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Old 03-26-2012, 03:43 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
24,540 posts, read 12,995,366 times
Reputation: 4059
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei View Post
You can do a correlation. For at least one New England weather station, I looked at the correlation between January and February to the next March and April. The correlation is very slightly positive but weak. Interestingly, if February is well above average there is a strong correlation for an above average March.
I'm Working on a little project. Since Bridgeport, CT doesnt have actual monthly temps accessible(yet) I'm using NYC.

Here are the actually average temps for the months. One incredible thing I noticed was in the late 1800s how we were below normal sooo many times. Blue = Below Normal. Red = Above Normal.

Also note: Last 11 months have had above normal mean temp so March will make it 12 straight months!

I'm going to put this all into a graph.



Using the 9 above normal Februarys since 2000 only 5 March's afterwards were above normal.

But surprisingly 7 Aprils were above normal. This year would make it 8 out of the 9 Februarys being above. Hmmm.
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Old 03-26-2012, 03:50 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
10,546 posts, read 5,636,241 times
Reputation: 4854
It's been a very windy afternoon with the highest gust so far being near 40 MPH. Temperatures are in the 40s with a windchill in the 30s. Dewpoints are only in the single digits. That combined with the wind and developing drought conditions are ripe for fires, so a Red Flag Warning is in effect. NWS is still forecasting a low of 20 F for tonight.
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Old 03-26-2012, 03:52 PM
 
Location: Yorkshire, England
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Heh, we're already looking at a serious drought a few months down the line and the 14-day forecast is promising only 0.7mm, and that on the 14th day.
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Old 03-26-2012, 03:55 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
24,540 posts, read 12,995,366 times
Reputation: 4059
Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
It's been a very windy afternoon with the highest gust so far being near 40 MPH. Temperatures are in the 40s with a windchill in the 30s. Dewpoints are only in the single digits. That combined with the wind and developing drought conditions are ripe for fires, so a Red Flag Warning is in effect. NWS is still forecasting a low of 20 F for tonight.
45 degrees here with a North wind gusting to 30mph. Love it.

Fire Weather Watch
CT IA MA ME MN ND NE NH NY RI VT

Freeze Warning
DC DE IN MD MI NJ OH PA VA WV

Freeze Watch
IN MI

Freezing Rain Advisory
MI MN WI

Frost Advisory
IN KY NC OH VA WV

Special Weather Statement
CA CT IA MN NC ND NJ NY OR PA TX VA WY

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Old 03-26-2012, 04:01 PM
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
27,022 posts, read 13,411,049 times
Reputation: 8581
Quote:
Originally Posted by Patricius Maximus View Post
And Nei, that scale is comical with 7 degrees above normal on the month being purple . This is a prime example of me disparaging relative, sliding scales for weather maps. It would be more appropriate if it was like this:
Found a map to your taste!



another version:

http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/img/20120302.png (broken link)

Oddly, they don't match.
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Old 03-26-2012, 05:37 PM
 
701 posts, read 508,250 times
Reputation: 448
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
I'm Working on a little project. Since Bridgeport, CT doesnt have actual monthly temps accessible(yet) I'm using NYC.

Here are the actually average temps for the months. One incredible thing I noticed was in the late 1800s how we were below normal sooo many times. Blue = Below Normal. Red = Above Normal.

Also note: Last 11 months have had above normal mean temp so March will make it 12 straight months!

I'm going to put this all into a graph.



Using the 9 above normal Februarys since 2000 only 5 March's afterwards were above normal.

But surprisingly 7 Aprils were above normal. This year would make it 8 out of the 9 Februarys being above. Hmmm.
You should split it into max/min. One thing i notice in London stats compared to ancient London stats is almost all the heating is at night (UHI)
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Old 03-26-2012, 06:41 PM
Status: "I welcome Fall!" (set 29 days ago)
 
Location: Lakewood, CO
2,612 posts, read 1,766,078 times
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We have yet to hit 80, but the trees are starting to bloom. Grass is turning green. A slight cool down comes tonight, but back to the 70s for the rest of the week with lows in the 40s.
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Old 03-26-2012, 07:14 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
24,540 posts, read 12,995,366 times
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NAM18z has .30" qpf of all snow for Bangor, Maine Thursday.

Use link to change location on left hand side. NCEP Model Time-Series (BUFR) Forecast Hourly Weather Data

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Old 03-26-2012, 08:39 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
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I was walking around tonight and it felt great. Chilly with a blustery wind. Current temperature is 34 F with a windchill of 24 F. Very refreshing.
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Old 03-26-2012, 10:16 PM
 
Location: Western Massachusetts
27,022 posts, read 13,411,049 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
I was walking around tonight and it felt great. Chilly with a blustery wind. Current temperature is 34 F with a windchill of 24 F. Very refreshing.
It was worse than I expected. Partly because I forgot to dress warmly.

Dewpoint is 3F!
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