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View Poll Results: who wins next weekends match ups?
Falcons over Seahawks 21 39.62%
Seahawks over Falcons 26 49.06%
Packers over 49ers 18 33.96%
49ers over Packers 28 52.83%
Ravens over Broncos 11 20.75%
Broncos over Ravens 34 64.15%
Texans over Patriots 11 20.75%
Patriots over Texans 37 69.81%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 53. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-06-2013, 08:44 PM
 
Location: Wouldn't you like to know?
9,114 posts, read 15,672,990 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kees View Post
Let's hear the reasoning why Seattle is going to knock off Atlanta... other than "Atlanta hasn't won a playoff game."
Atlanta is only a 1 point favorite at home (where you get 3 points for being home). Obviously some very smart people in Vegas have reasons for it to be such a tight line.....
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Old 01-06-2013, 08:51 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas
5,886 posts, read 4,189,221 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CouponJack View Post
Atlanta is only a 1 point favorite at home (where you get 3 points for being home). Obviously some very smart people in Vegas have reasons for it to be such a tight line.....
It's important to note that Vegas does NOT set lines based on how they think they outcome of the game will turn out. Some betting wizard in Vegas doesn't think Atlanta will win by 1 point. Betting lines are set in order to get equal action on both sides and really have more to do with public perception of the game rather than how Vegas feels the game will turn out. The "public", many on this forum, and many sports "journalists" believe that Atlanta will "choke" and wouldn't bet on Atlanta if the line was too big so in order to juice action on the Falcons side they set a tight line that matches public perception so that both sides get bet on fairly equally. Vegas doesn't care who wins, they care about making money and a game that is bet too heavily to one side hinders that.
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Old 01-06-2013, 08:54 PM
 
Location: Southern Willamette Valley, Oregon
6,837 posts, read 7,897,920 times
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I'm not sure why Seattle is flying back to the west coast and then flying back east for the game.

Stay in the time zone.
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Old 01-06-2013, 09:02 PM
 
Location: Seattle, Washington
2,533 posts, read 3,956,049 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ditchlights View Post

As for you, if Seattle does pull it out, will you root for them in the NFC Championship game?
I'll have to. I root for them anyway... unless they are playing the Falcons.

I don't see Atlanta losing Sunday... and here's just a few reasons....

Russell Wilson's first road playoff game not vs. another rookie Quarterback.

Matt Ryan is a 2 legged QB

Tony Gonzalez in pass coverage vs. their linebacking core.

The "sick of it" attitude of the Falcons. "We love the haters" ~ Asante Samuel

The possibility Nolan and Koetter have been not playing all their cards until this point.

Opportunistic defense. if SEA carries the ball a fair chunk down the field, a chance of a turnover in our end is very possible, therefore resulting in SEA running time off themselves and us maintaining/gaining a lead.

Better kicker.
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Old 01-06-2013, 09:11 PM
 
Location: Wouldn't you like to know?
9,114 posts, read 15,672,990 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorthGAbound12 View Post
It's important to note that Vegas does NOT set lines based on how they think they outcome of the game will turn out. Some betting wizard in Vegas doesn't think Atlanta will win by 1 point. Betting lines are set in order to get equal action on both sides and really have more to do with public perception of the game rather than how Vegas feels the game will turn out. The "public", many on this forum, and many sports "journalists" believe that Atlanta will "choke" and wouldn't bet on Atlanta if the line was too big so in order to juice action on the Falcons side they set a tight line that matches public perception so that both sides get bet on fairly equally. Vegas doesn't care who wins, they care about making money and a game that is bet too heavily to one side hinders that.
I understand all that. Honestly, I expect the line to jump up and Seattle to be getting a couple points by the time kickoff comes around...
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Old 01-06-2013, 09:12 PM
 
Location: Wouldn't you like to know?
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I'm picking the broncos and pats, however IMO one of the two other games a road team will win IMO. I can't figure out yet if it'll be the Seahawks or Packers....
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Old 01-06-2013, 09:16 PM
 
Location: Seattle, Washington
2,533 posts, read 3,956,049 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CouponJack View Post
I'm picking the broncos and pats, however IMO one of the two other games a road team will win IMO. I can't figure out yet if it'll be the Seahawks or Packers....
Seattle's best pass rusher (Clemons) could have a torn ACL. Having an MRI in Seattle tomorrow.

Might be better to go with GB...
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Old 01-06-2013, 10:46 PM
 
Location: Seattle, Washington
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On a side note, it will be interesting to hear the excuses for Atlanta beating Seattle on Sunday....

Which one will be most popular?

What will we hear?

1) yea...but its only one playoff victory.

2) yea....but they were only playing a team with a rookie leading them.

3) yea....that's good, but they will have their hands full in the conference championship.

4) yea....but lets talk about the other playoff teams.

5) yea...but they only go lucky.
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Old 01-07-2013, 05:08 AM
 
Location: Wouldn't you like to know?
9,114 posts, read 15,672,990 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kees View Post
On a side note, it will be interesting to hear the excuses for Atlanta beating Seattle on Sunday....

Which one will be most popular?

What will we hear?

1) yea...but its only one playoff victory.

2) yea....but they were only playing a team with a rookie leading them.

3) yea....that's good, but they will have their hands full in the conference championship.

4) yea....but lets talk about the other playoff teams.

5) yea...but they only go lucky.
If they win, I don't think anyone will say they got lucky. But definitely be ready for #3 to be talked about all next week.

The theme will be can the Falcons get the monkey off their back? Whether you like it or not, that will be the theme come Monday the 14th....
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Old 01-07-2013, 06:57 AM
 
Location: Palm Beach County
1,683 posts, read 3,689,593 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kees View Post
On a side note, it will be interesting to hear the excuses for Atlanta beating Seattle on Sunday....

Which one will be most popular?

What will we hear?

1) yea...but its only one playoff victory.

2) yea....but they were only playing a team with a rookie leading them.

3) yea....that's good, but they will have their hands full in the conference championship.

4) yea....but lets talk about the other playoff teams.

5) yea...but they only go lucky.
You'd think you were a Vikings fan with all that anger you have in you.
If Atl wins the critics will be somewhat silenced. Lets face it they haven't looked good in the playoffs in the past few years and they laid an egg right before the playoffs it's tough to have a positive outlook for them.
They could beat Seattle but GB or SF shouldn't have a problem beating them.
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