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Old 02-08-2012, 02:46 PM
 
Location: Cook County
5,286 posts, read 4,077,548 times
Reputation: 2989

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I love me a good futures bet. Here are the current odds to win the 2013 SB. Anyone like any of these?

Arizona: 30-1
Atlanta: 20-1
Baltimore: 12-1
Buffalo: 50-1
Carolina: 50-1
Chicago: 30-1
Cincinnati: 40-1
Cleveland: 100-1
Dallas: 20-1
Denver: 50-1
Detroit: 20-1
Green Bay: 5-1
Houston: 12-1
Indianapolis: 40-1
Jacksonville: 100-1
Kansas City: 50-1
Miami: 50-1
Minnesota: 100-1
New England: 7-1
New Orleans: 6-1
New York (Giants): 10-1
New York (Jets): 20-1
Oakland: 50-1
Philadelphia: 12-1
Pittsburgh: 12-1
San Diego: 15-1
San Francisco: 20-1
Seattle: 60-1
St Louis: 100-1
Tampa Bay: 100-1
Tennessee: 50-1
Washington: 100-1

A couple things that jump out at me are:

- San Fran being 20-1 seems like good value for a team that was a dropped fumble away from going to the SB. However, they will have a tougher schedule next year, and they won't sneak up on anyone. I am also inclined to worry about Alex Smith regressing from last year, or Hardbaugh reading too much of his own press.

- Denver being 50-1 doesn't surprise me, but I hope the over the top Tebow lovers realize what this means.

- I think my favorite "long" shot (50-1 or higher) is KC. Obviously I don't predict they will win it, but for 50-1, it might be worth a shot. Oakland is a close second, as I could see either of those two teams getting in the post season.

- Chicago at 30-1 seems good too (I know, I know, I'm a homer).

- Philly at 12-1 is though I realize they will be better next year.

Thoughts?
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Old 02-08-2012, 02:51 PM
 
Location: NJ
17,579 posts, read 21,238,855 times
Reputation: 15431
If I was looking to put money down on a long shot it may be Buffalo at 50-1. I think Dallas at 20-1 and SD at 15-1 are way too optimistic.

It will be interesting to see what changes when the Peyton situation is settled.
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Old 02-08-2012, 02:53 PM
 
Location: Cook County
5,286 posts, read 4,077,548 times
Reputation: 2989
Quote:
Originally Posted by manderly6 View Post
If I was looking to put money down on a long shot it may be Buffalo at 50-1. I think Dallas at 20-1 and SD at 15-1 are way too optimistic.

It will be interesting to see what changes when the Peyton situation is settled.
Yeah, the Jets number will be darn near cut in half if he goes there I have a feeling.
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Old 02-08-2012, 04:41 PM
 
Location: Two Rivers, Wisconsin
7,980 posts, read 6,501,292 times
Reputation: 10501
I'm surprised at Chicago, thought they would have better odds, Cutler will be back!

Buffalo was a fooler last year, then they fell apart, they could surprise people again.

What about Detroit, I would think they are better than Dallas. I for one would take Matt Stafford any day, any week over Romo, Stafford is an up and coming QB.

San Fran will have a tougher schedule, playing all 4 NFC North teams. Alex Smith did some good things but he is still a game manager and I'm not sure he can be consistent for the whole season.

The Pack should be good again they have to fix some holes, Clay and B.J. were doubled and tripled, by the end of the season, teams had the Packs number. I wonder if Nick Collins will be back, he was really missed, safeties just never had it together.

Interesting about Peyton, lots of factors there. He wants to be in total control so they have to find the right fit. Tough for some coaches to let their QB have that much say so on changing/calling plays.
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