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Old 02-24-2010, 07:08 PM
 
2,023 posts, read 5,309,992 times
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These kind of severe recessions waves usually happen every 60 to 70 years and last 23 years up to in some cases 26 years. Anyway this lower level of new home sales is good news and it will be good to see house prices come down more.
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Old 02-24-2010, 07:27 PM
 
Location: Buffalo, NY
3,570 posts, read 3,067,227 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
New home sales plummet 11.2 percent in January to annual rate of 309,000, lowest on record

The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that new home sales dropped 11.2 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual sales pace of 309,000 units, the lowest level on records going back nearly a half century.
So people are borrowing less - wasn't the loose mortgage lending standards considered part of the problem in the large number of defaults and foreclosures? Is this also a sign of tighter lending standards - no more 0% down mortgages, perhaps? I would be more worried if sales once again increased - maybe this is a sign that Americans are learning to live within their means.

Americans are saving more and borrowing less.

That may be "bad" for the economy, and unfortunately affects jobs. But, instead of building up the house of cards that credit spending creates, maybe this is a sign that responsibility is creeping back into the system.

Or maybe not.
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Old 02-24-2010, 07:34 PM
 
Location: Buffalo, NY
3,570 posts, read 3,067,227 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RocketSci View Post
So people are borrowing less - wasn't the loose mortgage lending standards considered part of the problem in the large number of defaults and foreclosures? Is this also a sign of tighter lending standards - no more 0% down mortgages, perhaps? I would be more worried if sales once again increased - maybe this is a sign that Americans are learning to live within their means.

Americans are saving more and borrowing less.

That may be "bad" for the economy, and unfortunately affects jobs. But, instead of building up the house of cards that credit spending creates, maybe this is a sign that responsibility is creeping back into the system.

Or maybe not.
I also saw where existing home sales were UP by 15% since the previous year in December, but the January figures are not out for a couple more days.
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Old 02-24-2010, 07:36 PM
 
Location: southern california
61,288 posts, read 87,365,858 times
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there will be a hugh drop in home prices in next 2 years.
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Old 02-24-2010, 07:50 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,052 posts, read 84,423,802 times
Reputation: 27720
The system is correcting itself. It last happened in 1929 and lasted until WWII.
Too much debt and sky high values. Just like we have today.

Prepare for it and it won't hurt you too bad. Not everyone was destitute during the Depression.
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Old 02-24-2010, 07:53 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,645 posts, read 26,356,025 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burdell View Post
So, why aren't the NeoConfused embracing Obama with open arms?

Because he's LD.
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Old 02-24-2010, 08:15 PM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,645 posts, read 26,356,025 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sunny-Days90 View Post
There has not been anytime in our history that anyone of us has seen things this bad. All thanks to Obama not creating the 5 million new jobs as promised and losing 9 million jobs total.


If had only worked on job creation a year ago instead of spending every single day on the HC scam many of your friends could have saved their homes.


But no, the poor decision making idiot worked on the WRONG problem.

The problem is that we don't export enough to pay our bills. We don't export enough because our products are too expensive. Our products are too expensive because we try to hide our unpaid bills in the cost of our exports. Our economy will rebound when we it makes economic sense to manufacture and export from the US. Until then, we are still living off our maxed-out credit cards. We may feel good about our latest purchase (government funded jobs), but we are still putting it all on the plastic and marching to bankruptcy.

"A thousand swing at the branches for one who strikes the root."
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Old 02-24-2010, 08:38 PM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
8,998 posts, read 14,779,580 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bchris02 View Post
I would imagine by 2015 we might be seeing some signs of recovery but that is being very hopeful. Most likely, this is going to take a full decade just to get out of recession and then we will see some real growth. I wouldn't expect real unemployment to fall below 10% until at least 2020. Economic prosperity will return, it will just be a long, long, long while. This happened in the 1870s and again in the 1930s. If it wasn't for WWII the 1930s depression probably would have lingered until at least 1950. Severe depressions are a natural part of the economic cycle. I just hate being part of the generation that is going to suffer the most from it.
This is just a natural part of capitalism.
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