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Old 04-25-2012, 04:00 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
64,250 posts, read 46,596,223 times
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Welcome to the world of the Negative NAO and the cool Eastern U.S.

Models continue to show a negative/neutral NAO setup tamming temperatures to below and seasonable.

This is the Euro projection but they all say pretty much the same thing.
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Old 04-25-2012, 04:01 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
64,250 posts, read 46,596,223 times
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Current Temps. 6PM EST and its 95 Degrees still near Kansas City. 100s in Texas. 40s and 50s in NorthEast. Even Florida is looking cool for end of April.

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Old 04-25-2012, 04:30 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Wow.

Latest GFS has Saturday and Sunday morning fridgid 850mb temps bleeding south. Called the tounge. First Blue is below 32F.

Here's Saturday morning. Thats 10-14 Degrees Fahrenheit upstate NY. Stays cold at 850mb pretty much all week.



And even better. Sunday morning. Northern NY, NH & Vermont 6-10 degrees Fahrenheit at 4000' levels.

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Old 04-25-2012, 04:33 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
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^I love seeing maps like that, even if they don't verify - lol.
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Old 04-25-2012, 07:00 PM
 
Location: USA East Coast
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Quote:
Originally Posted by asbereth View Post
AccuWeather.com - Brett Anderson | Long-Range Forecast Model Update (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-forecast-model-update-2/64469 - broken link)

Brett Anderson of Accuweather.com posted an update to his long range forecast (until May 20). According to the forecast, the east coast will mostly be seasonable, while the areas around the Midwest and the Great Lakes will be wet and warm. This model seems to be in agreement with what's published by the NWS
What is interesting is that eventually the warmer than average months in the central and eastern USA has to end. The East Coast has had about 7 - 8 months now of above normal monthly temps at many NWS stations - without a single below normal month

What is a bit scary (I’m not a big fan of climate change, I like our world climate just as it is)…is that it how warmer than average months are beating colder than average months for such a long time now. Many NWS stations in the eastern and central USA had a warm fall, a warm winter, a warm March and now April. Will this streak ever end?

This is how last month ranked up:




...and the three mosths combined before (Dec/Jan/Feb):

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Old 04-25-2012, 08:02 PM
 
Location: Laurentia
5,546 posts, read 5,990,078 times
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Keep in mind that since November the U.S. is the anomaly - it's practically the only hotspot. The rest of the planet is getting colder, and has been below normal; even the warmer spots haven't had nearly as much warmth as the U.S. has experienced. What's going on in North America has no relation to the path of global climate, at least since it's so atypical currently. And even in the United States, Alaska has had a bigger anomaly on the cold and snowy side (as well as Bering Sea ice) than the lower 48 has had on the warm side. Of course your point on how hot the East Coast has been is valid.

Not that I think the odds are that good for this to happen, but this is what I'm rooting for and would be a real fright :

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Old 04-25-2012, 09:40 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
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These past two years are a tiny blip in the long-term. Sometimes we get so caught up with what's going on in the present and forget to realize it's insignificant in the long run.

"Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get."

Quote:
Originally Posted by Patricius Maximus View Post
Keep in mind that since November the U.S. is the anomaly - it's practically the only hotspot. The rest of the planet is getting colder, and has been below normal; even the warmer spots haven't had nearly as much warmth as the U.S. has experienced. What's going on in North America has no relation to the path of global climate, at least since it's so atypical currently.
Exactly
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Old 04-26-2012, 04:03 AM
 
Location: Leeds, UK
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Monthly rainfall now sits at 85mm / 3.3in, definitely not the wettest April, nowhere near, but the wettest month for quite some time, definitely, and more rain on the way with a rain warning in force. Wonder if we'll break 100mm / 4in?

Funny me getting all excited, when in 2007 and 2008 we had months breaking 10 inches of rainfall.
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Old 04-26-2012, 05:48 AM
 
Location: Buxton, England
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155mm rain at Harpur Hill Buxton, and 131mm at my house.
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Old 04-26-2012, 05:51 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
64,250 posts, read 46,596,223 times
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Impressive line of storms in Tennessee for this early in morning. Temps only in the 60s. Hail reports coming in.

One hail report is 1.75". Putnam County, TN at 6:25am. National Weather Service Text Product Display

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