Quote:
Originally Posted by jpdivola
DC has a few headwinds that will slow down the pace of development:
5) The low rents East of the River- there is lots of "theoretical" zoning capacity east of the river. However, the low prices limit the profitability of market rate development. Rents would have to rise (and hence displacement and gentrification) to incentivize private sector housing. Rising rents would likely trigger a political firestorm and the rise of NIMBYism east of the river.
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I have a point about your #5 above:
Rents were low on U Street. Now they are high as people moved east.
Rents were low on H Street. Now they are high as people moved east.
Rents were low in SW. Now they are high as people moved south and east.
Rents were low in Navy Yard. Now they are high as people moved south and east.
The development wave continues to move east and south across DC just like it did back in the 1990's. For those of us from D.C., we remember when 14th street was the hood. We remember when rent could not support new construction on 14th street.
There are already thousands of market housing going through entitlements right now in Ward 7 and Ward 8. The development wave has already arrived.