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05-15-2008, 08:50 PM
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das wetter ist DAMN heiß!!!
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,170 posts, read 1,945,938 times
Reputation: 3092
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Unless we get more development northward, which appears to be happening now, we won't see much of anything here in town.
The severe weather threat will progressively diminish as the storms are going more linear. We may see some small hail, gusty winds out of these cells, but no more tornadoes.
Beyond this, things are looking dry for a while. Cool air will settle in for the next couple of days before a ridge sits up to our NW. Once that happens we'll have strong downsloping winds off the Sierra Madre and Rocky Mountains allowing the air to compress and heat up in a hurry.
I will not be surprised if we get triple digit heat next week.
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05-15-2008, 09:27 PM
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Conservative Thinker
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: San Antonio North
4,118 posts, read 2,069,008 times
Reputation: 928
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AnthonySA
Unless we get more development northward, which appears to be happening now, we won't see much of anything here in town.
The severe weather threat will progressively diminish as the storms are going more linear. We may see some small hail, gusty winds out of these cells, but no more tornadoes.
Beyond this, things are looking dry for a while. Cool air will settle in for the next couple of days before a ridge sits up to our NW. Once that happens we'll have strong downsloping winds off the Sierra Madre and Rocky Mountains allowing the air to compress and heat up in a hurry.
I will not be surprised if we get triple digit heat next week.
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Well im glad someone is coming over to the pesimistic side.
Anyway out here LV watching the game the weather looks more promising than last night so cross your guys fingers.
(on dail up and not firefox forgive the spelling errors)
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05-15-2008, 09:33 PM
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das wetter ist DAMN heiß!!!
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,170 posts, read 1,945,938 times
Reputation: 3092
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I wouldn't call it pessimistic, I just see very little indication that points to rainfall here in San Antonio over the next several days. 
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05-15-2008, 11:20 PM
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Got personal responsibility?
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: San Antonio
9,923 posts, read 5,296,319 times
Reputation: 2019
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I can see lightning off to the west and the humidity is coming up. The radar makes it look like it has to rain. no complaints here
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05-16-2008, 12:35 AM
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BATMANU
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: SA/College Station
619 posts, read 540,172 times
Reputation: 206
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Yeah it looks like the rain is coming...hopefully it will park over SA
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05-16-2008, 12:43 AM
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das wetter ist DAMN heiß!!!
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,170 posts, read 1,945,938 times
Reputation: 3092
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These are dumping some nice rains -- moderate to heavy over an 80 mile span. We could see anywhere from 0.50-1.50" over a fairly widespread area.
The biggest threat for severe weather will be along and south of a Cotulla to Port Aransas line... and that will be isolated at best.
Enjoy the overnight rain 
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05-16-2008, 01:07 AM
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das wetter ist DAMN heiß!!!
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,170 posts, read 1,945,938 times
Reputation: 3092
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Prepare for a writeup on what's our best chance of rain for the next several days. (For most of you, by the time you read this it already happened).
For reference, please check this radar image:
http://icons.wunderground.com/data/6...dard3_anim.gif
A rather interesting phenomenon unfolded tonight across portions of South Central Texas, and as a result, several forecasts busted. It all started earlier this evening with a supercell thunderstorm producing a tornado in Maverick County near Eagle Pass ran into a line of storms that developed off the mountains of Northern Mexico.
Shortly after that happened, a center of circulation formed on the northern end of this complex of storms you see travelling off east of Laredo. This is called a Mesoscale Convective Complex, which is simply a cluster of storms that survives off it's own lift and essentially becoming it's own weather system. This is feeding off of moisture off the Gulf of Mexico and moving to the East at a fairly decent clip. This is also what is allowing for a broad area of showers and thunderstorms producing moderate to heavy rainfall over an 80 to 100 mile swath of western portions of South Central Texas.
The rain is now entering Bexar County and will continue over the next few hours producing some moderate to heavy showers, cloud-to-ground and cloud-to-cloud lightning. No severe weather is expected in our area. However, further south along a Cotulla to Victoria line I suspect that along the main bowing segment (the crescent shaped area of red), will generate brief severe gusts as determined by previous storm reports tonight and the Storm Prediction Center and could spin up a brief funnel cloud, or very small tornado.
Rainfall totals here in Bexar County should range anywhere from 0.5-1.5" over a fairly widespread area throughout the next few hours.
After this round of rain, I suspect that we may see a couple of storms going into early Friday and then things will begin to clear out as the low moves further away from South-Central Texas.
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05-16-2008, 10:32 AM
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Got personal responsibility?
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: San Antonio
9,923 posts, read 5,296,319 times
Reputation: 2019
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no complaints here about the rain and it looks like more storms are forming in Mexico. I like this..
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05-16-2008, 06:26 PM
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How's that "change" workin' out for ya ????
Status:
"Hasta La Vista Congressional Seat..."
(set 18 days ago)
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: San Quilmas, Tx
1,767 posts, read 795,116 times
Reputation: 7170
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AnthonySA
I will not be surprised if we get triple digit heat next week.
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I like optimists.....   
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05-16-2008, 08:29 PM
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Got personal responsibility?
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: San Antonio
9,923 posts, read 5,296,319 times
Reputation: 2019
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so what's up with tonight? a coworker said she felt some drops earlier
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