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"Yes, the polls were wrong. But some forecasters, who typically rely on polls and often combine them with other data to give odds on who will win, were less wrong than others. It doesn’t take fancy math to determine that Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight forecasts, although they gave Hillary Clinton better odds than they did Trump, were the least wrong. Not only did he give Trump more than a 1-in-4 chance to win the election, but he also repeatedlydefended his forecasts’ bullishness on Trump, for reasons that later provedprescient. Other high-profile forecasts gave Trump small-to-vanishing odds."
"Yes, the polls were wrong. But some forecasters, who typically rely on polls and often combine them with other data to give odds on who will win, were less wrong than others. It doesn’t take fancy math to determine that Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight forecasts, although they gave Hillary Clinton better odds than they did Trump, were the least wrong. Not only did he give Trump more than a 1-in-4 chance to win the election, but he also repeatedlydefended his forecasts’ bullishness on Trump, for reasons that later provedprescient. Other high-profile forecasts gave Trump small-to-vanishing odds."
Buy, hey, keep on believing in them.
Update: You're still blabbering about tRump vs Hill 2016.
That's down from 56% approval at Rasmussen and up from 42% approval at Gallup since Jan 20th. Gallup tracks "Americans". Rasmussen tracks "likely voters". Both polls indicate he bottomed out in July.
When people get a pay raise in February as the new witholding rates kick in Trump may see an uptick, but there are an awful lot of moving parts these days.
The only moving parts these days are democrat large intestines moving multiple times per day at their prospects for 2018.
Wow !! The means Trump is going to win with a much bigger landslide in 2020!!
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