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Old Today, 04:59 PM
 
7,364 posts, read 4,270,065 times
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The whole country is going blue. Demographics show that is inevitable unless the Republicans do something drastic to their platform to appeal to more people. There may be a few more cycles of electoral vote and gerrymandered wins. But eventually the popular vote and the electoral vote will align.
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Old Today, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Right here; Right now
8,948 posts, read 4,478,454 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by retiredcop111 View Post
What is happening in Texas is all the illegals pouring over the border. No doubt some of them are voting. Wont be long before our country turns into Venezuela!!
‘Why Aren’t Democrats Winning the Hispanic Vote 80-20 or 90-10?’

"Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN, formerly the New Democrat Network, a pro-Democratic think tank, wrote, “In All Important Florida, Democrats Lose Ground With Hispanic Voters” a month after the 2018 election:
"In an election where Democrats had one of their best years ever with Hispanic voters across the country, Florida Democrats saw their Hispanic numbers decline. Nationally, Democrats went from 62-36 (26 pts) in 2014 to 69-29 (40 pts) this election. In Florida, Democrats went from 58-38 (20 pts) in 2014 to 54-44 (10 pts) this year."
As Rosenberg pointed out, this shift occurred despite the fact that Trump did everything possible to alienate Latinos, along with undercutting Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis, the winning Republican candidates for Senate and governor."
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Old Today, 05:38 PM
 
29,768 posts, read 15,581,805 times
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Originally Posted by notnamed View Post
The whole country is going blue. Demographics show that is inevitable unless the Republicans do something drastic to their platform to appeal to more people. There may be a few more cycles of electoral vote and gerrymandered wins. But eventually the popular vote and the electoral vote will align.
So the GOP needs to promote open borders and higher taxes to win?
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Old Today, 05:50 PM
 
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Texas has a host of demographic issues that threaten GOP strangle hold on that state.

Ted Cruz is proof that not all Latino/Hispanics are democrats, but that conservative base isn't very large for said demographic.

This increasingly is the face of Latino/Hispanic politics not just in Texas, but Florida and other states as well.

https://www.texastribune.org/2019/07...un-run-senate/

Trump's win, and subsequent GOP casting out of moderates along with their standing solidly behind His Orangness regardless is only going to hasten their demise.

DT's unexpected win in 2016 was a hail Mary pass. GOP has been attempting to build upon this by launching all sorts of policies and whatever that appeal to their rabid red meat base. OTOH along the way they've manged to offend LGBT, women, many minorities and a host of others.

People aren't stupid; you can't pee on their legs and tell them it's raining. They see DT his, and GOP for what they are; and unless the latter goes into OT to reverse that image they're done.

Yes, His Orangeness likely will win re-election, but GOP won't take the House, and may lose senate seats. In 2024 when everything is up for grabs (and DT is gone), GOP is going to have their hands full trying to keep the WH and senate.

Cranky and bitter old white men and their wives of the Boomer generation are dying out. While there may be some youngster to replace, it isn't nearly enough to stop the demographic tidal wave that is going to hit USA.

People need to face the fact, because it is a fact whites (non-Hispanic) are going to be come a minority not just in select states, but nationwide in a few generations. Religion is becoming less and less part of people's lives (especially the younger generations), and if they don't bring up their kids with it, that is only going to hasten the slide.

More bad news is that once again movement is into major cities/urban areas increasing their populations, while suburbs and rural areas are seeing population declines.

People hate on states like CA and NY, but (sadly) that is way things are heading for much of the nation. No not all; you're never going to drag Alabama, Mississippi and a few other states into the 21st century entirely. But such places will be increasingly outliers.
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Old Today, 05:59 PM
 
Location: FL
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Quote:
Originally Posted by silverkris View Post
You meant to say Puerto Ricans who left the island can vote in their new state of residence, right? Puerto Ricans are US citizens and they can vote in elections on the mainland if they've established residence there. Lots of them in Central Florida, as you've mentioned.
You are correct.
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Old Today, 06:08 PM
 
Location: Seattle
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Perhaps losing Texas will finally pull Republicans back to the center? One can hope.
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Old Today, 06:11 PM
 
11,446 posts, read 2,833,858 times
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Voter ID, paper ballots, no vote by mail weeks in advance, culling voter registration of inactive accounts. That will solve most of the fraud.
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Old Today, 06:17 PM
 
21,037 posts, read 13,939,081 times
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Originally Posted by rjshae View Post
Perhaps losing Texas will finally pull Republicans back to the center? One can hope.
That ship has sailed. Districts are drawn in such a gerrymandered fashion that GOP voters are almost universally of one majority. For senate and WH you'd have to be one heck of a republican (moderate) candidate to carry. Again GOP has virtually driven out all moderates leaving things what they are.

Proof of this is that not one single republican is going to primary DT.
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Old Today, 06:21 PM
 
7,364 posts, read 4,270,065 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PedroMartinez View Post
So the GOP needs to promote open borders and higher taxes to win?
No. But they’ve got to make themselves more inclusive and appealing to more than just their current base somehow.
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Old Today, 06:25 PM
 
Location: annandale, va & slidell, la
7,484 posts, read 3,083,199 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by craigiri View Post
https://www.washingtonpost.com/polit...=.4eb5dbaac4f4

A couple articles, including a good one at 538, are addressing this.

Not to say it's all going to happen in one election, but it is well underway. I think 3 GOP Congress Critters are resigning because their districts are likely to go Blue (Hillary actually won them!) and they see the writing on the wall.

Odds still favor Orange Man for POTUS, but the House members from TX are likely to swing more blue each election and it is going to be difficult for the state to have the Rabid Effect it has has in the past on DC Politics because "For the People" means that their representatives should be listened to.

"Recent Republican congressional retirements have stoked party concerns, particularly the surprising Thursday announcement by a rising star, Rep. Will Hurd, that he would not seek reelection in his highly competitive district"

"A Quinnipiac poll released in June found that 48 percent of Texans approved of Trump’s job performance while 49 percent said they disapproved. That poll also found that Trump is effectively tied in Texas with several of the top contenders in the Democratic race."

I'm not predicting a Trump loss there....but, wow, the GOP is going to have to spend, spend, spend in places that it can usually overlook and that's not going to help them any with the national scene.

"Cruz said those figures should alarm Republicans nationally about Democratic turnout in 2020 "

Cruz may be a horrible person....but one thing he is not is stupid.

This is a state that discussed leaving the Union recently.....this sheds some light on how big of a deal this is. I suppose we might hear talk about the state breaking into pieces next as I cannot imagine that the Establishment will take this sitting down!
You must be thrilled! Before you know it Texas will have more landscape labor than California.
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