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Old 04-15-2014, 05:39 PM
 
24,832 posts, read 37,344,316 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Adhom View Post
Republicans can certainly gain a lot of votes if they can guarantee a middle income job or better to anyone who votes for them. But since that hasn't happened, maybe it's not so strange people who are struggling are voting for those who seem care about their self preservation.

Creating jobs doesn't make you richer, making more money does. I'm not sure why there is always this assumption that the desire to make more money equates to creating more jobs.
Have you ever worked for a poor person??
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Old 04-15-2014, 05:42 PM
Status: "We need America back!" (set 2 days ago)
 
Location: Suburban Dallas
52,688 posts, read 47,955,803 times
Reputation: 33845
Quote:
Originally Posted by ambient View Post
Here is what would help people find work... the existence of jobs.

Neither Democrats nor Republicans have even the slightest shred of a clue how to create them.
Republicans don't believe that government is the answer to jobs, anyway. It's about freeing up the people and allowing freedom in this thing called the private sector.
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:01 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,368,360 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
A little outdated but the point is there.

CHART SHOCK: The REAL Inflation Rate Is 10%

If the CPI were still calculated as it was in the 1980s under Paul Volcker, it would show a very different picture of inflation than what is promulgated by Chairman Bernanke.

CHART SHOCK: The REAL Inflation Rate Is*10% - Home - The Daily Bail
OK apparently you actually believe this. The fictional graph from the link is from shadowstats is pretty legendary. Do you know how they get their graph? They pick a constant value and add it to the CPI. Theres no economics behind it, its all made up.

And then places like the one you quote use it to spread fear uncertainty and doubt. IE you're wrong. Theres no actual economics to back you up on this, the only math involved is "take current inflation, and add X"
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:04 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,368,360 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by Driller1 View Post
Have you ever worked for a poor person??
Have you ever been hired by anyone who didn't in one way or another depend on poor people to do the work for them to survive? You know, farmhands for example. Walmart employees.
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:07 PM
 
24,832 posts, read 37,344,316 times
Reputation: 11538
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
Have you ever been hired by anyone who didn't in one way or another depend on poor people to do the work for them to survive? You know, farmhands for example. Walmart employees.
I really never wanted to work for anyone.

That is why I have my own business.
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:38 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,191,640 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
OK apparently you actually believe this. The fictional graph from the link is from shadowstats is pretty legendary. Do you know how they get their graph? They pick a constant value and add it to the CPI. Theres no economics behind it, its all made up.

And then places like the one you quote use it to spread fear uncertainty and doubt. IE you're wrong. Theres no actual economics to back you up on this, the only math involved is "take current inflation, and add X"
Inflation Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure

Inflation Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure

So it's your position that the way inflation is figured hasn't changed since 1980? And if you agree with the simple indisputable fact that it has, what is inflation today using those measures?
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:48 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,368,360 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Inflation Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure

Inflation Actually Near 10% Using Older Measure

So it's your position that the way inflation is figured hasn't changed since 1980? And if you agree with the simple indisputable fact that it has, what is inflation today using those measures?
No thats not my position. I am well aware that the methodology changed, and even why. I DO agree it can be off, but not by a factor of 5X....but lets turn this around.

Lets say "Gosh you know what, you're right pknopp. It IS 10% since 1980.....So lets apply that to minimum wage shall we? I mean hey-lets keep minimum wage up at that 10% inflation rate shall we?

$3.10/hr in 1980
By your math, minimum wage should be $79.19.

Hmmmm......The moral of this story is "math is not that hard"
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:51 PM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
18,782 posts, read 17,358,834 times
Reputation: 7990
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
A lot of folks here are all about "if we cut off unemployment those people will actually go find work". They have a mistaken belief that the reason our unemployment is what it is is because of unemployment being available. This of course is insane to anyone who spends some time thinking instead of repeating slogans they hear on the radio.

So 538's got a early look at the data (and to be fair they say its too early to be completely conclusive, but its VERY consistent with other research on the topic):
Losing Benefits Isn’t Prodding Unemployed Back to Work | FiveThirtyEight

This of course shouldn't be a surprise, unemployed people do not spontaneously create jobs just because they want one. Many here have pointed at a earlier experiment where a state stopped their unemployment as a great success, and their resulting unemployment rate went down-ignoring the reality that the total employed in the state didn't change.
Harvard economist Robert Barro would disagree with you:
Robert Barro: The Folly of Subsidizing Unemployment - WSJ.com

It's not insane, it's just common sense. Any regulation like this will be helpful in a few cases, and abused in most cases. I knew a guy who ran small real estate business and had to lay people off after the crash of 2008. When things started to get better, he called them back one by one. In several cases he was told flat out, I've still got X weeks of unemployment left. Why would I want to come back to work?

Meanwhile people who show up for work every day and will never collect UE, continue to contribute their FUTA tax. Oh I know, the employer pays it...that is a legal fiction, according to economics 101. The money comes out of the worker's pocket.
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:53 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,368,360 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by wutitiz View Post
Harvard economist Robert Barro would disagree with you:
Robert Barro: The Folly of Subsidizing Unemployment - WSJ.com

It's not insane, it's just common sense. Any regulation like this will be helpful in a few cases, and abused in most cases. I knew a guy who ran small real estate business and had to lay people off after the crash of 2008. When things started to get better, he called them back one by one. In several cases he was told flat out, I've still got X weeks of unemployment left. Why would I want to come back to work?

Meanwhile people who show up for work every day and will never collect UE, continue to contribute their FUTA tax. Oh I know, the employer pays it...that is a legal fiction, according to economics 101. The money comes out of the worker's pocket.
Facts and reality disagree with him. Shrug.

And his response is based off of "a guy I knows story"

Sure.
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Old 04-15-2014, 06:54 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,191,640 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by greywar View Post
No thats not my position. I am well aware that the methodology changed, and even why. I DO agree it can be off, but not by a factor of 5X....but lets turn this around.
Not yet.....you say it's wrong but you can't tell me what it is?

Quote:
Lets say "Gosh you know what, you're right pknopp. It IS 10% since 1980.....So lets apply that to minimum wage shall we? I mean hey-lets keep minimum wage up at that 10% inflation rate shall we?

$3.10/hr in 1980
By your math, minimum wage should be $79.19.

Hmmmm......
Maybe you need to understand the argument. The argument isn't that it's 10% since 1980. It's that it's currently 10% using 1980 measurements.

Is the argument that inflation is far higher than the government is claiming a valid argument that the minimum wage should be higher? Yes it is but the problem is the government's Wall Street welfare programs causing inflation, not that the minimum wage is too low. We need to stop the welfare programs and then those on making minimum wage will be better off.
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