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Old 07-07-2015, 01:31 PM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
1,941 posts, read 3,230,346 times
Reputation: 1085

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Its pretty nasty out there today....just as nasty inside if you don't have AC lol...
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Old 07-07-2015, 02:35 PM
 
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Awfully humid and warm here in the Upper Valley. Glad I have an AC unit in the bedroom window for tonight.
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Old 08-22-2015, 09:32 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
69,037 posts, read 51,181,426 times
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Hope you guys been well! Tuesday's front will feel nice! Behind it is stronger drier cooler air. Should make you remember Fall is near.

If anyone is interested I started a thread on early season snows going on in U.S and Canada.. Pretty fascinating!

FYI ... If this same pattern continues, we will be tracking some impressive snowstorms across the U.S. polar Jet stream already flexing its muscles. Just have to see if it actually dips in the East again.

Henry Margusity August 21 video he mentions his quick gut thoughts for winter at 4:20. Back further shows why he's saying that. (because of the diving Jet stream, SOI values, and strong Fall like storms we're already getting)

It is absolutely fascinating to see happen in Summer and one wonders with a naturally strong polar jet coming in late Fall/Winter what this will do if it continues.

"I think we're in for one heck of a winter time. This is setting up to be looking like a wild winter coming up. Just my feeling, my opinion"

Significant Severe Weather Outbreak Saturday - Meteorological Madness Weather Blog
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Old 08-31-2015, 02:15 PM
 
Location: USA (North Springfield, Vermont)
219 posts, read 409,279 times
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The midwest is expected to have below-average temps while the east is expected to be mild. I don't see any 2013-like predictions for the northeast. Looks like El-Niño will help out the northeast...
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Old 08-31-2015, 03:12 PM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
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Farmers almanacs both said we're getting more of the same as last year...
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Old 08-31-2015, 05:29 PM
 
Location: IN
20,795 posts, read 35,862,220 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RJARRRPCGP View Post
The midwest is expected to have below-average temps while the east is expected to be mild. I don't see any 2013-like predictions for the northeast. Looks like El-Niño will help out the northeast...
It's a coin flip at this point. El Nino is not the only determining factor regarding the potential weather pattern for the winter season.
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Old 09-05-2015, 03:10 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
69,037 posts, read 51,181,426 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RJARRRPCGP View Post
The midwest is expected to have below-average temps while the east is expected to be mild. I don't see any 2013-like predictions for the northeast. Looks like El-Niño will help out the northeast...
If folks are big on thinking El Nino is the only (or Main) player, then looking at all years that had a Strong El Nino like we do now...

1957-58
1965-66
1972-73
1982-83
1997-98

Total snowfall in Burlington with those years = 470 inches. Divide that by 5 yrs = 94" on Average with a Strong El Nino. That's 14% above normal.

However, Burlington does bad with Weak and Moderate El Ninos.

Here's the typical (meaning average) setup. We may not have an average typical Nino. Nobody knows.

But look how close the Polar Jet is to New England.. If that can dive down with good timing and the Sub Tropical jet injects moisture in, we got cold and snow.

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Old 09-07-2015, 04:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
69,037 posts, read 51,181,426 times
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Many of us in the Northeast are in the same boat. Brown Grass, Where is the rain?! It's funny because in June we were complaining there was too much falling (every other day practically)

The whole pattern flipped about Mid July to dry and very warm. NWS mentions the lack of rain and the long time since being below normal. WOW....

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
341 AM EDT MON SEP 7 2015

THE LAST SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AT BTV (>0.10") OCCURRED BACK ON
AUGUST 21ST...WITH ONLY 0.02" SINCE THAT DATE. IN TERMS OF
TEMPERATURES...DESPITE THE RELATIVE COOLDOWN...IT APPEARS TEMPS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE CLIMO AVERAGES THRU THE WEEKEND. THE LAST DAY AT
BTV WITH A MEAN TEMPERATURE BELOW THE CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN WAS
AUGUST 8TH.

Here's last 60 day precip departures. 100% = normal so you can see the whole region mostly below normal. I am about half of where I normally would be. Parts of Maine still above normal though.



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Old 09-08-2015, 07:14 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
69,037 posts, read 51,181,426 times
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For the period of Sept 1 to Sept 7 Burlington only had 4 years that were warmer. Yeah... it's been torching hot. Listed other spots and map

http://www.city-data.com/forum/41121689-post329.html
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Old 09-08-2015, 10:05 AM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
1,941 posts, read 3,230,346 times
Reputation: 1085
On the plus side, my tomatoes are going gangbusters.
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