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Old 12-08-2014, 10:18 PM
 
Location: Trumbull/Danbury
6,551 posts, read 4,504,032 times
Reputation: 2488

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How has nobody started one yet?? What a mess in the AFC as 12 teams are within 3 games of each other with 3 weeks to play. Have fun with the AFC on the playoff machine, lots of possibilities you can come up with! As it stands now:

1) Patriots (10-3)
2) Broncos (10-3)
3) Colts (9-4)
4) Bengals (8-4-1)
5) Steelers (8-5)
6) Chargers (8-5)
------------------------
Still in the hunt (in order of seeding if all 16 teams made the playoffs):

7) Ravens (8-5)
8) Texans (7-6)
9) Dolphins (7-6)
10) Chiefs (7-6)
11) Bills (7-6)
12) Browns (7-6)
Jets (13), Titans (14), Raiders (15), Jaguars (16) all 2-11 have been mathematically eliminated from playoff discussion.

Of these teams still in the hunt, the Ravens have by far the easiest schedule as they may not face a team with a winning record the rest of the season. They have home games against Jacksonville (2-11) in week 15, and Cleveland likely starting Manziel in week 17 (7-6 currently, but have to play the Bengals at home and Panthers on the road leading up to it). Their lone road game is @ Houston week 16 (7-6, but the Texans play @ Colts next week so it's likely the Texans go into that one 7-7).

If I had to guess here's how I think it would play out:

1) Patriots (13-3). Sweep remaining schedule: home vs. Dolphins & Bills, @ Jets
2) Broncos (12-4). Win @ Cinci and vs. Raiders, lose to Chargers
3) Colts (12-4). Sweep remaining schedule: home vs. Texans, @ Cowboys, @ Titans
4) Ravens (11-5). Sweep remaining schedule: home vs. Jags & Browns, @ Texans
Then for the 2 Wildcards I have
5) Steelers (10-6). Lose @ Falcons, beat Chiefs & Bengals at home. Based on history this year, this is what they'll do
6) Chargers (10-6). Beat Broncos & Niners, lose @ Chiefs.
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Old 12-08-2014, 10:23 PM
FBJ
 
Location: Tall Building down by the river
39,615 posts, read 50,369,211 times
Reputation: 9451
The only thing I can add is the Dolphins and Browns hurt themselves with a loss. Especially the browns who was in control all game long
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Old 12-08-2014, 10:29 PM
 
2,286 posts, read 1,514,091 times
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"in control"

holding a 7 pt. lead over the Colts for a while isn't good enough. Everyone knows Luck is a comeback machine

I think the Chiefs make the 6 seed over the Chargers, Broncos win out but still get the 2 seed. Colts lose in Dallas, but still take the 3 seed. Everything else I agree with
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Old 12-08-2014, 10:33 PM
FBJ
 
Location: Tall Building down by the river
39,615 posts, read 50,369,211 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rarog View Post
"in control"

holding a 7 pt. lead over the Colts for a while isn't good enough. Everyone knows Luck is a comeback machine

I think the Chiefs make the 6 seed over the Chargers, Broncos win out but still get the 2 seed.
Chiefs make the 6th seed and loss 3 games in a row which includes the 0-10 raiders?



The browns lead the whole game up until the last 5 seconds. Their biggest lead was 14 and led 21-10 in the 3rd qtr. The only time the colts led is when they won the game at the end
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Old 12-08-2014, 10:41 PM
 
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The Chiefs are 7-6. They finish out against SD. They win 9, maybe 10 games (possible loss in Pittsburgh). Chargers lose to Denver and KC, maybe SF too. Actually if the Chiefs lose to Pittsburgh, then the Bengals may take the 6 at 9-6-1 (win over Cleveland), or possibly even Houston if they steal a win over Indy or Baltimore.

So what about the Browns? Their QB was terrible, and everyone knows Luck is a 4th quarter QB. It was obvious the Colts were going to win when they got the ball back. Sure the Browns had the lead, but being up 7-0 for a while and even 21-10 for a while is not in control against Indianapolis.
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Old 12-08-2014, 10:51 PM
 
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Just looked at the box score. Indy had 4 turnovers. The Browns defense scored 2 TDs, but when the Browns got the ball twice inside of Indy territory on the turnovers, they had to settle for a FG and a punt. That, coupled with Hoyer throwing 0 TDs and 2 INTs, is just not in control. Plus Cundiff missing another FG doesn't help.
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Old 12-08-2014, 11:14 PM
 
Location: Trumbull/Danbury
6,551 posts, read 4,504,032 times
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The Niners are in complete disarray, I think the Chargers beat them..............and pretty easily as well.
As for the Broncos game: It's at home and I think they get that one 2. Broncos still need a loss from the Pats to take over #1 and with the Pats joke schedule (Dolphins & Bills at home who they almost never lose to in Foxboro with Brady & Bellicheck & at the Jets), and with the Broncos pretty much safely etched in that second by (only 1 game up, but the Bengals are a joke and they won the head-to-head over the Colts so it's pretty much 2 up on them) they can still afford to lose a game.

As for the Chiefs vs. Steelers:
When a team loses to the Bucs, jets & Saints at home, and gave up 27 2nd half points I think to Cleveland, but beat the Texans, Colts, Bengals & slaughter the Ravens at home that's why I think they lose at Atlanta and beat the Chiefs. They get up for the big games, can't get up for the crappy teams. Just imagine if they went even 1-2 against the Bucs, Saints & Jets; they'd be in the drivers seat for the division, tied with the Colts, and 1 back of the Pats & Broncos. If they were 2-1 in those 3 games they'd be tied with the Pats & Broncos and really in control of the North; if they were 3-0 like they should've been they'd be the current #1 seed in the AFC!
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Old 12-08-2014, 11:18 PM
FBJ
 
Location: Tall Building down by the river
39,615 posts, read 50,369,211 times
Reputation: 9451
Quote:
Originally Posted by rarog View Post
Just looked at the box score. Indy had 4 turnovers. The Browns defense scored 2 TDs, but when the Browns got the ball twice inside of Indy territory on the turnovers, they had to settle for a FG and a punt. That, coupled with Hoyer throwing 0 TDs and 2 INTs, is just not in control. Plus Cundiff missing another FG doesn't help.
I will never understand why NFL coaches are so quick to settle for a FG. And I never bought into the argument that you come away with points because 3-0 is not much of an accomplishment. To me a FG is only acceptable when you are up 20-0 and making it 23-0
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Old 12-09-2014, 12:21 AM
 
2,286 posts, read 1,514,091 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 7express View Post
The Niners are in complete disarray, I think the Chargers beat them..............and pretty easily as well.
As for the Broncos game: It's at home and I think they get that one 2. Broncos still need a loss from the Pats to take over #1 and with the Pats joke schedule (Dolphins & Bills at home who they almost never lose to in Foxboro with Brady & Bellicheck & at the Jets), and with the Broncos pretty much safely etched in that second by (only 1 game up, but the Bengals are a joke and they won the head-to-head over the Colts so it's pretty much 2 up on them) they can still afford to lose a game.

As for the Chiefs vs. Steelers:
When a team loses to the Bucs, jets & Saints at home, and gave up 27 2nd half points I think to Cleveland, but beat the Texans, Colts, Bengals & slaughter the Ravens at home that's why I think they lose at Atlanta and beat the Chiefs. They get up for the big games, can't get up for the crappy teams. Just imagine if they went even 1-2 against the Bucs, Saints & Jets; they'd be in the drivers seat for the division, tied with the Colts, and 1 back of the Pats & Broncos. If they were 2-1 in those 3 games they'd be tied with the Pats & Broncos and really in control of the North; if they were 3-0 like they should've been they'd be the current #1 seed in the AFC!
The Ravens "should" have won their 2nd game against Cincy and their game against SD, and they'd be tied with NE and Denver. You can probably make an argument that Denver or NE lost a game or two they shouldn't have too (same for any team).

And they shouldn't have won those games against NYJ or NO. They were terrible. They should have probably held on against Tampa.
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Old 12-09-2014, 12:23 AM
 
2,286 posts, read 1,514,091 times
Reputation: 1143
Quote:
Originally Posted by FBJ View Post
I will never understand why NFL coaches are so quick to settle for a FG. And I never bought into the argument that you come away with points because 3-0 is not much of an accomplishment. To me a FG is only acceptable when you are up 20-0 and making it 23-0
Disagree. Ravens have been going for it on 4th down so much this year (many teams have). You take the points in most situations, especially early. When you're down 10 in the first half and get 0 points, then end up coming back and losing by 2, it's no good.
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