Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium
Maybe your right. The warm Atlantic is favoring these results. OR... more moisture in the atmosphere in the warming world so its falling as snow when the temps are right at the surface.
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The warm Atlantic would also tend to make temperatures near the ocean too warm for snow, so if anything warming would cause less snow in the Mid-Atlantic, since getting snow is pretty dicey there to begin with. For big storms and snow, a warmer Atlantic is better, but only if colder air streams in from the interior. The new normal in a warmer climate would resemble the warm/wet winters of the past, and most of them were terrible if you're looking for snow*.
Even if warm/wet winters would cause more snow, the season for snow would be shorter, but events like Snowtober, Sandy, and the Election Day 2012 snowstorm have shown that it's gotten longer. More intense storms occurring in the midst of colder air and lengthened snow seasons are signs of cooling, not warming. Winters like 2009-10 and 2010-11, and Autumns like 2011 and 2012, demonstrate the characteristics of a cooling climate, whereas winters resembling 1995-96 demonstrate the characteristics of a warming climate. The first set is more straight up colder/snowier/stormier, but the second set are warm/wet winters that can produce a big snow dump or two on rare occasions, usually happening in January or early February, melts quickly, and is otherwise just warm and rainy.
*A warm/wet winter is good for snow in places where moisture is the main driver of snow totals, northern New England for example. This is because even when it's 2F or 5F above normal, it's still cold enough for snow. This is obviously not the case in NYC or Washington, where 2F or 5F above normal elicits cries of "winter cancel".