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Old 01-19-2013, 02:03 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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My focus will be for the NorthEast/Ohio Valley at times.

This thread will be for the Tuesday storm and the possible upcoming big Friday-Saturday storm.

Aside from the Fridgid air, looks like we'll get snow as well..

First... NAM (which usually overdoes the precip amounts shows this for snow depth by mid week.

NAM12z shows a Norlun Trough setup. WoW!

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Old 01-19-2013, 02:05 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,270 posts, read 14,304,080 times
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here's the link to the 12z NAM.
12z NAM Images

Scroll down and find
Water-Equiv Accumulated Snow Depth for NorthEast region

Click on an hour in that row
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Old 01-19-2013, 02:13 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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Default Noaa wwf

We need those Winter Weather Flights.

Did you notice as soon as fresh Pacific data went into the models last night it produced a snowstorm??

NOAA has another flight scheduled!
Plan of the Day

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EST FRI 18 JANUARY 2013
SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JANUARY 2013
WSPOD NUMBER.....12-049

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: MISSION ON TRACK 56 FOR 19/0000Z
WILL FLY AS SCHEDULED ON WSPOD 12-048.

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Old 01-19-2013, 03:14 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
26,270 posts, read 14,304,080 times
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Wow!

SREF has half foot for most of MA & CT on Tuesday. 8-10" for parts of MA. Snow ratios on right show to be high! 15 & 20:1 ratios in CT and 30:1 in MA!


SREF is a short range model and can be found through NOAA.
SPC SREF SREF_SNOWFALL_MEAN12H_



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Old 01-19-2013, 06:10 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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From NWS Boston which covers northern CT, MA and parts of NH.

WE WILL BE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WITH COLD AIR DRAINING IN SO PTYPE SHOULD BE SNOW. SNOWFALL POTENTIALS CONTINUE TO LOOK LIKE 1-2 INCHES GENERALLY AND 2- 5 INCHES SOUTH COAST. IF THIS REMAINS CONSTANT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF FORECASTS AN ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ESPECIALLY FOR SOUTHERN RI AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MASS.

AS THE COASTAL LOW MOVES OFF ON TUESDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS 20-30 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS ON TUESDAY WILL CLIMB SLOWLY AND REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ALL AREAS. THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO WILL BRING WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS TUESDAY...COOLING BELOW ZERO TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME AIR TEMPS WILL ALSO COOL BELOW ZERO IN THE NORTHWEST.

THE NORTHWEST WINDS AND COLD AIR WILL ALSO BRING OCEAN EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OFF THE OUTER CAPE TUESDAY NIGHT.
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Old 01-19-2013, 06:24 PM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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As time nears I hope you all can post in here with your OBS. Anyone affected by these storms in the Northeast I would love to keep it here so we can look back. Thanks
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Old 01-20-2013, 01:39 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
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Can't this all just be posted in the Winter 2012-2013 thread?
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Old 01-20-2013, 07:08 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ilovemycomputer90 View Post
Can't this all just be posted in the Winter 2012-2013 thread?
I tried to find some posts on some past storms and it was impossible scrolling through countless posts in that thread. It's nice to have memories of storms themselves. That thread is winter in general and for the entire northern Hemisphere. This thread is for the snowstorms and for the NorthEast. But nobody is holding you back from posting there. I just hope you can post here so we have an easy to look back record of things.

Plus, I dont think folks in the UK care about my storm updates for our area. lol

With that said...

Monday Night-Tuesday Storm Update:

Apparently its not a clipper anymore. Its a coastal Low with a potential for the trough to invert.

HPC Says dont believe the last NAM model

...LOW PRESSURE FORMING NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST COAST
MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...

PREFERENCE: GFS OR ECMWF
CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE

THE NAM AND GFS HAVE TRENDED STRONGER ALOFT AND DEEPER WITH THE LOW. HOWEVER...THE NAM LIES NEAR THE DEEP EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE AND GIVEN SLIGHTLY WORSE INITIALIZATION OVER CANADA...THE NAM IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY. AMONG THE REMAINING SOLUTIONS...THE ECMWF AND UKMET/CANADIAN ARE MORE LIKE THE GFS AS WELL. THUS...RECOMMEND A NON-NAM SOLUTION.
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Old 01-20-2013, 07:41 AM
 
Location: CT - close to coast
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National Weather Service put out their snow forecast maps for tomorrow night





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Old 01-20-2013, 08:50 AM
 
Location: Southern New Jersey
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Seems like everywhere north and south of us has gotten snow, but not us.
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