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This could be the beginning of a Red Wave. The Democrats have to win all the easy races and a lot of the hard ones. If the Republicans can hold on to open seats in solidly Republican Districts and use the power of incumbency to hold on in more close fought districts, they will be able to hold the House or better. Now, if the Democrat had been able to win this seat by 5 points or so, it would be a different story.
Except GOP operatives are saying the opposite. Republicans who aren’t trying to spin this know the results are not a good sign.
I didn't bother to read this thread, since it starts off with a false premise. No winner has been declared in this race. I know this because that's what the Ohio Secretary of State's office has said. They have to finish counting the thousands of remaining votes, and then see who has the most votes. It's pretty basic in terms of how elections work - the votes get counted and the person with the most votes wins (Electoral College notwithstanding of course). Right now, the margin is well under the number of outstanding votes, so no one knows who actually got the most votes.
It could very well be Balderson, I'm not saying it's not. I'm not that no one knows at this point, regardless of who has claimed victory by the GOP. That's a wish at the moment, not a fact.
Republican stronghold where Trump won by 11 points with Trump holding rallies and RNC pouring in a boatload of money.
1500 vote difference with 3500 votes left to count.
The numbers are actually in flux.
That 3500 number are provisional ballots - not all of those will be deemed eligible so we don't really know how many more of those will get counted right now.
And there were also 5000-odd outstanding mailed out ballots. Most of those won't come back, but even a few hundred votes could make a difference in something this close.
CNN is still claiming that "Ohio election too close to call" on their front page. Once they finally have to admit that the blue wave failed to show up again, who will be blamed?
If the same trend happens in House races across the country like what happened in the Ohio 12 special election, Democrats will pick up a minimum of about 40 seats giving them control of the House. Another 60 or so races would be within 2 points of Democrats flipping.
Why is there even a thread on “too close to call” the op could have checked around before starting this up. Even if O’Conner loses the margin was too close in what was a heavy Trump district, that should have been the title not some fake news nonsense.
From what I can tell, Democrats are up about 10 points up in recent races.
Whether this holds remains to be seen.
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