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Ferrer is dangerous on indoor hard courts and he did win this last year against the big serving Jerzy Janowicz, so not totally surprised he beat Nadal - who is not quite as good under these conditions that somewhat nullify his heavy topspin game.
Djokovic though should emerge victorious, and extend his unbeaten run to 17 games since after the USO.
Joker has been like a man possessed since after the USO, this bodes well for London, David Cup and AO.
Nadal should still hold his year ending Number 1 though, only needs 1 victory in London to secure it.
It's like you can count on Ferrer to beat a non-top 6 players as much as you can count on Ferrer to be beaten by the top 6 players.
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