercising their rights. That is easier for them then trying to moderate.
Where did you get the idea that moderates and independents abhor the platform of today's GOP?.
When 48 states vote as 2008, and 19 are blue 24 straight years, encompassing 50 more electoral votes than the 21 red of the same era, it is the party, not the nominee, driving the non-competitive nature of the GOP.
lols. Since when did we elect presidents by poular vote? lols.
Assuming red states stay red and blue states stay blue, all Republicans have to do is pick up a few swing states..
They have to win 10 of 10.
19 blue states 6 straight, plus NM & Va now blue due to demographic changes get Dems past 260 electoral with 10 swing states left. GOP starts with solid states under 190 (70 to 0 score start of game-ouch!!) .
Odds of wqnning 10 of 10 = 2 to the tenth power 1/(2 * 2 * 2 *2 *2 *2 *2 *2 *2 *2), assuming a 50/50 shot at each. 2 to the 10th power = 1 in 1,024.
That is the Whig moment unless the GOP moderates to win several of the 21 now solid Blue states.
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