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It depends on a lot of factors. We could take a direct hit ala Fran or it could curve back out to sea or go up the coast. That's why you need to be following the forecasts on this one.
Latest Euro gives it a hard ENE turn off the NC coast and brings it straight out to sea. That would he nice, but presently that is an outlier. Hopefully King Euro is sniffing something out. 2 Recon flights today and 2 tomorrow, better data should be compiling as we speak.
Going to be 2-4 days before we can say with certainty the US will be hit... 5-6 days before we know where... then 12-24 hours before landfall will we know where the eye comes ashore.
Check out this youtube channel. Run by a guy called Mark Sudduth who is based out of Wilmington. He cuts through all the hype and gives you the facts. Whenever there is a hurricane he goes there and sets up webcams. Check out his stuff for Harvey, Matthew, Katrina, and many more hurricanes. Chelc his twitter page out, he has a lot of followers. He also has an app and a webpage.
For those looking for more constant updates and technical discussions on Irma here are some links from the weather forum on city data where I make most of my posts.
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