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Old 01-19-2018, 11:45 AM
 
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Derby Top 100

1 Bolt D'Oro 7/1 Returning to work soon; pointing toward San Felipe.
2 Good Magic 14/1 BC Juvenile winner returns in Fountain of Youth.
3 Catholic Boy 30/1 Won the G2 Remsen after switching from turf to dirt.
4 Solomini 18/1 BC Juvenile runner-up had return pushed due to fever.
5 Instilled Regard 30/1 Shipped from the West Coast to win the G3 Lecomte.
6 McKinzie 10/1 Unbeaten and most recently won the G3 Sham.
7 Untamed Domain 35/1 2nd in BC Juvenile Turf, plan is to try dirt preps
8 Enticed 20/1 Kentucky Jockey Club winner coming back in Holy Bull.
9 Firenze Fire 65/1 Three-time stakes winner most recently took Jerome.
10 Mask 25/1 30 3.2% Emerged in eye-catching Mucho Macho Man victory.
11 Tiz Mischief 40/1 Game runner-up in Kentucky Jockey Club.
12 Avery Island 45/1 McLaughlin has seen improvement since Remsen 2nd.
13 Noble Indy 60/1 2-for-2 with a route win in Gulfstream allowance.
14 Principe Guilherme 25/1 Lecomte 2nd will keep him on the trail in Risen Star.
15 Strike Power 60/1 102 Beyer in debut 2nd-best for the crop at age 2.
16 Marconi 40/1 $2 million maiden winner back to work for Pletcher.
17 Dak Attack 50/1 Tampa allowance winner Dec. 22
18 Free Drop Billy 50/1 G1 Breeders' Futurity winner was 9th in BC Juvenile.
19 Peace 25/1 Will go in G3 Lewis off Santa Anita maiden win.
20 Vino Rosso 40/1 2-for-2 after an easy Tampa allowance win.
21 Copper Bullet 60/1 G2 Saratoga Special winner is over shin troubles.
22 Navistar 60/1 Scratched from Smarty Jones due to travel troubles.
23 Mourinho 40/1 Easy front-running winner of Jan. 15 Smarty Jones.
24 Mendelssohn 40/1 BC Juvenile Turf winner may return stateside for Derby.
25 Hollywood Star 75/1 6th in BC Juvenile and among Romans' top prospects.
26 Sporting Chance 40/1 G1 winner back on the work tab after knee chip.
27 Analyze It 60/1 Flashy turf winner could try dirt; no recent works.
28 Vision 75/1 Debut winner at Nov. 30 at Los Al.
29 Nero 65/1 Broke his maiden Jan. 13; tempermental colt.
30 Mississippi 75/1 Narrowly beaten by Noble Indy in Jan. 11 allowance.
31 All Out Blitz 100/1 Well-beaten 2nd in G3 Sham in last start.
32 Ax Man 150/1 Won debut by 9 1/2 lengths on New Year's Day.
33 Combatant 85/1 Solid 2nd in back-to-back Derby trail starts.
34 St Patrick's Day 40/1 Full brother to American Pharaoh is 1-for-2; no recent works.
35 Tricks To Doo 75/1 Inaugural Stakes winner in December back to work.
36 Saxon Warrior 85/1 An O'Brien winner on Europe's road to the Derby.
37 Flameaway 125/1 Has a stakes win on dirt but ran more recently on grass.
38 Magnum Moon 200/1 Flashy GP debut winner by 4 1/2 lengths on Jan. 13.
39 Le Vent Se Leve 150/1 A winner on Japan's road to the Derby.
40 Voting Control 150/1 3rd in BC Juvenile Turf but without works since then.
41 Zulfikhar 50/1 Debut winner last July could resurface in San Vicente.
42 Vouch 175/1 3rd in G2 Remsen and last worked Jan. 10
43 Supreme Aura 85/1 Won Jan. 5 allowance at Fair Grounds to go 2-for-2.
44 Seven Trumpets 125/1 Game 2nd to Firenze Fire in the Jerome.
45 The Tabulator 150/1 5th in BC Juvenile and G3 Iroquois winner; no recent works.
46 Us Navy Flag 150/1 10th in BC Juvenile and back to Europe. Done with dirt?
47 Zing Zang 150/1 4th-place Lecomte finisher needs more distance.
48 Montauk 22/1 Won October debut by 11 1/4 at Belmont; no works since.
49 Curlin's Honor 85/1 Won Keeneland debut; Casse slowly bringing him back.
50 Reride 85/1 Took Delta Downs' Jan. 13 Big Drama at seven furlongs.
51 Zatter 100/1 Inactive since 5th in G1 Frontrunner Sept 30 at Santa Anita.
52 Higher Power 125/1 Won Jan. 13 OP allowance, but slower of two races at distance.
53 Telekinesis 150/1 Casse mentioned this $470,000 purchase to HRN.
54 Biblical 175/1 6th in Remsen, first work back on Jan. 13 at Palm Beach Downs
55 Gotta Go 175/1 Stakes winner at CD was 13th in Ky Jockey Club; Swale is next.
56 Bravazo 150/1 OP allowance winner on Jan. 13, faster than Higher Power that day by 2 seconds.
57 Tigers Rule n/a 3rd in G3 Bourbon on Keeneland slop and has two works back.
58 New York Central 100/1 Churchill maiden winner was 2nd in Jan. 13 allowance.
59 Alkhaatam 60/1 4th in Dec. 2 Remsen; no works since then.
60 Blueblood 125/1 Undefeated in two starts at Woodbine in May and July.
61 High North 125/1 4th in Kentucky Jockey Club and a Southwest Stakes candidate.
62 Lionite 125/1 4th in G1 Breeders' Futurity at Keeneland and working regularly at FG.
63 Take The One O One 225/1 3rd in G1 FrontRunner in Sept. and had first work back on Jan. 12.
64 Septimius Severus n/a Debut winner was wide Nov. 25 at AQ; running Jan. 17 at GP.
65 Restoring Hope 50/1 2nd and 3rd in two maiden tries in Southern California; worked Jan. 13.
66 Ebben 200/1 Wide 6th in Lecomte on Jan. 13 and should stay on the trail.
67 Talon 200/1 Aqueduct maiden winner working regularly at Tampa Bay Downs.
68 Lone Sailor 125/1 9th in Lecomte Jan. 13. Three starts back, narrowly missed in CD stakes.
69 Quip 125/1 7th in Kentucky Jockey Club; is 2-for-3 lifetime. One work back was on Jan. 7.
70 Givemeaminit 150/1 Maiden was 4th in BC Juvenile, 2nd in Louisiana-bred stakes on Dec. 31.
71 Tap Daddy 100/1 250 0.4% 3rd in the Smarty Jones switching from turf to dirt.
72 Wonder Gadot (F) 250/1 2nd in Silverbulletday on Jan. 13 but still may try the Derby trail.
73 Bal Harbour 60/1 Non-competitive 2nd in Mucho Macho Man stakes behind Mask on Jan. 6.
74 Promises Fulfilled 65/1 3rd in Ky Jockey Club on Nov. 25 but no works since.
75 Engage 125/1 Impressive winner of Belmont's Futurty in October but hasn't worked.
76 Talent Scout 75/1 Baffert debut winner on Oct. 9 with no works since November.
77 Airtouch 85/1 2nd in debut in August at Saratoga, one work back on Jan. 5.
78 Prolific 125/1 Won debut at Belmont in September, no works since
79 Run Away 250/1 G2 winner at 2 last worked Dec. 31.
80 Snapper Sinclair 150/1 3rd in Lecomte making the switch from turf to dirt.
81 Ezmosh 250/1 2nd for Zayat Stables in salty OP allowance on Jan. 13.
82 Shivermetimbers 250/1 4th in Sham on Jan. 6 and should re-surface on Derby trail.
83 Cove Blue 250/1 Romans is high on the 7-furlong maiden winner at GP on Jan. 6.
84 Archaggelos 200/1 Grey Stakes winner in Canada at 2, but no works this year.
85 Barry Lee 200/1 Won 7-furlong Arlington Washington Futurity in September.
86 Soul Streit 200/1 5th in G1 Del Mar Futurity, but no works since September.
87 San Elijo 250/1 Gelding won FG maiden race on Jan. 13.
88 He Hate Me 125/1 Undefeated in two starts at 2 in May and June, working regularly in Florida.
89 Dreamer's Point 275/1 2nd in CD allowance on Nov. 25, with only one work since on Dec. 20.
90 Sea Foam n/a Beat New York-breds in the Nov. 26 Notebook and could be on to open company.
91 Kowboy Karma 200/1 5th in Lecomte for Jones, who says horse came out of it well.
92 Tap Rap Strike 250/1 6th in GP allowance won by Noble Indy; also ran in Remsen.
93 Arched Feather 300/1 Last in five-horse Smarty Jones but may run better with faster pace.
94 Northern Trail n/a 2nd behind Dak Attack in Ellis Park Juvenile; now working at OP.
95 Believe In Royalty 300/1 First Believe You Can foal was 12th in the Lecomte.
96 Coltandmississippi 200/1 Distant third in Jan. 13 Jerome behind Firenze Fire.
97 Prince Lucky125/1 7th in the Lecomte but two back won Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes.
98 Arrival 125/1 11th in Kentucky Jockey Club, but Casse says he can do better.
99 Faversham 200/1 California Chrome's brother narrowly missed in Jan. 15 debut.
100 Diamond King n/a Laurel's Heft Stakes winner recently transferred to John Servis.

Last edited by howard555; 01-19-2018 at 11:55 AM..
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Old 01-22-2018, 09:51 AM
Status: "I had a handle on life, but it broke" (set 9 days ago)
 
1,322 posts, read 2,053,786 times
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This is a little early for me. I usually wait until the middle of April, after the last prep, and then cap the top 25 qualifiers. There are usually a few horses withdrawn for various reasons, so I want to be prepared for the runners that join the field late.

If you have the time and the interest, it can be very exciting to select a few 2YOs, follow them through all of their races, and root for them to go all the way to the Derby. If nothing else, you would be obtaining valuable information along the way.
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Old 01-27-2018, 02:54 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
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Pegasus:
2-5-6-10 Superfecta box
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Old 03-31-2018, 08:41 AM
 
Location: AriZona
5,032 posts, read 2,722,995 times
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Thoroughbred horse named after New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski has qualified for Kentucky Derby

That's incredible. What a story!
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Old 04-08-2018, 02:24 PM
 
Location: Space Coast, FL
849 posts, read 177,479 times
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This is AWESOME! My mom's two favorite sports: Horse racing and Football - more specifically, the New England Patriots. I actually got her a Tom Brady Fathead for Christmas and it's in her bedroom! She's 90 by the way!

Thanks for sharing the story!

--Jules
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Old 04-15-2018, 04:29 PM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
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Here are the latest odds:
Justify 5/2
Bolt D'oro 5/1
Magnum Moon 5/1
Mendelssohn 5/1
Good Magic 6/1
Audible 7/1
My Boy Jack 7/1
Vino Rosso 16/1
Enticed 20/1
Quip 20/1
Solomini 20/1
Flameaway 25/1
Noble Indy 25/1
Free Drop Billy 35/1
Hofburg 35/1
Promises Fulfilled 40/1
Bravazo 45/1
Lone Sailor 45/1
Combatant 75/1
Firenze Fire 75/1
Gronkowski 75/1
Givemeaminit 80/1
Reride 125/1
Blended Citizen 150/1
Dream Baby Dream 150/1
Restoring Hope 150/1
Sporting Chance 150/1

Bolt (I think) has lost his last two races. I'm not up to date on who is undefeated if any of them. I'm mildly leaning toward Audible. I have not looked at trainers but if Baffert has multiple entries which one will he assign to Mike Smith?
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Old 04-19-2018, 10:10 AM
 
10,143 posts, read 13,833,845 times
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3-Year-Old-Males

1. Magnum Moon – He validated his Rebel performance with an even stronger Arkansas Derby. Though he didn’t start at age 2, he is a serious contender for the Run for the Roses. A good case can be made for any one of the top seven here to be ranked No. 1.

2. Audible – Stellar record this year in winning the Holy Bull and Florida Derby in easy fashion. Appears to have all the tools to follow in stablemate Always Dreaming’s footsteps.

3. Bolt d’Oro – Never really had a chance in the Santa Anita Derby with Justify away on an easy lead in tepid fractions. You should get a decent price on him in the Kentucky Derby, but I am not sure he is good enough to win it. Will need an ideal trip and is one of at least half a dozen very good horses with a shot to win in this year’s top-heavy Kentucky Derby.

4. Good Magic – A win in the Blue Grass is just what this guy needed. In what was his career-best performance, Good Magic ran well from a far outside post in a large field coming from off the pace. About as nice of a Kentucky Derby dress rehearsal as you will find nowadays.

5. Justify – Ran as advertised in the Santa Anita Derby when allowed to set an easy and uncontested lead. The Kentucky Derby against 19 others will be a completely different story, though, as he will have no such advantages in Louisville. Unraced at age 2 and only three career starts, he will be an underlay on the tote board in Louisville.

Next 5: Mendelssohn, Vino Rosso, McKinzie, Noble Indy, Flameaway.

https://www.horseracingnation.com/bl...ajor_moves_123

I'm hanging onto my pick of Audible for the time being.
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Old 04-19-2018, 11:05 AM
 
Location: AriZona
5,032 posts, read 2,722,995 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by howard555 View Post
3-Year-Old-Males

1. Magnum Moon – He validated his Rebel performance with an even stronger Arkansas Derby. Though he didn’t start at age 2, he is a serious contender for the Run for the Roses. A good case can be made for any one of the top seven here to be ranked No. 1.

2. Audible – Stellar record this year in winning the Holy Bull and Florida Derby in easy fashion. Appears to have all the tools to follow in stablemate Always Dreaming’s footsteps.

3. Bolt d’Oro – Never really had a chance in the Santa Anita Derby with Justify away on an easy lead in tepid fractions. You should get a decent price on him in the Kentucky Derby, but I am not sure he is good enough to win it. Will need an ideal trip and is one of at least half a dozen very good horses with a shot to win in this year’s top-heavy Kentucky Derby.

4. Good Magic – A win in the Blue Grass is just what this guy needed. In what was his career-best performance, Good Magic ran well from a far outside post in a large field coming from off the pace. About as nice of a Kentucky Derby dress rehearsal as you will find nowadays.

5. Justify – Ran as advertised in the Santa Anita Derby when allowed to set an easy and uncontested lead. The Kentucky Derby against 19 others will be a completely different story, though, as he will have no such advantages in Louisville. Unraced at age 2 and only three career starts, he will be an underlay on the tote board in Louisville.

Next 5: Mendelssohn, Vino Rosso, McKinzie, Noble Indy, Flameaway.

https://www.horseracingnation.com/bl...ajor_moves_123

I'm hanging onto my pick of Audible for the time being.
Be careful, Howard.

That 75/1 odds darkhorse, Gronkowski, may just be up for an epic upset!
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Old 04-21-2018, 08:38 AM
 
Location: Space Coast, FL
849 posts, read 177,479 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Colt AZ View Post
Be careful, Howard.

That 75/1 odds darkhorse, Gronkowski, may just be up for an epic upset!
Can't give a rep point again as I gave one earlier, but from a fellow New Englander, Go Gronk!!
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Old 04-25-2018, 09:01 PM
 
Location: AriZona
5,032 posts, read 2,722,995 times
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Default Gronkowski (the horse) suffers a minor setback, will not run in the Kentucky Derby

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/g...entucky-derby/

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