Originally Posted by BajanYankee
I don't think they are any more or less trustworthy. You can't really predict where a hurricane will hit but you can predict when it will hit with a fair degree of accuracy. And if Katia follows anything close to the path Irene did, it will hit DC on September 11.
That's just it, though; very few storms follow the track that irene took, which is why hurricans are quite rare in the DC region. There are a tremendous number of variables at work here, it's impossible to tell what's going to happen.
As to the CWG, I've typically found them to be the most reliable meteorologists in the DC region. I became a convert to them when they absolutely nailed the snowmageddon forecast, and they've been about as spot-on as weatherpeople can be.