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Old 11-20-2011, 11:07 AM
 
Location: IN
20,789 posts, read 35,842,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yup..inland track, not enough trough, no neg tilt, no phase, = rain.

Next potential would be 28th and 4th timeframe...

Keep us posted if the high peaks see any white stuff. Ski resorts are going to be hurting this year. Out west they are raking in the cash.
Blowtorch La Nina with zonal flow & split flow + -PNA, +NAO, +AO = big problems with sustained cold and snow in the East
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Old 11-20-2011, 11:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GraniteStater View Post
Blowtorch La Nina with zonal flow & split flow + -PNA, +NAO, +AO = big problems with sustained cold and snow in the East
Exactly..for sustained yes.. but for individual storm I throw out what the teleconnection are. Especially when we get 2 feet of snow in October with a positive nao..

I'm glad that storm happened because I've been saying for years no matter how much data, technology or history we look at, weather on Earth will change and do what it wants. We can only weigh the "chances" for now. Records for less than 100 years is histerical though.. Lol
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Old 11-20-2011, 12:37 PM
 
Location: IN
20,789 posts, read 35,842,367 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Exactly..for sustained yes.. but for individual storm I throw out what the teleconnection are. Especially when we get 2 feet of snow in October with a positive nao..

I'm glad that storm happened because I've been saying for years no matter how much data, technology or history we look at, weather on Earth will change and do what it wants. We can only weigh the "chances" for now. Records for less than 100 years is histerical though.. Lol
The October storm was an extreme fluke. If it hadn't materialized most places would be waiting until December or January to see accumulating snow based on the way the pattern is shaping up. I read some literature that said the past several winters that the NAO and AO seemed to be trending negative throughout the winter. It isn't winter yet, but the exact opposite seems to be happening this year. Also, extreme cold in Alaska usually moves into the US within 2-3 weeks. I don't really see that happening either in this case.
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Old 11-21-2011, 06:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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The storm should move a little more south then what was thought...that means slightly less snow at the northern tip of NY, VT & NH and more snow towards Rutland southward...
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Old 11-21-2011, 02:48 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Winter Storm Watch are up. Check your local county and towns.
Intellicast - Weather Alerts

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHEASTERN ADIRONDACKS AND UPPER HUDSON
VALLEY OF NEW YORK...AND THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS OF
VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE TO HEAVY WET SNOW MIXING WITH SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND UPPER HUDSON VALLEY. 8 TO 12 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MOVE SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND ADJACENT WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX...THEN ALL WET SNOW IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL MIX WITH RAIN AND SLEET DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...TAPERING OFFWEDNESDAY EVENING AS SNOW.

* IMPACTS...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT
FROM FALLEN TREE LIMBS.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES.
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Old 11-21-2011, 04:32 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Use the link to see the updates..They should adjust upwards as time gets closer... NOAA's National Weather Service - Burlington, VT - StormTotalSnow Graphics


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Old 11-21-2011, 08:14 PM
 
Location: Vermont / NEK
5,773 posts, read 12,300,664 times
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It's chilly tonight. Just got back from my usual walk and checked the thermometer. 15. Almost time to put the shorts away. Gorgeous night sky with no moon.
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Old 11-22-2011, 03:23 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,995 posts, read 51,126,685 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by square peg View Post
It's chilly tonight. Just got back from my usual walk and checked the thermometer. 15. Almost time to put the shorts away. Gorgeous night sky with no moon.
Nice... Beginning steps of the slow transition into Winter... I think Vermont will do well this year...

New updates show almost a foot just to the West..

This mapwill refresh on updates.
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Old 11-23-2011, 05:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Did you guys wake up to snow on ground?

Here are official reports so far in VT.
PNS from KBTV

Looks like Orwell and W. Bethel in Windsor County has the most at 8.5" so far.
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Old 11-23-2011, 06:01 AM
 
Location: on a dirt road in Waitsfield,Vermont
2,186 posts, read 5,982,572 times
Reputation: 1126
6" so far in the MRV, much more in the mountains.
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