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Generally, if you lived in it for 2 of the past five years, you are ok. There are some exceptions based on hardship, that will ease the pain of selling within the first two years. TurboTax handles this well.
You should discuss with a CPA. No one can tell you what the pain will be as it will depend on how much you can sell for versus your cost basis. Currently capital gain tax is limited to 15%, but that will likely rise in the next few years. It's supposed to go to 20% in 2013 unless new legislation is passed. You should get some income offset from rental expense deductions, but will also need to factor in depreciation recapture when you sell.
Again, check with your CPA, but if you sell within 3 years, you may still qualify for a capital gains exemption as you will still have lived in the home 2yrs out of the last 5. You will have to offset a portion of the exemption based on depreciation you might claim as a rental. See:
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