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Old 10-25-2016, 10:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,885 posts, read 51,052,030 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tkln View Post
We've had snow showers all morning today, but no major accumulation down here...sure the mountain picked up a bit more.
Interesting pattern for sure. And guess what.. A clipper over South Dakota right now is coming Thursday night. That means.... more snow falling.


Here's the current snow total forecast only to Thursday 8pm so this doesn't include the clipper snow for VT.






BUT WAIT ............ THERE'S MORE! 2 Clippers?! 2nd one taking a more northern track so that means little warmer air.


1st clipper 8-12" for the ADK?! WHOA!

Text Discussion

Quote:
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1056 AM EDT Tue Oct 25 2016

THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

Thursday onward through the weekend
the pattern becomes quite active again with mean troughiness
redeveloping aloft across the eastern CONUS and 2 clipper-like
systems bringing mixed precipitation to the North Country.

The first and more robust system comes Thursday mid-day through
Friday as low pressure develops out of the Great Lakes/Ohio River
Valley region and tracks northeast to the Maine coast by Friday
night. Precipitation along a warm frontal boundary works its way
into the area fairly quickly by mid-day on the nose of a strong
40- 50kt 925-850mb south-southeasterly jet with thermal profiles
initially supporting a mix of rain and snow in the valleys and
snow at the higher summits, but by the afternoon and overnight the
ptype forecast become a bit more tricky. Latest trends in NWP
guidance indicate a warm nose slightly above 0C at 925-850mb works
in after 00z and this coupled with marginally warm boundary layer
temps supports rain in the deeper valleys and a mixed bag of
rain/snow with possible brief periods of sleet and/or freezing
rain across the Adirondacks and eastern Vermont. As the low pushes
east on Friday, temps aloft support a transition back to snow for
the summits, but the boundary layer remains too warm at the
surface supporting showers/rain as precip becomes more orographic
in nature on developing northwest flow. Early thoughts on storm
totals through Friday show the highest elevations the big snow
winners with 6-8" along the Green Mountain spine, to 8-12" across
the high peaks of the Adirondacks. Below 1500 feet, a dusting to
perhaps 2" is possible outside of the Champlain and St. Lawrence
Valleys.


Next system looks to swing through Saturday through Saturday
night, taking a more northern track than its predecessor, offering
even warmer thermal profiles, enough to produce mainly rain
showers with highs pushing into the mid/upper 40s. Behind it, high
pressure looks to return for Sunday night into Monday.
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Old 10-25-2016, 10:58 AM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
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Holy crap! lol
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Old 10-25-2016, 03:52 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,885 posts, read 51,052,030 times
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Last 4 hrs temps and Radar


Temps struggling past 30s and there's on and off snow showers all day in parts of Northern NY, VT and NH today in this NW flow we have going on


Amazing pattern. What are the odds this is the average pattern all winter?

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Old 10-25-2016, 04:49 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Killington, VT. 1st to open. Cold enough to make snow plus 5" new snow today and I believe 6" the other day and more coming..

Anyone know stats on their first open in previous years?


Last edited by Cambium; 10-25-2016 at 05:04 PM..
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Old 10-25-2016, 06:13 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Look up tonight if clear enough. Northern lights!

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Old 10-25-2016, 07:36 PM
 
Location: The Woods
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Too cloudy for any hopes of that here. Which seems to happen a lot when there would be a chance of seeing the lights.
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Old 10-25-2016, 09:24 PM
 
Location: Windham County, VT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Interesting. I had to check on the map for curiosity and it makes sense. You're on the East side of the big mountains so you're protected from the cold and snow a lot of time. And given the time of year it doesn't surprise me all you had was rain. Also not sure your elevation which for sure played a role too because it was below freezing above 2500'. So even in your county snowflakes were flying above 1500'.


4.6" fell not far west from you at higher elevation in Bennington County.


Vermont is very interesting in that sense.
You betcha'

Brattleboro elevation ranges from (roughly) 200-500 feet near downtown-and according to an online widget, I'm at around 478 ft.
Being down in valley next to the Conn. River moderates things a lot (also makes for much scenic spooky fog along NH border).
Weather tends to happen up in Wilmington (and over in Bennington) first-and so may run its course, end up milder, by the time it reaches this corner.
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Old 10-26-2016, 07:02 AM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
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All morning and still coming down.

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Old 10-26-2016, 08:07 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,885 posts, read 51,052,030 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tkln View Post
All morning and still coming down.
Nice! I can't rep you! lol So light its not even coming up on radar...


Is it fluffy? (High Ratio)
Are you reporting each snowfall through CoCoRaHS or NWS?


PM me if you want more info how to. And I forgot if you kept your own log but I recommend that to everyone.


I just found this cool stats on Killington!


Killington - Snow You Can Count On




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Old 10-26-2016, 08:49 AM
 
Location: Western views of Mansfield/Camels Hump!
1,941 posts, read 3,226,730 times
Reputation: 1085
I noticed too that it wasn't showing up on radar, which was funny because it was really coming down for a bit. Stopped for a bit with pockets of blue sky peeking through but now it's started back up. Ironically this morning it was snowing here at the house, but nothing in Stowe...my husband drove to Burlington and came back and said it was raining there.

I did report it on that app that you told us about a couple of years ago - mPing!
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