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Old 09-03-2019, 09:41 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
Reputation: 28324

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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW Crow View Post
Rasmussen seems fairly accurate... now that they have fallen back in line with the bulk of polls.



I know how far right and a servant of corporations Jesse Helms was (especially banking and tobacco, both of whom employed him earlier in his career). I worked for a year back when to try to beat him.
Rasmussen seems to follow a sine wave rising and falling by 2-3 times their MOE in a matter of a few days. They were Trump -7 on Monday and I would not be surprised to see Trump _+4 this week. Something is wrong if their samples fluctuate that much. Public opinion on Trump is stuck in a narrow band according to every other poll being taken.

 
Old 09-10-2019, 03:20 PM
 
21,430 posts, read 7,456,856 times
Reputation: 13233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Westie15 View Post
Most of the other polls are very left wing.

I would average between those polls and Rasmussen
You may go ahead and do that, but I caution against it.
 
Old 09-10-2019, 04:01 PM
 
412 posts, read 145,524 times
Reputation: 126
Why? Seems to be pretty logical.

Average the left with the right
 
Old 10-03-2019, 07:01 AM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,486,570 times
Reputation: 14398
Trump also has the highest support for impeachment.


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...esident-trump/
 
Old 10-03-2019, 01:49 PM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,519,803 times
Reputation: 10096
Default Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019 amid impeachment inquiry

According to polling done by The Hill, President Trump's approval rating has climbed to the highest level this year in the aftermath of the Democrat's politically motivated "Impeachment inquiry".

Quote:
Trump approval climbs to highest level of 2019 amid impeachment inquiry

President Trump’s approval ticked up to 49 percent — its highest mark this year, according to a new Hill-HarrisX survey released on Wednesday. The figure marks a 2-point increase from a Sept. 11-12 poll, but a 2-point decrease from its previous peak of 51 percent in August 2018. Trump's disapproval rating, meanwhile, dropped to 51 percent, which marks his lowest level so far this year.

The nationwide survey was conducted on Sept. 28 and 29, less than a week after House Democrats launched a formal impeachment inquiry into Trump over concerns raised in a whistleblower's complaint about the president's communications with Ukraine.
The goal of this effort by the Dems was of course to try to drive President Trump's approval ratings down, and that quite substantially, because they apparently do not believe they are likely to be able to beat him at the polls in November 2020.

This politically motivated weaponization of the impeachment process appears to be backfiring on them. Yet again.
 
Old 10-03-2019, 02:07 PM
 
5,278 posts, read 6,213,202 times
Reputation: 3128
Its an online poll of 1000 voters. And they weighted to reflect overall national demographics- while there is nothing wrong with weighting it does not correlate to voters.


The other big issue is that it is a national poll. If Trump inched up by going to 90% approval in Tennessee, Alabama, South Dakota, and Wyoming, it does not mean he is in good shape electorally. The true measure will be where the numbers move in individual states. Gardner, Collins, and McBath are the three Rs in swing or D leaning states that will tell the tale in terms of Senate votes- along with Romney who is in a safe seat.


From 1998 to 2000 Clinton saw a post impeachment surge in support. The country then turned around and voted for the R instead of the VP would continue his legacy.
 
Old 10-03-2019, 02:09 PM
 
2,923 posts, read 978,068 times
Reputation: 2080
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
Its an online poll of 1000 voters. And they weighted to reflect overall national demographics- while there is nothing wrong with weighting it does not correlate to voters.


The other big issue is that it is a national poll. If Trump inched up by going to 90% approval in Tennessee, Alabama, South Dakota, and Wyoming, it does not mean he is in good shape electorally. The true measure will be where the numbers move in individual states. Gardner, Collins, and McBath are the three Rs in swing or D leaning states that will tell the tale in terms of Senate votes- along with Romney who is in a safe seat.


From 1998 to 2000 Clinton saw a post impeachment surge in support. The country then turned around and voted for the R instead of the VP would continue his legacy.
every poll is weighted and most are weight in favor of democrats if you actually look at the methodology
 
Old 10-03-2019, 02:10 PM
 
Location: Montgomery County, PA
16,569 posts, read 15,274,757 times
Reputation: 14591
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
Its an online poll of 1000 voters. And they weighted to reflect overall national demographics- while there is nothing wrong with weighting it does not correlate to voters.
Somebody has this on clipboard for quick cut and paste anytime Trump's polling goes up.
 
Old 10-03-2019, 02:16 PM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,519,803 times
Reputation: 10096
Quote:
Originally Posted by TBMorgan View Post
Tallest midget poll. Trumps favorability measured against himself. Economy, unemployment rates, low visibility of wars, he should be in the 70% positives. But because he's a lowlife, people think less of him.
If the Democrat's "impeachment inquiry" attempt to harass President Trump out of office was in any way achieving its desired objective, his level of support from his base would be falling and falling noticeably. Instead, it is going up.

This latest politically motivated effort by the Democrat left to oust the duly elected President of the United States by non-electoral means is not having the desired effect. It is not working.
 
Old 10-03-2019, 02:19 PM
 
46,281 posts, read 27,099,738 times
Reputation: 11126
Quote:
Originally Posted by TBMorgan View Post
Tallest midget poll. Trumps favorability measured against himself. Economy, unemployment rates, low visibility of wars, he should be in the 70% positives. But because he's a lowlife, people think less of him.



2+ years of 99% negativity from the msm.....and he is climbing....



Where was obama at this same time frame?
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