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I think it's very unlikely that ufo's or aliens have ever traveled to earth. The evidence is very weak. However I think it's very likely that intelligent life does exist elsewhere in the universe just because it's so large we can't really comprehend it. I don't know if there's intelligent life that also has advanced technology, all we can do is speculate. I think the possibility of there being a God is zero so I did pick the ufo's since I had to make a choice.
I voted for UFOs, because they are much more logically explained... how arrogant is it to think we're the ONLY living creatures in the ENTIRE universe?? Just because we haven't heard from them yet, doesn't mean they don't exist - especially since we haven't explored every planet & star, nor have we tried to make contact with all of them.
there is actually a belief on this...that everything in the bible can be explained by ufos
Well, it still doesn't explain "first cause" very well. The supposed "creatures on other planets" were created or came into being somehow. I know some atheists will disagree, but it has always just seemed more logical to me to believe in an eternal God as He has revealed Himself to be rather than an "eternal universe" or an "eternal molecule" or an "eternal vapor" or so on and so on... Hope I'm making sense here.! Something somewhere was "uncaused." Now whether UFO's exist...whether there is life on other planets, I don't know, but if there is, I believe God created it.
To answer the OP, I think that the possibility of UFO's is mathematically greater than that of God. However, I don't think that we have been "visited" by aliens.
Something else I'd like to clarify is that the search for extra-terrestrial like planets is largely impeded by the fact that since planets do not emit their own light, we have to first find stars that resemble our own sun. It's only at that point that we are able to examine the stars' "warble" to determine if it has a gravitational object orbiting around it. It's at that point that we can take an educated guess if there is a planet orbiting that sun not too close to be too hot and not too far to be too cold based on the "warble" of that star. This most certainly does not help our progress as far as finding ET life.
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Something somewhere was "uncaused." Now whether UFO's exist...whether there is life on other planets, I don't know, but if there is, I believe God created it.