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Old 12-02-2020, 06:46 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727

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Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
The other person posted proof the trend was going UP the prior to Thanksgiving. Are you even reading the data?

Here was his chart. See the line goes up as it goes to the right. That is what is called an uptrend, not a downtrend.

It drops after Thanksgiving, which is to be expected.
Good lord. The 7 day moving average peaked on the 21st, began moving down on the 22nd and has continued to move down since. Thanksgiving was on the 26th.

In any event, this doesn't have anything to do with my primary postulation, as previously stated.
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Old 12-02-2020, 06:58 PM
 
8,887 posts, read 7,081,554 times
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411,173 tests 11/19-11/26
327,283 tests 11/11-11/18

There you go - raw numbers. That's a 25% increase from the prior week.

Last edited by m378; 12-02-2020 at 07:09 PM..
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Old 12-02-2020, 07:18 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
Look at post #931. The 26th had the highest number of tests of all. You really should read up on things prior to posting. It appears you really don't know the data behind your false assertions and then you are quoted directly, then pretend you didn't post what everyone can see you posted. I'm trying to help you out here, as your content is not at all backed up by the actual data and you are tripping over yourself in contradiction.

Let me try to help you out a little more. You are trying to cherry pick one day or another. The trend is not any one day. The trend is over multiple days/weeks. You said the trend was down, but all the data shows the trend was up. No amount of false posts can change that. The trend is what it is. Please man, please read the data. Please look at the charts. Please don't keep posting stuff that is completely and absolutely incorrect. It may diminish your credibility.
Actually, you are the one cherry picking one day's numbers. I'm talking about the 7 day moving average. Which clearly has been moving down since prior to Thanksgiving. Not just the 26th. Hilarious how you attempt to take me down with the exact thing YOU are doing! Nice try...talk about diminishing YOUR credibility.
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Old 12-02-2020, 07:36 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
Okay. Sure buddy. The data posted shows the trend up and the graph shows the trend up, but you want everyone to ignore that and pretend the trend is down. 411,173 tests 11/19-11/26 versus 327,283 tests 11/11-11/18. Hint hint. One is more than the other. When one week is more than the prior week, that is trending up. I don't know what the point is for you to post information contrary to the facts, but have at it. Whatever floats your boat for whatever odd reason.
I think you literally can't read. Look at the chart that was posted. See the yellow line? Thats the 7 day moving average. It starts going down on the 23rd and has declined since. Do you see that? Thats a fact. What about that do you not understand?

You're cherry picking specific days in order to try and save face since you know you're wrong. Just stop and move on.
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Old 12-02-2020, 07:41 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727
Quote:
Originally Posted by m378 View Post
You don't understand how the 7 day average works and why it declines in the more recent days.
Ok, thanks. I appreciate you sharing your vast and inerrant knowledge.
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Old 12-02-2020, 07:46 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
m378, It's like talking to a brick wall with Royal James. What gives on that? I mean the weekly data is right there. Why does he keep picking two days out of the entire month to try to make a false point?
I'm not picking 2 days, far from it. What the h**l are you talking about? I'm talking about a more than week long trend. What "2 days" are you referring to?
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Old 12-02-2020, 08:08 PM
 
Location: Raleigh
405 posts, read 258,437 times
Reputation: 371
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
m378, It's like talking to a brick wall with Royal James. What gives on that? I mean the weekly data is right there. Why does he keep picking two days out of the entire month to try to make a false point? He ignores all the data & uptrends and only cherry picks a couple days to try to prove some point that does not exist and he hopes people are going to fall for it?
Looking at the “Daily Testing Metrics” chart, it’s absolutely clear that the daily testing numbers were generally increasing prior to Thanksgiving. I don’t see how anyone could disagree with that.
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Old 12-02-2020, 08:16 PM
 
Location: Raleigh
405 posts, read 258,437 times
Reputation: 371
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradnsota View Post
I will do the work for you and make it simple for you.

11/6 - 11/12 = 262,927 tests

11/13 - 11/19 = 293,084 tests - That's more than the previous week. That is an UPTREND

11/20 - 11/26 = 357,510 tests - That's more than the previous week and also more than the week before that. That is an UPTREND

What is so hard to understand about that? Each week had more testing than the week before, yet you keep trying to claim there was a downtrend. Why are you totally ignoring the facts and posting complete nonsense?
Bingo
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Old 12-04-2020, 11:16 AM
 
Location: Raleigh NC
3,645 posts, read 8,225,269 times
Reputation: 4505
The mayor of Youngsville is absolutely correct for not cancelling the Christmas parade. Walmart is packed inside but health officials say a parade held outside is a superspreader.

The Town of Youngsville mayor, Fonzie Flowers, responded to a health advisory Thursday night by saying, "If a Wal-Mart, a Target, a Lowe's, a Home Depot--if they can have the number of people they have in their store in an enclosed environment, we can certainly have a couple hundred Youngsville residents along our parade route."
https://abc11.com/christmas-parade-y...ounty/8492600/
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Old 12-04-2020, 06:17 PM
 
773 posts, read 537,672 times
Reputation: 727
Hospitalizations up again yesterday to 2,157, 11.2% positive test rate.
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