U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Happy Easter!
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Science and Technology
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 11-18-2012, 01:40 PM
 
Location: Westwood, MA
3,526 posts, read 4,399,984 times
Reputation: 4529

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tek_Freek View Post
There's an out in that statement...
Sort of. The mass in the observable universe is finite. Eventually any exponential growth will have to slow.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 11-19-2012, 05:51 PM
 
Location: Pueblo - Colorado's Second City
12,106 posts, read 20,430,722 times
Reputation: 4148
Quote:
Originally Posted by jayrandom View Post
I think that the reason that people doubt future exponential growth is that all exponential growth has to eventually saturate when it runs in to physical limitations. Moore's law is an example of exponential growth that will begin to slow (as transistors can't be smaller than atoms); similarly technological progress on Earth will likely have to slow at some point.

That doesn't mean that it has to slow in the near- or medium- term, though. I think one of the reasons people are hesitant to predict continued exponential growth is that they don't know what that growth will look like, exactly, so it is difficult to picture it and thus easy to discount it.
More's law will come to a end around 2020 but then we will move to the next paradigm 3d computer chips. This is not some theory but already out, just look at this article:



Quote:
Originally Posted by jayrandom View Post
Sort of. The mass in the observable universe is finite. Eventually any exponential growth will have to slow.
So yes at some point we will not advance exponentially but that is not anytime in the near future.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:

Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Science and Technology
Similar Threads
Follow City-Data.com founder on our Forum or

All times are GMT -6.

2005-2018, Advameg, Inc.

City-Data.com - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35 - Top