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Old 04-08-2012, 04:38 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,926 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
lol. Nice. Unfortunetly all possiblities have diminished now. Nice Easter weekend coming up. Dry and average all week with some cold nights.

Next chance of Rain and/or snow would be around the 10th/11th.
Looks like it will be the 9th.Some good technical info from BTV. I highlighted the snow talk.
National Weather Service Text Product Display

QPF FIELDS OFF THE GFS/NAM
BOTH SHOW OVER 1.0" POSSIBLE NEAR JAY PEAK TO MANSFIELD...WITH
LESS THAN 0.10" AT BTV...SHOWING THE VERY SHARP PRECIP GRADIENT
WHICH IS VERY TYPICAL OF THESE EVENTS. THERMAL PROFILES WL BE
TRICKY...WITH BEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ON

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUES MORNING ABOVE 1500 FT ACRS THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN GREENS. ON MONDAY...FEEL BL TEMPS WARM BTWN 1 AND 3C...WITH 925MB TEMPS NEAR 2C...WHILE 85H TEMPS STAY BTWN -2C AND -4C...SUPPORTING SNOW LEVELS ABOVE 2500FT.

HOWEVER...THESE TEMPS WL COOL SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY NIGHT WITH NORTHERLY FLW AND THE LOSS OF SFC HEATING FROM THE HIGH SUN ANGLE. MEANWHILE...FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORTS WL ROTATE THRU OUR CWA AND ENHANCE SYNOPTIC LIFT...ALONG WITH FAVORABLE UPSLOPE FLW/BLOCKING WL PROVIDE LVLL MESO-SCALE LIFT ACRS OUR MTNS. THIS LLVL COOLING AND LIFT WL RESULT IN DROPPING SNOW LEVELS WITH SOME ACCUMULATION LIKELY BY 12Z TUES....ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1500FT. THINKING A GENERAL 2 TO 5 INCHES WL BE POSSIBLE ACRS THE MTNS...WITH A MIXTURE OF
VERY LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACRS THE VALLEYS WITH TOTAL QPF <0.10 THRU 12Z TUES.


Here's a future radar loop next 48 hrs based on the WRF model.

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Old 04-08-2012, 10:21 PM
 
Location: IN
20,786 posts, read 35,823,153 times
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I'm not expecting much precip out of this system. Radar looked impressive in many areas today in Maine, but actual precip at the ob stations were very unimpressive. Less than a tenth of an inch in many cases. The dry spell continues.
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Old 04-09-2012, 11:40 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,926 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342
You want technicals? Slowly read BTVs discussion. Good stuff. National Weather Service Text Product Display

WATER VAPOR AND SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SLOW MOVING VERTICALLY STACKED AREA OF LOW PRES ACRS NORTHERN MAINE...TRACKING TWD NORTHERN VT ATTM. QPF WL RANGE BTWN A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS VALLEYS TO 0.20 TO 0.40" OR SO FROM SUGARBUSH TO MOUNT MANSFIELD TO JAY PEAK. MEANWHILE...NAM/WRF THERMAL PROFILES SHOW THE FREEZING LEVEL BTWN 2800FT AND 3000 FT TODAY...ASSOCIATED WITH WARM BL TEMPS AND PROGGED 925MB TEMPS AROUND 2C...SO BY TONIGHT SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS ADVECT INTO THE REGION WITH 925MB TEMPS FALLING TO 0C AND 85H TEMPS BTWN -3C AND -4C. THIS COMBINED WITH SOUNDINGS SHOWING THE 0C LEVEL DROPPING TO 1800FT...SUPPORTS LOWERING SNOW LEVELS TO AROUND 1500FT OVERNIGHT. LOCAL WRF AND NAM 12 CONT TO SHOW FAVORABLE WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLW AND PLENTY OF LLVL LIFT ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES/NORTHERN DACKS...ALONG WITH GOOD 1000 TO 700MB RH. THIS WL RESULT IN CAT POPS AGAIN TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL QPF AMOUNTS BTWN 0.15 AND 0.30" ACRS THE MTNS OF VT/NY...WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ABOVE 1500 FT OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE

....SHORT TERM /11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT MONDAY...FCST WL CONT TO BE DOMINATED BY
CLOSED/SLOW MOVING VERTICALLY STACKED AREA OF LOW PRES. THE
RESULT WL BE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH GREATEST QPF/HIGHEST POPS
ACRS THE MTNS ZNS. GIVEN THE CYCLONIC FLW AND PLENTY OF
MOISTURE...EXPECT MTN ZNS TO RECEIVE MEASURABLE PRECIP THRU THE
PERIOD...WITH SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE AT NIGHT. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED THRU THE PERIOD AS PLENTY OF
MOISTURE WITH EMBEDDED 5H VORTS ROTATING ACRS OUR CWA AND LLVL THERMAL PROFILE REMAINS SIMILAR...WITH SOME SLIGHT COOLING TWD WEDS. EXPECT DAILY HIGH TEMPS IN THE M/U30S MTNS TO M/U40S
VALLEYS WITH A FEW 50S POSSIBLE IF MORE SUN OCCURS THAN
ANTICIPATED. NIGHT-TIME TEMPS WL FALL BACK INTO THE 30S MTNS TO
L40S VALLEYS
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Old 04-09-2012, 11:46 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,926 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342
From Jay Peak 2 hours ago: Jay Peak Resort | Facebook

"Winter just won't quit. 3-4" @ 11a mid-mountain. Storm forecast just came in and it's, well, it's good; a foot by the time it's all said and done. We'll let you know when that is"




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Old 04-09-2012, 12:53 PM
 
Location: IN
20,786 posts, read 35,823,153 times
Reputation: 13210
^
Good pictures!

Still no precip at all in Merrimack county, NH and the sun is still out!
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Old 04-09-2012, 02:53 PM
 
Location: The Woods
16,936 posts, read 22,202,288 times
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It was snowing good around Mt. Tabor today. I was on Green Mountain and it was coming down real hard. The ground was covered, but I don't know if it held out or quit after I'd left.
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Old 04-09-2012, 02:56 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,926 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342
From a distance.

Mt. Adams. Mt. Jefferson. Mt. Washington. NH

From: Doug Hockman Photos. Doug Hockman | Facebook (http://www.facebook.com/djhockman - broken link)


http://sphotos.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-...40584795_n.jpg

Last edited by vter; 04-09-2012 at 06:16 PM.. Reason: unless you own the copyright to the photo, please just post a link! Per TOS.
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Old 04-09-2012, 03:23 PM
 
Location: Vermont
5,439 posts, read 14,743,656 times
Reputation: 2629
I ALWAYS MISS THE SNOW!!!!!!!!!

Out of commission until Wednesday. Wonder if there'll be anything left at MRG by then. I think it is supposed to keep snowing.
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Old 04-09-2012, 05:29 PM
 
Location: Vermont
5,439 posts, read 14,743,656 times
Reputation: 2629
here's where I wish I was right now

http://www.backtotheearthgroup.com/s...5_edited-1.jpg
http://www.backtotheearthgroup.com/s...7_edited-2.jpg

somewhere on mt mansfield this afternoon.

Last edited by vter; 04-09-2012 at 06:17 PM.. Reason: If you do not own the copyright on photos just post a link to the image please.Per TOS.
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Old 04-09-2012, 08:30 PM
 
Location: Vermont / NEK
5,773 posts, read 12,296,293 times
Reputation: 7193
Solid rain all day in North Troy, but cars coming from Jay (a few hundred feet more elevation) had snow all over them, which is quite typical for early/late season storms.
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