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Old 07-15-2012, 03:09 PM
 
411 posts, read 267,283 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Surprised there's no weather thread for Vermont. Maybe this can become a sticky so we all can discuss the weather as its happening. It's nice to search a state and see picture thread and a weather thread so people can get an idea how the weather is like in that state. :-)

Fall is around the corner and the cooler air is starting to filter down. The trend towards cooler nights is starting. :-)
Amen Brother!
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Old 07-15-2012, 06:30 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
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I got blasted this afternoon with torrential downpours. After 2 weeks of no rain at all I get a months worth in 1 hour. Lots of flooding reports down here. Cars were stuck on I-95 from a spot that got flooded. Lightning was INTENSE
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Old 07-15-2012, 08:00 PM
 
Location: Vermont / NEK
5,764 posts, read 12,282,086 times
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Very dry in northern VT. Today leaves were dropping off a lot of the trees almost like it was autumn. Birds have taken off to places that have water. Very quiet around here without them. We still have crows, but it's an easy flight for them to the nearest pond or river.

We had enough thunder today to scare my hound dog, but managed to get just a sprinkle. The next town over is hauling water from North Troy to keep their reservoir up. I haven't heard of anyone's well running dry yet, but it can't be too far off. Depressing.
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Old 07-15-2012, 08:50 PM
 
Location: IN
20,767 posts, read 35,748,821 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by square peg View Post
Very dry in northern VT. Today leaves were dropping off a lot of the trees almost like it was autumn. Birds have taken off to places that have water. Very quiet around here without them. We still have crows, but it's an easy flight for them to the nearest pond or river.

We had enough thunder today to scare my hound dog, but managed to get just a sprinkle. The next town over is hauling water from North Troy to keep their reservoir up. I haven't heard of anyone's well running dry yet, but it can't be too far off. Depressing.
Much cooler weather pattern is coming by the middle to end of this week. That should cut down quite a bit on the evaporation. I'm not sure how much precip you'll get that way tonight, but I see some occasional precipitation chances in the models over the next week to week and a half.
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Old 07-17-2012, 05:38 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
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Heads up today and tmorrow: Storms can be severe. Cold front comes through tomrorow.

Technical discussion from HPC. See Bolded for bottom line.

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE MID-LOWER MS
VALLEY...WITH GENERALLY WEAK MIDLEVEL WINDS EXTENDING FROM THE SRN
ROCKIES TO THE MIDDLE AND SRN ATLANTIC STATES. STRONGER MID-UPPER
LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED FROM ONTARIO AND THE GREAT
LAKES REGION EWD TO NEW ENGLAND WITHIN THE SRN EXTENT OF A CYCLONIC
FLOW REGIME ATTENDANT TO A BROAD MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER ERN
CANADA. W/SWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN FROM NY TO NEW
ENGLAND THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A CLOSED LOW...CURRENTLY
DRIFTING SSWWD OFF THE ORE/NRN CA COAST PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY TODAY. A COUPLE OF WEAK
MIDLEVEL IMPULSES EMANATING FROM ID/UT SHOULD PHASE EARLY
TODAY...REACHING ERN MT/WY BY PEAK HEATING AND PROCEEDING EWD INTO
THE DAKOTAS TONIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE E/SEWD ACROSS NY
AND NEW ENGLAND...WHILE THE TRAILING PORTION OF THIS BOUNDARY
SETTLES SLOWLY SWD INTO SRN LOWER MI...SRN WI AND EXTREME SRN MN BY
LATE AFTERNOON. THE WRN EXTENT OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER SRN SD. AN AREA OF LOWER PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
TRACK EWD ACROSS SRN QUEBEC REACHING NRN MAINE BY 18/00Z...AND THE
CANADIAN MARITIME AREA BY 12Z WED.

...WRN/NRN NY TO NRN NEW ENGLAND...
AN EXPECTED INCREASE IN W/SWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THIS REGION
WILL ADVECT MOISTURE EWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WITH PW VALUES
EXCEEDING 1.5-1.75 INCH. ALTHOUGH MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE
MODEST /6.5-7 C PER KM/...THE AFOREMENTIONED THERMODYNAMICS SHOULD
RESULT IN MODERATE DESTABILIZATION BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE RANGING
FROM AT LEAST 1000-1500 J/KG. GENERALLY WEAK SURFACE BASED
INHIBITION AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD SHOULD BE REDUCED BY 18Z
FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AND THE
COLD FRONT. THE STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS WILL RESULT IN EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KT AND AROUND 50 KT IN MAINE SUPPORTING
LINES/BOWING SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS. 40-50 KT WSWLY WINDS AT
850-700 MB WILL PROMOTE A
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS...WITH THE
GREATEST THREAT EXTENDING FROM NRN NY/NRN VT/NRN NH TO MUCH OF MAINE
WHERE THESE WIND FIELDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE...AND THERE EXISTS A TORNADO THREAT FROM NRN NY TO NWRN
MAINE WHERE LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED...ESPECIALLY FROM NRN
VT TO NWRN MAINE GIVEN LARGER LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE.
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Old 07-17-2012, 05:40 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
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Then after todays heat..Here's BTV's discussion. Going to feel nice at night. Keep those windows open for some fresh air.

A GENERAL CLEARING TREND IS THEN EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A NICE
COOL NIGHT TAP WITH COOL
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVING BACK INTO
THE NORTHEAST AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S.


STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC SHOULD SQUELCH ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80...WITH
PLEASANT DEW POINT TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S THROUGH SATURDAY.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.


THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY
DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND...SHIFTING EASTWARD INTO THE
ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE
REGION...RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
DEWPOINTS AND CLOUD COVER. MAX TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE
70S TO MID 80S AND MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S TO 60S.
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Old 07-17-2012, 01:50 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
Reputation: 11324
Hope you guys are ready or at least alert. Hope you guys get warnings sent to your phone as a free text alert.



340 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN GRAND ISLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...
NORTHEASTERN ESSEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...
SOUTHERN CLINTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...
EAST CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...
CHITTENDEN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VERMONT...
NORTH CENTRAL ADDISON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VERMONT...
* UNTIL 445 PM EDT.

* AT 335 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS NEAR CLAYBURG...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
PEASLEEVILLE...HARKNESS...CLINTONVILLE...KEESEVILL E...PORT KENT...
COLCHESTER POINT...WILLSBORO...SHELBURNE POINT...SOUTH
BURLINGTON...ST. GEORGE...SHELBURNE...WILLISTON...
THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO PRODUCING DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.
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Old 07-17-2012, 04:54 PM
 
Location: Vermont, grew up in Colorado and California
5,296 posts, read 6,167,082 times
Reputation: 9203
Well I don't like how this is turning out at all, string of storms keeps growing and making a bee line for our house...really can stop any time now....
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Old 07-17-2012, 05:29 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
Reputation: 11324
BTV Discussion.

AS OF 715 PM EDT TUESDAY...COMPLEX OF SEVERE T-STORMS HAS PUSHED
PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA, AND SO HAVE JUST CANCELLED
THE SEVERE T-STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA. HAVE KEPT IT UP FOR
RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES JUST IN CASE THEY GET CLIPPED BY SOME
STORMS THAT ARE OUT IN NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK AS THEY TREK
SOUTHEASTWARD. THOUGH NOT ALL THAT CONFIDENT WE`LL SEE MUCH.

STILL HAVE A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK THAT ARE PUSHING INTO NORTHERN VERMONT AS A
RESULT OF SOME RESIDUAL INSTABILITY. DONT EXPECT ANY OF THEM TO BE
SEVERE, AND JUST PROVIDE A QUICK DOWNPOUR.

THINK JUST ABOUT EVERYTHING SHOULD BE DONE WITH BY MIDNIGHT --
EITHER DISSIPATED OR PUSHED WELL TO THE SOUTH.

PRETTY WILD DAY ON THE RADAR, WITH SEVERAL LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS
THAT PUSHED ACROSS THE AREA, THOUGH A COUPLE OF THE BEST ONES ON
RADAR STAYED NORTH OF THE BORDER. REPORTS SO FAR ARE PRIMARILY DUE
TO STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, WITH A FEW HAIL REPORTS TOSSED IN FOR GOOD MEASURE
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Old 07-17-2012, 06:06 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,758 posts, read 50,881,967 times
Reputation: 11324
751 PM EDT TUE JUL 17 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN WINDSOR COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...
SOUTHERN RUTLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN VERMONT...
* UNTIL 845 PM EDT.
* AT 751 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ONE INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THE STORM WAS NEAR FAIR
HAVEN...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.



2042 UNK SHELBURNE CHITTENDEN VT 4437 7323 8 TREES AND MULTIPLE POWERLINES DOWN ON FALLS ROAD (BTV)
2100 UNK BROOKSVILLE ADDISON VT 4406 7317 TREE DOWN ON RIVER ROAD NEAR RTE 7 (BTV)
2112 UNK MIDDLEBURY ADDISON VT 4402 7317 TREE DOWN (BTV)
2154 UNK ROYALTON WINDSOR VT 4382 7255 SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON HAPPY HOLLOW AND RAINBOW ROADS (BTV)
2225 UNK LYME GRAFTON NH 4381 7216 12-18 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN. (GYX)
2228 UNK HANOVER GRAFTON NH 4370 7229 HANOVER POLICE SAY TREES ARE DOWN ALL OVER. EVENT STILL ONGOING. (GYX)
2230 UNK LEBANON GRAFTON NH 4364 7225 TREES DOWN ALL OVER TOWN (GYX)
2251 UNK TILTON BELKNAP NH 4344 7159 PUBLIC REPORTED LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN IN TILTON. (GYX)
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