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Old 08-11-2011, 02:44 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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1 is 10% chance of developing over next 48hrs. 2 are back to back with 40% chance of developing in next 48hrs. They were all 10% earlier.

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Old 08-12-2011, 10:26 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
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Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
1 is 10% chance of developing over next 48hrs. 2 are back to back with 40% chance of developing in next 48hrs. They were all 10% earlier.
Interesting....


I don't know what the chances are that any of these systems will develop - keep in mind the model to model runs in mid summer always underestimate wind shear in mid ocean...but the long term looks like the the strength of the Bermuda High (subtropical Atlantic high) seems well placed just to the northeast of the Bahamas eastward all the way to the mid point between Africa and the Windward Island. So I think we'll see long westward tracks well into October...
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