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Old 06-08-2018, 09:27 AM
 
Location: Greenbelt, MD
8,591 posts, read 6,109,152 times
Reputation: 42278

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Tenfold - W-P-S. Will fool around with some cheap exotics with the following, possibly more:

Bravazo
Justify
Vino Rosso
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Old 06-08-2018, 12:10 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
Reputation: 4558
Baffert rarely likes the one hole. An article said that Justify has no experience having foes in front and beside him = a box. He is not the closer in the race and if boxed in it could spell defeat.

I'm looking at a super box ($24) with 1-3-4-7
or
two tri boxes ($6 each). One with Justify and one without.
1-3-7
3-4-7

Watch the 2 mile Gold Cup today on NBCS 5-6pm.
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Old 06-08-2018, 01:56 PM
 
Location: Greenbelt, MD
8,591 posts, read 6,109,152 times
Reputation: 42278
Quote:
Originally Posted by howard555 View Post
Baffert rarely likes the one hole. An article said that Justify has no experience having foes in front and beside him = a box. He is not the closer in the race and if boxed in it could spell defeat.

I'm looking at a super box ($24) with 1-3-4-7
or
two tri boxes ($6 each). One with Justify and one without.
1-3-7
3-4-7

Watch the 2 mile Gold Cup today on NBCS 5-6pm.
I heard Baffert is less than thrilled with the draw.

Maybe this has to be confirmed but I also heard no one has won the Belmont from the pole in 21 years?

Probably another sloppy track, unfortunately.
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Old 06-08-2018, 02:16 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
Reputation: 4558
Quote:
Originally Posted by John13 View Post
I heard Baffert is less than thrilled with the draw.

Maybe this has to be confirmed but I also heard no one has won the Belmont from the pole in 21 years?

Probably another sloppy track, unfortunately.
https://www.si.com/horse-racing/2018...ost-position-1

The other horses are competitors. They will attempt to box Justify in to an area he has not seen in any of his races.

I see that Hofburg is less experienced than Justify with only 4 races.

https://www.horseracingnation.com/horse/Hofburg
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Old 06-08-2018, 05:39 PM
 
Location: Greenbelt, MD
8,591 posts, read 6,109,152 times
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Current up to date live odds by post position:

1. Justify - 1-1 (bit of a surprise but I expect down to 4-5 come post time)

2. Free Drop Billy - 32-1

3. Bravazo - 5-1

4. Hofburg - 4-1 (overbet as I expected, let him beat me because I'm not using)

5. Restoring Hope - 43-1

6. Gronkowski - 24-1

7. Tenfold - 7-1 (9-1 at best?)

8. Vino Rosso - 8-1

9. Noble Indy - 30-1

10. Blended Citizen - 20-1
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Old 06-09-2018, 10:32 AM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
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Belmont is Hofburg's home track.

Vino Rosso has been beaten by every good horse he's faces. Won't hit the board.

1-3-4-7 for us and not decided what I'll do with them.

If Justify loses a length or so because they box him in, he'll never win. He was losing ground at the wire in the Preakness.

I'll include him in some tri or super
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Old 06-09-2018, 10:50 AM
 
Location: Greenbelt, MD
8,591 posts, read 6,109,152 times
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Hofburg has been training at Saratoga, not Belmont Park.

I heard he's training well but I like others better and don't get the hype...

I respect Justify but I do not think he will win the Triple Crown.

I'm at work and don't feel comfortable pulling up certain web sites, is the track sloppy?
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Old 06-09-2018, 10:58 AM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
Reputation: 4558
Quote:
Originally Posted by John13 View Post
Hofburg has been training at Saratoga, not Belmont Park.

I heard he's training well but I like others better and don't get the hype...

I respect Justify but I do not think he will win the Triple Crown.

I'm at work and don't feel comfortable pulling up certain web sites, is the track sloppy?
I thought the announcers yesterday said Hofburg was home at Belmont.
The track is dry no sight of rain clouds yet.

Not a cloud in the sky.
Attached Thumbnails
2018 Horse Racing Thread-untitlednbvc.jpg  
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Old 06-09-2018, 02:56 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
Reputation: 4558
The TV discussion on NBC was the post #1.

5 Triple Crown Winners had post #1.

I can not leave Justify out of anything so I'll have a $1 tri box with Justify, Tenfold and Bravazo. It should pay similar to the Derby's winning tri of $117. I will try another tri with 8-3-1 told to me by a neighbor even though I don't like #8.

Then I'll check out E.O.'s wagers and consider those.

Good luck to all of you.
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Old 06-09-2018, 04:30 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
Reputation: 4558
Unless I jump on another winner via E.O. here are my only 6 wagers.
Four $1 trifectas:
1-3-4
1-4-7
3-7-1
4-1-3
Two $1 Super
4-1-3-9
1-9-3-4

$6

revised: E.O. going 1-4-10-8 so I'm adding that one to make it $7.

Good luck.
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