Quote:
Originally Posted by mcmastersteve
Paul Negresco , it appears that my interest in having an intelligent discussion with someone who I originally thought may have a unique perspective from experience on events in the Caucas has fallen on deaf ears.
'Tis a shame that since I was genuinely interested in your thoughts about current events.
The fact was that I could tell you were intelligent, which was why I was hoping that you would be interested in putting the masters degree in political science to good use and engage in examining current events and possible future outcomes.
See I don't like to toot my own horn, but before you degrade yourself and resort to insults, I'll let you know that I don't buy into intellectual superiority based on a person's education, but there is a reason why I work within Canada's libertarian circle as an advisor on international events and forecasting political trends. This is a conversation forum, not a dissertation speech and yes I like to keep it fairly basic, so that everyone can join in the discussion instead of appearing arrogant.
Oh well, them's the breaks! and those links were intended for others who may not have known what we were talking about, but interested in learning about and joining and sharing their thoughts .
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Ok, dear friend! If so, I'll share my opinion if you are still interested? But you should take into consideration the fact that I am not a native speaker.
The Caucasus always were a complicated place from geopolitical point of view. Crossroads of interests of many Empires. Azerbaijanis and Turks believe in brotherhood between our nations, but there are some issues not being solved since the state relations built. Turkey has always supported Azerbaijan in Daghlyg-Karabakh (or Nagorno-Karabakh) conflict and in all other efforts of Azeri government. But everyone in Azerbaijan and Turkey knows that the only way to get back 20% of our territories which was occupied by Armenia with major help of Russia in 1992-1993 is war. Cause Armenians just pretend to negotiate and the status quo almost absolutely satisfies them. Agressor is an agressor. Azerbaijanians believe that Russia holds the key to resolve the conflict, but local ethnic conflicts in post-Soviet republics let Russian Federation to push on independent states whernever it wants. That is why these territories should be taken over back the same way as they were occupied. Turkey also knows that.
But Turks see that Azerbaijan is not doing anything serios for almost 15 years after the first war ended. We have a pipeline for exporting our oil to markets laying just near the front line. We have many foreign companies doing business in Azerbaijan. So it means that we won't start the war to retake the territories. So in this way Turkey is seeking ways to settle the Armenian issue of fake "genocide". Present government of Turkey has a different internal and especially foreign policy than previos gov's had. Azerbaijanis does not like that policy when Turkey intends to reopen borders. On the other hand there are some aspects of our foreign policy which are not supported by Turkey. But anyway I think it's a temporary complicacy.
I am not against of Turkey opening borders with Armenia. This could pull Armenia out of Russian influence and give chance to Turkey to play carrot and stick game. Cause Armenia since the independence economically was in a big s..t! It is especially obvious now. As far as a habit to trade withy Turkey and to good life is generated, Armenians will be in a trap and may go to big compromises. And for that Turkey should open a lot of workplaces in Armenia and when start pushing giving financial guaranties of economical growth. And Azerbaijan in couple of years could export oil, gas and electric power also to Armenia. This will help us to resolve the conflicts, both Armenian-Turkish political and Armenian-Azerbaijani territorial.
Will you have more questions, don't hesitate to ask.
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