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Old 10-02-2012, 06:03 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,915 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342

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Btv.

DIFFERENCES IN GFS AND ECMWF WILL IMPACT TEMPERATURES AS GFS FILTERS IN THE COLDER AIR SOONER. 850 MB TEMPS OF +8C TO +10C WILL GET DOWN TO NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS BY SATURDAY MORNING ACCORDING TO THE GFS. THE ECMWF LOOKS TO BE RUNNING ABOUT 12 HRS SLOWER WITH THE COLDER AIR FILTERING IN. THEREFORE...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 70S ON FRIDAY WILL COOL TO THE 50S AND 60S SATURDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. MIN TEMPS WILL BE GREATLY AFFECTED BY CLOUD COVER. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S ON FRIDAY NIGHT WILL COOL TO THE 20S AND 30S BY SUNDAY NIGHT. IN FACT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS MAY SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT.
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Old 10-02-2012, 10:25 PM
 
Location: IN
20,786 posts, read 35,823,153 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Coming up...

Maybe some heaters will be used.

Seasonable / Warm week.

After the rain and front move out Saturday night, Sunday's high might not get out of the 40s and the nightime low might get to freezing. Monday more of the same with High pressure. Dry and cold. Then a quick warmup afterwards.

GFS continues to hint at "some" white stuff. Not showing anything substantial but keeps showing flakes falling Sunday night after front passes. Some precip lingering behind the front. Im not buying it yet.
GFS has been even more biased toward a cooler solution for the medium range periods lately. Temperatures have been above average for the vast majority of places.
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Old 10-03-2012, 12:15 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,915 posts, read 51,075,089 times
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Default BTV 18 Months in a row above normal temps

Quote:
Originally Posted by 68vette View Post
We are getting some nice warm weather for the rest of the week. The forecast is calling for mid to high seventies. Looks like October is trying to keep the 18 month streak going.
Here's a graph I put together for BTV. I wasn't so much surprised at the 18 in a row above normal as much as I was at the last time it was "below" normal. January and March 2011 were right at normal.

The last time the monthly mean was below normal was October 2010. Then before that was October 2009. To go that long of a stretch with a real below normal month is unbelievable!!

I dont even count October 2010 as below since it was only .3 degrees below. So the last real below normal month was October 2009 where it was 2 degrees below. (35 MONTHS!!)

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Old 10-04-2012, 09:06 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,915 posts, read 51,075,089 times
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Some snow to higher elevations possible Sunday! GFS has shown it for a week and finally Euro came around to it. Cold air will invade the region and a low pressure will develop in the Mid Atlantic. Timing is crucial but it looks like the High peaks could get a couple inches and elevations above 1000' could see the white stuff.

Here's what NWS Vermont says.

Some of you might have seen our forecast the past few days for for a little bit of snow at the highest elevations late Sunday as much colder air moves in.

This is on schedule for this time of the year. On average, the first measurable snowfall on the summit of Mt Mansfield is Oct 10th. From years of observations taken at the base of Jay Peak Resort (elevation about 1850ft), the first measurable snow on average happens Oct 24th. In the lowest elevations, it's usually the first week of November


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Old 10-08-2012, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,915 posts, read 51,075,089 times
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Default Mt Washington Snow

4" of Snow fell on Mt Washingon. "like" their FB page for updates. Mount Washington Observatory - North Conway, NH - Non-Profit Organization | Facebook

Normal snowfall is 17.3" for entire month of October.

Do you guys see any white stuff on the high peaks??

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Old 10-08-2012, 08:50 AM
 
Location: Winter Springs, FL
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The news this morning stated the peak of Mansfield had 1/2 inch. It was to warm just about everywhere else. In the Burlington area we were never below mid 40's.
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Old 10-08-2012, 08:59 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
68,915 posts, read 51,075,089 times
Reputation: 11342
Quote:
Originally Posted by 68vette View Post
The news this morning stated the peak of Mansfield had 1/2 inch. It was to warm just about everywhere else. In the Burlington area we were never below mid 40's.
Oh wow! 30s entered CT. I was at 39 near the coast but up 250'.
Here are a couple of Actual Lows from NWS stations in CT vs VT this morning.


VSF : SPRINGFIELD AIRPORT: 46
BTV : BURLINGTON INTL A: 43
DDH : BENNINGTON ASOS : 43
MVL : MORRISVILLE ARPT : 41
MPV : KNAPP STATE ARPT : 39
SLK : SARANAC LAKE ARPT: 33

BDR : BRIDGEPORT : 41
HFD : HARTFORD : 39
BDL : BRADLEY INTL : 37
DXR: DANBURY : 36
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Old 10-08-2012, 10:23 AM
 
Location: Vermont
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Not a great angle, there is much more to be seen but this is from our condo complex



I would say it's starting around 3250 ft even, not just the top. It is getting real nice and mild out right now though!
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Old 10-08-2012, 10:26 AM
 
Location: Vermont
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heres the iphone shot


the white is not just fog, but snow just in case

Last edited by joe moving; 10-08-2012 at 11:37 AM..
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Old 10-08-2012, 03:20 PM
 
Location: The Woods
16,935 posts, read 22,202,288 times
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It snowed in Lewis this morning. Only snow that stuck was high up on one of the mountains:

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