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Old 08-28-2019, 06:53 AM
 
17,453 posts, read 4,617,333 times
Reputation: 12023

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Quote:
Originally Posted by jazzarama View Post
I'll take the over. 20+%. 14 months too far away to say whether closer to 24% or Romney's 30%.
Big diff - always a margin of error so I am official at 19-21%, which is a shellacking (1 of 5 vote GOP).

I'll consider you a win on anything at a solid 22 or better.
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Old 08-28-2019, 07:01 AM
 
Location: Northern NJ/Amagansett, NY
11,653 posts, read 10,484,626 times
Reputation: 8159
Quote:
Originally Posted by craigiri View Post
Well, toss out a 2020 prediction for me? How many Jews will vote GOP?

I say less than 20%. What say you?
Quote:
Originally Posted by jazzarama View Post
I'll take the over. 20+%. 14 months too far away to say whether closer to 24% or Romney's 30%.
Quote:
Originally Posted by craigiri View Post
Big diff - always a margin of error so I am official at 19-21%, which is a shellacking (1 of 5 vote GOP).

I'll consider you a win on anything at a solid 22 or better.
Changing the score after the bet is placed? Man, I would hate to have you as a bookie.
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Old 08-28-2019, 07:12 AM
 
17,453 posts, read 4,617,333 times
Reputation: 12023
Quote:
Originally Posted by AnesthesiaMD View Post
Changing the score after the bet is placed? Man, I would hate to have you as a bookie.
I have a cuz who is a champion Poker player...but not me.

I don't think there is any true way to know votes other than exit polls which have a margin of error. But, obviously 20.7% is closer to 21%, although it is expressed as 20%.

Let's look.......

"The J Street poll surveyed 1,139 Jewish voters with a margin of error of 3.3 points"

Yeah, that's pretty large.....3+ points. Being as we are generally talking about whether 1 in 4 will vote GOP or 1 in 5, I'm feeling fine about my margin of error....going for the 1 in 5.
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Old 08-28-2019, 07:25 AM
 
9,735 posts, read 4,994,065 times
Reputation: 3955
Quote:
Originally Posted by craigiri View Post
Big diff - always a margin of error so I am official at 19-21%, which is a shellacking (1 of 5 vote GOP).

I'll consider you a win on anything at a solid 22 or better.
Though the Jewish vote tends to drop for a prez seeking reelection, even with your margin of error, I'll take the over 21%.

I don't know what 'walk away from support of the D party' means. Would the Jewish vote for an R prez candidate have to reach 40, 50% ? Looking back, Reagan got 39% of the Jewish vote in '80 and Bush 35% in '88. Those didn't mark a trend toward deserting the D's.

Last edited by jazzarama; 08-28-2019 at 07:44 AM..
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Old 08-28-2019, 01:58 PM
 
2,620 posts, read 716,176 times
Reputation: 1658
Jews are socially liberal and almost all secular........so probably still going to vote leftist DEM...........
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Old 08-28-2019, 02:47 PM
 
Location: New York
578 posts, read 496,234 times
Reputation: 615
The Democratic Party is open borders, anti-white, and seeks to rewrite America’s white, Christian, western roots, history, and culture. So why would Jews leave? Throughout their history undermining their host country has been their modus operandi. The party is literally made for them.
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Old 08-28-2019, 04:06 PM
 
9,613 posts, read 17,690,406 times
Reputation: 10658
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rachel976 View Post
That's because (many) liberal Jews are so hateful toward Republicans - just look at the derision revealed on this thread - that prominent Dems feel secure they can get away with some awful behavior regarding Jews and still retain their vote.

It's a calculation. They fear that the antisemitic radicals - the Farrakhan followers, fhe Omar apologists, etc., will get angry if Dems take a strong stand against antisemitism, and it may cost them the anti-Jew vote.
Like I say, you should worry about the antisemitism in your own party...

Quote:
Originally Posted by montydean View Post
The Democratic Party is open borders, anti-white, and seeks to rewrite America’s white, Christian, western roots, history, and culture. So why would Jews leave? Throughout their history undermining their host country has been their modus operandi. The party is literally made for them.
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Old 08-28-2019, 04:14 PM
 
3,209 posts, read 2,066,842 times
Reputation: 384
Quote:
Originally Posted by kdog View Post
Like I say, you should worry about the antisemitism in your own party...

He's not a Republican he's a Liberaltarian


Quote:
Originally Posted by montydean View Post
Both
Libertarian
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Old 08-28-2019, 04:24 PM
 
462 posts, read 204,560 times
Reputation: 831
Quote:
Originally Posted by krichton View Post
According to Pew research, Jewish support for the democratic party is down to 79%. The tide is turning!!!
Good!
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Old 08-28-2019, 05:09 PM
Status: "unless there is no "there" there." (set 5 days ago)
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
4,399 posts, read 799,793 times
Reputation: 1437
Quote:
Originally Posted by charolastra00
Al Sharpton hasn't been relevant in years. Pick a different boogeyman.
Quote:
Originally Posted by NY Jew View Post
If so david Duke was, is and never will be relevant.

Ps. Irrelevant people are not praised before a presidential debate by the leader of the party
And Sharpton was President Obama's "go to man" on race issues.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/20...ce_339505.html

Only someone who hasn't paid attention in years would think Sharpton to be irrelevant.
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