Which Texas City Will be the Next to Hit the 1,000,000 Population Mark? (Austin: to live in, suburban)

[BCB]

Originally Posted by HtownLove

Both California and Texas currently have 3 cities in the top ten list. I think Austin and Fort Worth will be trying to edge San Jose out of the top ten list in about 15 years. Giving Texas 4 of the top ten and dropping California to two.

After 2030 I wouldn't be surprised if the top 10 looked like

1. NY 8.5M
2. LA 4.1M
3. Houston 2.5M
4. Chicago 2.4M
5. San Antonio 1.8M
6. Philadelphia 1.6M
7. Phoenix 1.6M
8. San Diego 1.4M
9. Fort Worth 1.2M
10. Austin/Dallas 1.2M


Odd how far SF have fallen. It will drop off the top 15 before this decade is out.

So you expect Dallas to not add ONE person in almost 20 years?

[HtownLove]

Originally Posted by BCB

So you expect Dallas to not add ONE person in almost 20 years?

No, I expect that it will lose people.
The burbs is where its at

[BCB]

Originally Posted by HtownLove

No, I expect that it will lose people.
The burbs is where its at

What a silly comment. What a silly comment. What a silly comment.

You're saying that the 5K+ apartments under construction near Dallas' core are going to sit empty for almost 20 years...

[brightman79]

Originally Posted by HtownLove

No, I expect that it will lose people.
The burbs is where its at

I have to disagree. Cost of living is too cheap with job opportunities abundant when you compare DFW to much of the rest of the country. As long as people continue to flee from Detroit, Dallas will continue to grow.

[ctk0p7]

Originally Posted by brightman79

I have to disagree. Cost of living is too cheap with job opportunities abundant when you compare DFW to much of the rest of the country. As long as people continue to flee from Detroit, Dallas will continue to grow.

Dallas will most certainly grow, but considering how land locked the city is, it will be very dependent upon increasing density. This most likely will be a slow steady growth, much like what has occured over the past decade. Fort Worth will probably surpass the population of Dallas in the coming years due to annexations of suburban neighborhoods. Either Fort Worth or Austin will be the next 1mil city, not sure which will achieve that level first though.

[xxericthomasxx]

Originally Posted by JJG

You say that, but who's to know what will happen within the next decade?

Even El Paso could see a jump.

There's no way any other Texas city is going to beat Austin to the 1 million mark. Austin added about 95,000 residents from 2010 to 2013 and had an estimated population of 885,000. At that rate, it should pass 1 million before 2020.

El Paso added about 25,000 residents from 2010 to 2013 and was estimated at 674,000 residents. At that rate it will take decades for it to surpass the 1 million mark.

(source is wikipedia)

[xxericthomasxx]

Originally Posted by ctk0p7

Dallas will most certainly grow, but considering how land locked the city is, it will be very dependent upon increasing density. This most likely will be a slow steady growth, much like what has occured over the past decade. Fort Worth will probably surpass the population of Dallas in the coming years due to annexations of suburban neighborhoods. Either Fort Worth or Austin will be the next 1mil city, not sure which will achieve that level first though.

It will be Austin. There's not even a slight chance of any other Texas city to cross the 1 million mark before Austin does it. It's growing at an extremely high rate. The 2013 population estimate is 885,000 and it added 95k residents in just over 3 years. It will likely cross the 1 million mark well before the 2020 census. Fort Worth is a fast growing city but not nearly fast enough to overtake Austin, or even come close to closing the gap between the population of the two cities.

[JJG]

Originally Posted by xxericthomasxx

Fort Worth is a fast growing city but not nearly fast enough to overtake Austin, or even come close to closing the gap between the population of the two cities.

...you sure about that?

We have been the fastest growing city in America for the past decade. It's not totally impossible.

P.S., Fort Worth HAS been larger than Austin before. It can happen again.

[xxericthomasxx]

Originally Posted by JJG

...you sure about that?

We have been the fastest growing city in America for the past decade. It's not totally impossible.

P.S., Fort Worth HAS been larger than Austin before. It can happen again.

yes, I am completely sure. Austin had about 49k more residents than Fort Worth as of the 2013 census estimate and had grown 12% since the 2010 census compared to Fort Worth's 7% gain. It went from about 49k ahead of Fort Worth to 93k ahead in just 3 years. There is no way Austin is going to slow down enough for Fort Worth to beat it to 1 million.

[JJG]

Originally Posted by xxericthomasxx

yes, I am completely sure. Austin had about 49k more residents than Fort Worth as of the 2013 census estimate and had grown 12% since the 2010 census compared to Fort Worth's 7% gain. It went from about 49k ahead of Fort Worth to 93k ahead in just 3 years. There is no way Austin is going to slow down enough for Fort Worth to beat it to 1 million.

NO way, huh....?