How long will this drought/La Nina last? (Abilene: summer, between)

[shoe01]

That particular La Nina discussed in the OP is history, but then there was another this past winter. The Southern Oscillation (El Nino/La Nina) is now considered to be in "neutral" territory, or so I've read, so maybe precipitation levels are supposed to improve by September/October. Unfortunately, there's a lot of time before then.

[Lee W.]

I had heard that they predicted that it would end in June. But I see no sign it's ending! No rain and it's just getting worse.

[catman]

I think they were simply trying to keep you from jumping off a chair with a slipknot around your neck. The drought is serious all over the Southwest!

[shoe01]

Here's a map of what some people think will happen by August 31.

The people there predict "some improvement" in most of the state, with significant improvement in parts of West Texas, but "persistence" north of Houston. Who knows, really.

[Willsson]

Originally Posted by davidhaul

past records have shown it could last 10-20 years , according to deut: 12-20 its a penalty for sinful living, we must get back to godly principles of loving , giving and sharing .

And vote for Al Gore

[die Eichkatze]

Originally Posted by Lee W.

I had heard that they predicted that it would end in June. But I see no sign it's ending! No rain and it's just getting worse.

We are probably in "nuetral" conditions now, but the problem with this is that a "normal" Texas summer means hot and dry anyways. Central Texas is in for a rude awakening if we don't receive substantial rains this summer. Water levels (both lakes and aquifers) are well below normal for this time of year, and without normal spring rains to provide summertime base flow, they will drop like a rock...not a good situation.

[Lee W.]

I could understan having very little rain with La Nina gone, but we've had NO rain...for a long time now. So the drought is continuing and just gets worse!

http://drought.unl.edu/DM/DM_state.htm?TX,S (broken link)

[plwhit]

It could last all year long...

The lowest rainfall in SA was in 1917 with 10.11 inches.

San Antonio Climate Records - NWS Austin/San Antonio

The best we can hope for now is a very active tropical season.

[car957]

For those folks in the Hill Country, check out Hydromet

I compared the lake levels from last year to this year. I was amazed that Lake Travis is 23 feet below last year's levels.

[L210]

The rainiest months in San Antonio are supposed to be May and June. I've heard that it's specifically between the middle of May and the middle of June. I think we've only had one rainy day so far between the two.