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Old 05-31-2019, 08:06 AM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
Reputation: 1956

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ok..... it's time once again to look at hurricanes and what you need to do to be prepared IN ADVANCE

This thread already has great advice from last year this time so just start at the beginning.

If you still have questions, just ask.
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Old 05-31-2019, 11:35 AM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
Reputation: 1956
The 2019 Disaster Preparedness Sales Tax Holiday begins on Friday, May 31, 2019, and ends on
Thursday, June 6, 2019.


During this sales tax holiday period, qualifying items related to disaster
preparedness are exempt from sales tax.
The sales tax holiday does not apply to:
• the rental or repair of any of the qualifying items.
• sales in a theme park, entertainment complex, public lodging establishment, or airport.

CLICK TO READ ENTIRE LIST OF ITEMS https://revenuelaw.floridarevenue.co..._FINAL_RLL.pdf
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Old 06-05-2019, 05:42 PM
 
Location: Sunny South Florida
6,805 posts, read 3,483,987 times
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Oh, lord...not again. [/rolls eyes]
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Old 08-16-2019, 05:12 PM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
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oK... SEEMS IT'S TIME FOR ATTENTION - HURRICANE SEASON-- SO I AM BOOSTING THIS THREAD FOR 2019

here’s a rare win for mankind: the odds of an active — or, at least, a hyperactive — hurricane season have fallen in the past few weeks.

WeatherTiger’s full August update to our seasonal hurricane outlook will be released soon. You can read the full report next week on our website, but the highlight is that the most likely outcome for the 2019 hurricane season is total storm activity around 85-90% of average, or approximately 13 tropical storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.

According to our prescription-strength predictive analytics, chances of this season winding up in the bottom, middle, and top thirds of all seasons since 1950 are about 40%, 40%, and 20%, respectively.

This is modestly below the August outlook issued by Colorado State University of total storm activity of around 100% of normal, and further below NOAA’s official outlook for around 125% of average. Eagle-eyed readers may also note a step back from our own forecasts issued in April and June of this year which tilted slightly above average.

SwimFan-level obsessives may even recall that a few weeks ago, I mentioned the odds of a more active peak of the season were rising. So, why the reversal?

Essentially, the ocean and atmospheric conditions that influence how many hurricanes form have never been conducive to an active year. The Main Development Region (MDR) of the Tropical Atlantic has mostly been a little cooler than normal in the spring and summer, with a weak El Niño hanging on in the central Pacific. Both of these, historically, are linked to quieter hurricane seasons.

Our April and June forecast methodologies identified signals indicating these negative influences would potentially turn more favorable by the peak months of hurricane season.

As of early August, while some of these predicted changes have occurred, others have not. It remains possible that the environment over the Atlantic will become more conducive for storms over the remainder of August; this is basically what happened in 2018, causing almost all seasonal forecasts, including ours, to whiff on the low side.

There is no sign that this change is underway, though, and the chance of a rapid shift prior to September is declining.
That said, this is a candy and nuts forecast, with ifs and buts aplenty.

One key prediction made by our modeling in the spring was the summer collapse of El Niño. On the surface, this was a good forecast; currently, sea surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial Central Pacific have been cooler than the El Niño threshold for about six weeks.

BUT: the unusual twist is that the western Pacific remains Niño-like, while the eastern Pacific is cold enough to nearly resemble a weak La Niña. This Pacific bipolarity contributed to extreme volatility in Northern Hemisphere weather patterns in July, including record-melting heat in Europe and notably cool conditions in the eastern and central U.S.

This weather whiplash has had impacts on the evolution of the Tropical Atlantic as well. High-latitude blocking high pressure over the Northern Atlantic in the summer, seen over the past two weeks and likely to persist into mid-August, typically results in weaker easterly trade winds causing MDR warming.

BUT: recently, that high pressure has been so strong that it displaced the typical bands of winds circling the globe farther south than normal, keeping tropical trades unfavorably brisk and actually causing renewed cooling of the MDR in early August. This pattern has also flooded the Tropical Atlantic with dry, stable air, choking out any feints at development since mid-July. Historically, these oceanic and atmospheric conditions more commonly precede hurricane activity over the rest of the season that is near or below normal.

In short, sizing up hurricane season 2019 can leave even experienced seasonal forecasters asking, “whatever happened to predictability?” With an abundance of unusual juxtapositions in the air and at sea, forecast confidence is lower than normal, but we see the odds of a much above normal hurricane season declining on balance since June.

As a final note of caution, our analytical models focused on landfalling storm energy continue to predict near to incrementally above normal U.S. landfall risks. This is predominantly due to warmer waters close to the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines and potentially worrisome steering wind regimes in September and October.

Overall, the odds of at least one more U.S. hurricane landfall in 2019 are around 75%, with the highest chances of a landfall along the Gulf Coast. We’ll certainly keep watching the skies, and recommend you do so as well.

Two-thirds of all annual hurricane activity takes place in the six-week period between Aug. 24 and Oct. 4. Last August was exceptionally calm in the Atlantic, with only two weak subtropical storms, but boom went the dynamite between Sept. 1 and Oct. 10.

To be a meteorologist is to meditate daily on the nature of uncertainty. The only givens here are the standards of death and taxes, plus the Tallahassee radar going down in any rain heavier than light, and hurricane threats over three-day weekends.

When past performance doesn’t predict future results, the only option is to keep watching the skies.


SO... NEWBIES TO HURRICANES LOOK OVER PAST POSTS ON THIS THREAD TO SEE HOW TO PREPARE
IN ADVANCE OF WHAT WILL HAPPEN.....NOW....NOT THEN. THEN IS TOO LATE. SHELVES WILL BE EMPTY
AND YOU WILL WISH YOU HAD.... JUST GIVING EVERYONE A KICK START...
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Old 08-20-2019, 07:55 AM
 
Location: Venice, FL
9,662 posts, read 2,710,505 times
Reputation: 5894
Quote:
Originally Posted by LifeIsGood01 View Post
Buy a manual can opener and canned Tuna and canned chicken and vienna sausages and crackers. They will stay fresh, Most people cook with electric and when ti's out you can't cook. By then most of your food has spoiled in the fridge and supermarkets after Irma took about a week to get any refrigerated meats or cheese or eggs or cold cuts.

These pictures are of a Walmart supermarket area a few days after Irma.
I also keep a lot of Parmalat warm milk on hand since it wont spoil. It does taste a bit funky, but it has a long unfrigerated shelf life. You have to refigerate it after you open it.
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Old 08-20-2019, 08:46 AM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
Reputation: 1956
I get little packets of mayo, sugar, etc. to use as I go. Instant creamer or those little creamer cups for coffee, instant coffee, individual fruit cups, individual mac and cheese, etc. Anything that doesn't need to be refrigerated and comes in small containers. Oh...and honey doesn't spoil.

I can get them now and not worry about it at the last minute. Just take a walk through the grocery store and look for items that you could use. There is a lot to choose from if you aren't in a panic.

I cook on my camping grill. Works great for anything and portable if need be.
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Old 08-29-2019, 12:11 PM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
Reputation: 1956
bumping this to the top since we DO have a Hurricane coming in----
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Old 08-31-2019, 08:38 AM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
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....it's heerrre... and lets all hope it keeps heading NORTH and not to us

Hurricane Dorian: Indian River, Martin, St. Lucie counties to begin evacuations Sunday

Emergency Operations Centers across the Treasure Coast are not yet fully activated ahead of Hurricane Dorian, but Martin and Indian River counties expect to begin evacuation on Sunday, officials said Friday.

Shelters in Martin and Indian River Counties will open once evacuations begin.

Martin County
If Hurricane Dorian continues to track toward the Treasure Coast, evacuations in Martin County will begin Sunday morning, Martin County Fire Rescue Chief Bill Schobel said Friday.

“Our current plan is Sunday at 10 a.m. issuing a mandatory evacuation, but that’s with the current storm conditions,” Schobel said. “And when I say that … in the last 24 hours we’ve had significant changes in course from north of Martin County to then south of Martin County and now we’re back to north of Martin County.

Schobel urged anyone leaving the area to do that Saturday, and not wait.

“It will clear the roads for us and will allow us to move more freely,” he said.

The evacuation applies to people living on Hutchinson Island or Jupiter Island, Sewall's Point and anyone in manufactured or mobile homes and homes in low-lying areas.

Additional evacuation areas may be identified if conditions change.


Schobel said water to Hutchinson Island will shut off beginning at 5 p.m. Sunday.

“We need to protect the water pressure here in town because if we lose pressure on the island during the storm,” he said, “we’ll lose pressure throughout the county.”

Evacuation shelters will open on Sunday at 10 a.m. County officials urge residents to consider other options before opting to go to a shelter.

A special needs shelter will open Sunday at 10 a.m. at Anderson Middle School, 7000 SE Atlantic Ridge Drive in Stuart. Pre-registration is required at the special needs shelter at Anderson Middle School, located at 7000 S.E. Atlantic Ridge Drive in Stuart. Special needs shelters provide for limited needs such as oxygen, as well as transportation to and from the shelter.

People can register by phone at 772-287-1652 or online at https://member.everbridge.net/index/...5618683#/login

Residents must register for this shelter, which is designed for residents with electricity-dependent needs such as oxygen.

The county will open six additional shelters at 2 p.m. on Sunday, including one pet-friendly shelter. Those shelters are:

Port Salerno Elementary School, 3260 S.E. Lionel Terrace, Stuart
Jensen Beach High School, 2875 N.W. Goldenrod Road, Jensen Beach
Hidden Oaks Middle School, 2801 S.W. Martin Highway, Palm City
Warfield Elementary School, 15260 S.W. 150th Street, Indiantown
Anderson Middle School (Special Needs)-7000 S.E. Atlantic Ridge Drive, Stuart
Willoughby Learning Center (pet-friendly shelter)-5150 S.E. Willoughby Boulevard, Stuart
Registration will not be required for the pet-friendly shelter, which can hold up to 300 adult residents with their pets. There will be no air conditioning if the shelter loses power.

Martin County also is providing sand and bags to residents who wish to build their own sand bags at 2151 S.E. Aviation Way in Stuart from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. on Friday and Saturday. There is a limit of 25 bags per person and residents are encouraged to bring a shovel.

For additional Martin County hurricane preparedness information, call 772-287-1652 from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. until the Emergency Operations Center is fully activated. When the center is activated, the line will be manned 24 hours a day.

Indian River County
Chief Tad Stone, director of emergency services announced Friday that as soon as hurricane warnings are issued in Indian River County, officials will recommend a voluntary evacuation of the barrier island.

“We will not have shelters open at that time so if you can go across the state, stay with family, get inland further, that’s what we’re going to recommend,” he said Friday. “We started loading up our special needs shelter tonight and making sure we have enough staff in place, which we do.”

The county’s special needs shelter will open Sunday at 8 a.m., at Treasure Coast Elementary School, 8955 85th Street, in Sebastian.

A pet-friendly shelter and six general population shelters will open Sunday at 2 p.m., Stone said.

“At that time when we open the general population shelters, we will issue a mandatory evacuation order of the barrier island, basically everything to the east of US 1.,” he said.

The evacuation will apply to mobile homes, areas prone to flooding.

“We are expecting an awful lot of rain with this event in a very short period of time,” Stone said.

The county has designated Liberty Magnet School at 6850 81st Street in Vero Beach as a pet-friendly evacuation shelter.

Other shelters opening Sunday include:

Freshman Learning Center, 1507 19th St, Vero Beach
Oslo Middle School, 480 20th Ave SW, Vero Beach
Sebastian River Middle School, 9400 Fellsmere Rd, Sebastian
Fellsmere Elementary School, 50 N Cypress St, Fellsmere
The Emergency Operations Center has been partially activated, with staff available at the call center to field questions from the public.

Officials are encouraging people who have questions to call 772-226-4000 instead of 911 for further information. Prior to full activation of the EOC, staff at the call center will be available from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. After the EOC is activated, the phones will be staffed 24 hours per day.

Tipton emphasized that storm surge presents a significant threat, with a surge of 7 to 11 feet currently forecast. The storm surge forecast will drive evacuation orders, Tipton said. The county is currently working with schools and the Red Cross to identify shelter locations, Tipton said.

Though evacuations have not yet been announced, residents who expect to use the special needs shelter and pet-friendly shelter need to register, which people can do by calling 772-464-7433.

The county is beginning the process of organizing transit for shelters, including the special needs shelter at the Havert L. Fenn Center at 2000 Virginia Ave. in Fort Pierce.

Residents needing transportation to the special needs shelter should contact Community Transit at 772-464-RIDE (7433). If residents need transportation to general population shelters, they should contact the public information line at 772-460-HELP (4357).

Residents are strongly encouraged to shelter in place if they are not required to evacuate, Tipton said.

St. Lucie County Sheriff Ken Mascara said that anyone arrested for crimes of opportunity during this time will be held without bail. He also advised citizens to report any instances of price gouging they see at gas pumps to the Florida Attorney General by calling 866-966-7226.

The county is encouraging people to call the public information line at 772-460-HELP (4357) for hurricane-related information and only call 911 for true emergencies. The phone line will be staffed until 8 p.m. Friday and from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Saturday.
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Old 08-31-2019, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
4,495 posts, read 7,540,853 times
Reputation: 1956


Port St. Lucie is committed to ensuring the safety of citizens, and we’re asking residents to prepare with us. Although the track of Hurricane Dorian has shifted to the east, the City of Port St. Lucie is still within the cone of uncertainty as of the National Hurricane Center’s 11 a.m. advisory. City officials are urging residents to stay vigilant and continue to prepare. The National Weather Service has advised residents to “keep their guard up and continue to monitor the storm closely.”

The City’s Emergency Operations Center is currently partially activated. The City has requested emergency resources from the State logistics center in preparation of post storm response. The City continues to work closely with St. Lucie County officials and community partners and will provide status updates as necessary.

Hotlines:
The City has activated its Emergency Operations Hotline. Residents with questions can reach it at 772-873-6382 until 5 p.m. today and between 11 a.m. and 7 p.m. on Sunday. Residents can also call our News Line at 772-873-6397 to hear a recorded message of our latest information.
St. Lucie County’s EOC hotline is 772-460-HELP. Please reserve 911 for emergency calls.

The City has set up a webpage at http://www.cityofpsl.com/dorian where information for residents will be updated frequently. The City’s Facebook page @CityofPSL and the City’s Twitter page, @CityPortStLucie and NextDoor App page also will have up-to-the-minute information.

Please see the following NEW updates from the City:

· The four self-service drop off centers for yard waste are now closed. Waste Pro is operating normal routes Saturday, then services will be suspended until further notice. Code Compliance staff are out in neighborhoods educating residents about securing uncollected debris piles and assisting residents where possible.
· Starting today at 7 a.m., The Port St Lucie Police Department is on 13-hour emergency shifts until further notice. Citizens can expect to see an increased patrol presence in their neighborhoods and businesses as police do their best to protect them and their property.
· The Public Works Department is lowering water levels below control levels to provide capacity for anticipated rain. Due to the saturated ground, localized road flooding may occur with additional rain.
· Drivers should use caution as traffic signal heads on span wires have been removed, leaving the minimum needed to control traffic.
· Port St. Lucie Utility customers are encouraged to watch the following videos, which should answer a variety of questions regarding their service: https://youtu.be/J11MpC74_QU and https://youtu.be/I89BQRwoHmI
· Throughout today, the Building Department will continue to make contact with contractors to ask for sites to be secured. Staff observed Waste Pro and others picking up dumpsters well into the evening hours and many sites cleaned.
· Building Department teams are being prepared for post-storm actions to conduct damage assessments in the city.
Request for building inspections, on permitted work, are currently suspended until further notice.

Shelter Updates
Check with St. Lucie County for shelter opening times. The St. Lucie County Emergency Information Hotline is 772-460-HELP (4357).

As of noon Saturday, the county reports the following. However, this information is subject to change at their 5 p.m. update:
· At 10 a.m. Sunday, the Special Needs will open, please click here to preregister for this shelter.
· At 1 p.m. Sunday, the following shelters will open:
o Westwood High School (pet friendly) click here to pre-register
o Treasure Coast High School
o Lakewood Park Elementary
o Fort Pierce Central (County and Constitutional employees shelter)

Cancellations and Rescheduling of Classes, Events, Workshops and Meetings:
· PSL Civic Center Recreation & Humana Fitness & Wellness Center – Remain closed to the public and all events, programs and classes are canceled through Tuesday, September 3, 2019.
· PSL Community Center and Community Fitness & Wellness Center – Remain closed to the public and all events, programs and classes are canceled through Tuesday, September 3, 2019
· City Community Parks – All pre-storm preparation has been completed. All park gates and restroom facilities are locked.
· City Neighborhood Parks – All pre-storm preparation will be completed by the end of day today, Saturday, August 31, 2019. All park gates and restroom facilities are locked.
· Important Message-City Boating Facilities (C-24 Canal Park, Oak Hammock Park and Veterans at Rivergate Park):
The gates will remain open and unlocked until further notice at each of the three boating facilities cited above, to allow residents to retrieve their boats and for residents to have access to the boat ramps.
· Robert E. Minsky Gymnasium – remains closed to the public and all events, programs and classes are canceled through Tuesday, September 3, 2019.
· The Saints at PSL Golf Course – course is closed to the public. Staff will complete pre-storm activities by the end of the day today, Saturday, August 31, 2019. The onsite concessionaire, the 19th Hole, is also closed to the public.
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Old 09-02-2019, 05:23 PM
 
Location: Scottsdale
1,712 posts, read 850,782 times
Reputation: 3026
After getting hit by Hurricane Hermine in 2016 I prepared for subsequent hurricane seasons by moving out-of-state to AZ then NM. It's a tradeoff depending on lifestyle. I am originally from AZ but lived in Florida for about 13 years - mostly in the Panhandle but also one year in Davie. I remember hurricane weather. The twirling branches during rain bands in FL stick out compared to summer monsoon storms in the southwest. I was running down a mountain in Phoenix in 2018 and got caught in a monsoon with some hikers. I told them it was nothing compared to Hermine. I graduated from Florida and still root for the Gators. Stay safe out there. This one looks horrendous.
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