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GFS 06z goes bonkers with more heat days 7+ with triple digits over Plains and corn belt
ECMWF 00z has slightly less "hot" than GFS, but expands summer heat thru day 10 w/90°F+ eastward
Almost feels like a new pattern is trying to establish itself with the Ridge over central U.S. I have NO PROBLEM with that at all!!! In fact, let it be, that would be awesome for New England to get into the trough swings and continue the cooler temps. We'll see.
It will also mean clipper style storms.
This is next weeks 500mb setup according to GFS. August 31st time frame
It did indeed drop to freezing in many of those referenced locations. The coldest I could find was -2C (rounded) at Nordegg north and west of Calgary.
Summer here certainly seems to be on the way out with the days getting shorter and the shadows getting longer. Temperatures still near average in keeping with much of the summer. Two days have cracked the 30C mark this year; not sure if we'll get another one. (Average for Edmonton is 3 days above 30C in a year.)
It did indeed drop to freezing in many of those referenced locations. The coldest I could find was -2C (rounded) at Nordegg north and west of Calgary.
Summer here certainly seems to be on the way out with the days getting shorter and the shadows getting longer. Temperatures still near average in keeping with much of the summer. Two days have cracked the 30C mark this year; not sure if we'll get another one. (Average for Edmonton is 3 days above 30C in a year.)
really I haven't noticed anything of the sort. this week is going to be just as hot as last week with highs around 90 and lows around 80.
Wow! Are you getting the feeling we're going back to the Spring cool "pattern"?
July temp departures on left. August temp departures on right so far.
Sometimes you have to love technology and the models, other times they give you pounding headaches. LOL
So the question is, what happens going forward with the pattern? Well, the pattern is slightly changing now. The Ridge which was parked out west seems like it wants to shift to central U.S
So with this new shift, the Pacific NorthWest would be cooler than normal. The West coast will be seasonable. The center of the U.S from plains to South will be warmer than normal, the Southeast will be warm, Mid Atlantic seasonable, Northeast fluctuate between seasonable and cool, and northern New England below normal. Storm tracks will be from Mid West to coast (clipper style).
I'll give this pattern 3-5 weeks overall and then maybe a new pattern for October & November.
OR... this shift of Ridge is temporary in which we find a new pattern in 2 weeks. I'll stick with the former for now
The drought has beaten a hasty retreat! There is NOTHING good about drought. Wetter than average means more verdant plant life. Warmer than average - temperatures worth writing home about in the summer and a longer swimming season. Comfortable winters. Cooler than average - comfortable summers, snowy winters. There's something good about all anomalies in weather - except drought. It just makes everything look dull, and worse, is bad for crops.
I can take the late August heat. My 2011 Honda Accord has a great air conditioning system. Bring it, Mother Nature
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