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Old 08-12-2011, 04:56 AM
 
Location: Wiesbaden, Germany
13,807 posts, read 26,361,215 times
Reputation: 3989

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Once again, Mother Nature hates san antonio..
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Old 08-12-2011, 05:10 AM
 
Location: San Antonio
522 posts, read 993,524 times
Reputation: 340
watched that red swatch veer away from san antonio like it just got its first glimpse of its butt ugly blind date.
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Old 08-12-2011, 09:38 AM
 
Location: That's pretty obvious
1,035 posts, read 2,083,653 times
Reputation: 950
had the bug man spray yesterday....so of course it poured here last night Not complaining though...bring on more (rain, not bugs!!)
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Old 08-13-2011, 08:29 AM
 
Location: Here
10,867 posts, read 11,946,137 times
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TON of rain north/northwest of us but it looks like it doesn't want to come down this way.
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Old 08-13-2011, 08:56 AM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
3,542 posts, read 7,542,448 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 01Snake View Post
TON of rain north/northwest of us but it looks like it doesn't want to come down this way.
Don't count on it.. it's already dying and will be dead long before it makes it here. Leftover energy from this storm complex could generate some storms later this afternoon in areas north and west. What's left from those COULD make a run towards us later this evening/tonight, but odds remain low.
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Old 08-13-2011, 08:54 PM
 
188 posts, read 388,029 times
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Anyone getting rain? It raining where I am, Stillwater Ranch (past Alamo Ranch off Culebra)! Coming down pretty good @ 9:55pm
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Old 08-13-2011, 11:19 PM
 
Location: san antonio texas
1,805 posts, read 2,196,692 times
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78209 checking in. no rain, lots of heat and humidity though!
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Old 08-15-2011, 12:21 AM
 
348 posts, read 1,428,131 times
Reputation: 241
Hello,

Spent three days in Houston last week.

It was HELL being outside, an instant drench-er from the humidity. I'll take San Antonio's heat over Houston's any day of the week. Actually, the best heat I have been in was Baghdad, so dry, your bodies cooling works great!

I compare San Antonio to Houston as Baghdad (near 0% humidity) is to Dubai (right on the water, 100% humidity)
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Old 08-16-2011, 05:39 AM
 
Location: San Antonio, TX
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As we all know, San Antonio is susceptible to drought. So far this year we've only had 6.57" (making this the driest January 1st-August 16th period on record), and since October 2010 we've had 7.63" of rain (also the driest October-August 16th period on record).

The driest overall year on record was 1917 with 10.11". We need about 3.54" to tie that, which is certainly possible. Other dry years include 1954 with 13.70" of rain and 2008 with 13.76" of rain. For easy comparison, I'll post the Jan 1 - Aug 1 rainfall totals for those years:
2011 - 6.57"
1917 - 7.51"
2008 - 7.80"
1954 - 7.98"

Bottom line, the 1917 record of 10.11" is without a doubt still in reach.

I went to dig back since records were kept to find out all the years San Antonio has observed 25" of rain or less in a year and found that of the last 140 years. Turns out we failed to get 25 inches of rain in a year 51 times (including 2011 I'm almost certain we won't see 18.45" of rain to reach 25"). That translates to about 36% or 1 out of every 3 years.

Keep in mind the current 30 year average is 32.27" and our all-time average is 29.12". I think the current 30 year average may be overdone due to the 1998, 2002, 2007 and 2010 floods.

Here's a list of said years with the actual rainfall totals:
Spoiler
1871 - 22.79
1875 - 21.95
1879 - 22.80
1887 - 20.13
1893 - 18.24
1894 - 21.74
1897 - 15.92
1898 - 22.49
1899 - 19.71
1901 - 16.44
1902 - 24.79
1906 - 20.42
1909 - 14.92
1910 - 16.22
1911 - 18.68
1912 - 23.73
1917 - 10.11
1920 - 19.56
1922 - 24.59
1924 - 23.65
1925 - 14.99
1927 - 22.75
1930 - 22.29
1933 - 17.64
1938 - 23.26
1939 - 18.83
1943 - 20.51
1947 - 17.32
1948 - 23.64
1950 - 19.86
1951 - 24.44
1953 - 17.56
1954 - 13.70
1955 - 18.18
1956 - 14.31
1959 - 24.50

1962 - 23.90
1963 - 18.65
1966 - 21.44
1970 - 22.74
1980 - 24.23
1982 - 22.96
1988 - 19.01
1989 - 22.14
1995 - 23.21
1996 - 17.80
1999 - 16.41
2005 - 16.54
2006 - 21.34
2008 - 13.76
*2011 - 6.57


BTW, you can clearly see why the 1950s drought is so frequently mentioned this time around. The 1950s drought clearly lasted longer, but in terms of intensity, nothing tops this one.

Now, of those years we failed to reach 25" of rain, we also failed to reach 20" of rain on 25 different occasions (also factoring 2011). That translates to 18% of the time, or about 1 in every 5 years.

Here's the same list again with just the years observing 20" or less:
Spoiler
1893 - 18.24
1897 - 15.92
1899 - 19.71
1901 - 16.44
1909 - 14.92
1910 - 16.22
1911 - 18.68
1917 - 10.11
1920 - 19.56
1925 - 14.99
1933 - 17.64
1939 - 18.83
1947 - 17.32
1950 - 19.86
1953 - 17.56
1954 - 13.70
1955 - 18.18
1956 - 14.31

1963 - 18.65
1988 - 19.01
1996 - 17.80
1999 - 16.41
2005 - 16.54
2008 - 13.76
*2011 - 6.57

I re-highlighted the 50's so you can see how awful they were.

I think I need to move somewhere that gets more reliable rainfall.
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Old 08-16-2011, 07:16 AM
 
Location: Wiesbaden, Germany
13,807 posts, read 26,361,215 times
Reputation: 3989
like Michigan... :
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