I would feel much more comfortable about buying in Orangevale vs. Elk Grove. I would be willing to rent in Elk Grove, but right now I would be a little reluctant to buy in Elk Grove.
Elk Grove is one of those neighborhoods that right now could go either way.
In the 80's that area between Mack Road and Florin Road was a new neighborhood on the edge of Sacramento. But the chaos in the surrounding neighborhoods drove the middle class away. The big problems that I see with Elk Grove is that there isn't a really strong geographic boundary between Elk Grove and the chaos that seems to come out of Meadowview, Parkway and Valley Hi. Within the past year, the police are still making arrests for street prostitution on Stockton Blvd as close as Mack Rd.
The immediate problem in Elk Grove is that it is one of the areas being hit really badly by foreclosures. A lot of the people buying up these foreclosures are investors planning to turn the properties into rental units. Owner occupants tend to be better educated and there children tend to do better on standardized tests. When you lose the owner occupants, test scores fall and your neighborhood equity dries up. Elk Grove right now is a community in transition.
In Folsom, you are close to the Folsom Lake, Natomas, and the American River. In EDHS, you have the views from the hills. In Greenhaven, in Sierra Oaks, in Wilhaggen, you are near the river.
In these other areas, there are geographic features that make the area appealing and help to keep the neighborhood desirable in even in bad markets. I am not sure that you can say that about Elk Grove. If you are just looking for cheap new houses, I would take Anatolia over Elk Grove. The top rated high school in the EGUSD is Pleasant Grove High and its attendence district is primarily in Anatolia. But if there was a posterboy for sprawl in the Sacramento region its probably Anatolia. There isn't much shopping there, its mostly just housing. If you look at the rest of the test scores in the EGUSD, many high schools in the district are pretty comparable to Cordova High in Rancho Cordova.
If you aren't familiar with these neighborhoods look here.
http://maps.cityofsacramento.org/Map...20streetsE.pdf
If you want to see the prostitution arrests look here.
Online feature - Crimemapper - sacbee.com
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