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That month was significantly warmer in the SE than elsewhere, including the SW. Average max here was only 21C. At Bristol it was 22C. Even at Cambridge, the average max was 23.8C which is not much above average.
If the current model output verifies then I expect this month to beat July 2010 with absolute ease for much of the country.
That month was significantly warmer in the SE than elsewhere. Average max here was only 21C.
So far this month, our average min has been higher than that, 71°F (21-22°C). If this patterns holds, which shows no sign of letting up except for a few days this weekend, this could be our warmest month on record. Definitely for warmest average min (July normal is 59°F)
So far this month, our average min has been higher than that, 71°F (21-22°C). If this patterns holds, which shows no sign of letting up except for a few days this weekend, this could be our warmest month on record. Definitely for warmest average min (July normal is 59°F)
Something Wicked This Way Comes....praying here our dry air saves us.
Quote:
t the surface there is currently a cold front tracking across AB which will begin to push its way through N'rn SK along with a dryline in the southern portion through tomorrow. It is this dryline that will be the main focus for storms tomorrow afternoon. The stronger 500 mb flow will alow for the dryline to surge this far west. Ahead of the cold front CAPE values are forecast to reach extreme values between 3000-4000 J/kg with the GEM even going as high as ~4400J/kg in the Regina region. But examining forecast soundings do reveal on problem for any storms that fire (see sounding above), and that is a very large layer of dry air aloft and a titanium CAP. Looking at the CAP forecast field we can see a weakness within the CAP right along and near the dryline but ahead of it within the real good air the CAP is extremely strong. All factors considered I still think there is the risk for some storms but they are likely going to be extreme isolated and relatively short lived. Given that air aloft is so dry once the ambient moisture is used my primary storms, they will likely choke off and die. Thus I believe there will be the risk of some very isolated supercells with initiation between 2-4 pm CST near Regina and a few storms along the cold front in NW'rn SK some could be severe. But feel as though LCL heights will limit the tornado threat even with the amount of streamwise vorticity within forecast soundings. Current convective models do indicate though the areas from Mellville northward will be more favourable for longer lasting storms with more surface based convection. Some major cities in the pink region are Regina, Moose Jaw , Weyburn, Estevan, and Yorkton.
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, Weyburn, Estevan, and Yorkton.
