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the problem comparing cape numbers is what makes up that number has changed over the years so comparing numbers today with numbers back then is not the same yard stick
You gotta love MarketWatch. If you scroll down on that same Main Page.....there will be another article proclaiming the upcoming move above 25K Dow !!
MarketWatch is good for their Watchlist covering stocks you are interested in. They also present graphs that are helpful in visualizing recent market trends.
To rely on them to correctly forecast imminent Market moves is a big mistake.
Anything is possible. Perhaps you should not drive or fly either
You don't have to personalize it. I was just posting an article. I wasn't even espousing it. I thought it was interesting though. Perhaps you should have a little more tact when you respond to people. And I'm getting "quick reputation" responses, so there are others who agree with me.
I keep a low AA for a reason. It's a lot more pain if I lose 50% of my account, not likely, not overnight either. But still I'm not too cocky as someone posted on boggle head forum that he bought more and not afraid to buy more now. It's good if he is still working. Not if he withdraws money for living. I'll probably won't sell but not buying more at the peak either.
Predictions are easy and very common. No one counts misses, but if someone hits, it will get lots of press, so there's incentive to make lots of forecasts on the extremes.
Everything I've been taught about markets says that if people expect something to happen tomorrow, or next week, or next year, they'll act on it today. This tendency constantly drives the market to a balance reflecting all current information. That's why it's hard for us amateurs. By the time we get the word (or see the newscast), it's too late. The pros beat us to it. They beat us so effectively that much academic work shows the changes to a stock or bond happen before the public announcement.
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